Amedeus Mastrangelo - Atletico PR vs Gremio

AMEDEUS' BRASILEIRAO KICKOFF KILLER!

Handicapper
Amedeus Mastrangelo
League
SOCCER
Competition
Atletico PR vs Gremio
Time
04/17/2024 06:00 PM
Bet Type
Over / Under
Pick
Atletico PR vs Gremio Over 2.5 (+105) (BetOnline)
Outcome
Loss
Analysis
Gremio is coming into this match with a trend to the over in their recent matches. They have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 matches and their defense has not been good in those. They have allowed at least 2 goals in each of their last 2 as well as 3 of their last 4 matches. When playing at home, this trend has been much stronger as they have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 as well as 4 of their last 6 matches there. Their defense has still not been great there as they have allowed at least 1 goal in 5 of their last 6 home matches, allowing at least 2 goals in 2 of their last 3 as well, but their attack has been much better there as they have scored at least 2 goals in 5 of their last 6 matches there, averaging over 2 goals scored per match in that span. They are going up against an Athletico PR side that has also been trending to the over in their recent matches. They have gone over 2.5 goals in their last 4 straight as well as 6 of their last 8 matches. They have been in great form in these matches as they have won their last 8 straight, and their attack has been on fire in these as well. They have scored at least 3 goals in each of their last 4 matches and they have scored 10 goals in their last 2 matches alone. When playing away from home, they have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 matches, still averaging over 2 goals scored per match in that span, but their defense has been worse as they have allowed at least 1 goal in 2 of those 3 matches as well. Gremio is going to be pushing for a win here after losing their 1st match of the season and they have had a much better attack at home which will find the net on this Athletico PR defense, but Athletico PR also has a very potent attack that has been in such great form recently that there is no way Gremio's awful defense keeps them out here. Between these two sides, there will be enough goals in this match to push it over 2.5 goals. Brasileirao Serie A: Gremio/Athletico Paranaense over 2.5 goals, Rot. 208249

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