Sean Murphy - Utah vs Oregon State

Sean's 10* CFB PAC-12 GAME OF MONTH! 6 OF 7?

Handicapper

Sean Murphy

League

NCAAF

Competition

Utah vs Oregon State

Release Date

09/28/2023 05:56 PM

Event Date

09/29/2023 09:00 PM

Bet Type

Point Spread

Pick

Oregon State -4 (-110) (BetMGM)

Outcome

Win

Analysis

Pac-12 Game of the Month. My selection is on Oregon State minus the points over Utah at 9 pm et on Friday. This is a massive revenge game for Oregon State after it dropped a lopsided 42-16 decision on the road against Utah last October. Not only that but the Beavers will be looking to bounce back from last week's debacle on the road against Washington State, in which they gave up a whopping 38 points and lost by a field goal. I do think Oregon State is a much better defensive team than it showed in that contest. Meanwhile, Utah was bailed out by its defense in last week's 14-7 snoozefest victory over UCLA. The Utes offense managed just north of 2.0 yards per rush and 117 yards through the air in that game. Clearly, Utah is missing QB Cam Rising and TE Brant Kuithe. Their injury situations remain veiled in a cloud of mystery on a weekly basis. This is a game where I expect the Beavers to go to work with their ground attack and rely on their defense to come up with just enough splash plays to secure the victory by margin. Note that Oregon State is on a perfect 9-0 ATS run at home against Pac-12 opponents and those games haven't been particularly close as the Beavers have outscored the opposition by an average margin of 13.6 points along the way. The last time these two teams met in Corvallis two years ago the Beavers rallied from a 10-point halftime deficit to win by a score of 42-34. I expect this one to be a little more straight-forward. Take Oregon State (10*).