Tom Stryker - Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

TOM'S 28-13 ATS NBA PLAYOFF HIGH ROLLER WAGER

Handicapper

Tom Stryker

League

NBA

Competition

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Time

05/25/2023 08:32 PM

Bet Type

Point Spread

Pick

Boston Celtics -7.5 (-115) (BetMGM)

Outcome

Win

Analysis

#550 BOSTON (-) over Miami at 8:30 PM EST With elimination still on the line, the Celtics will return to TD Garden and whip the Heat once again. Surprisingly, the Shamrocks hold a woeful 2-5 SU and ATS mark at home in their last seven home playoff games and they're not about to drop a battle as meaningful as this one in their own backyard. Technically speaking, this is a highly profitable spot for Boston. Since April 30th, 2003, playoff home favorites priced at -6 or more own a money-making 43-9 SU and 33-18-1 ATS record provided they are competing with three losses in a series and elimination is on the line. As long as this is a conference game, our postseason angle improves to a healthy 39-8 SU and 32-14-1 ATS including 34-8 SU and 28-13-1 ATS provided their opponent holds a team won/loss percentage greater than .545. Also, non-division postseason hosts that take the floor off a road war own a lucrative 41-13 SU and 34-19-1 ATS tally if they are competing against a foe that is seeded at No. 8. That bodes well for head coach Joe Mazzulla and his crew. This isn't Miami's best role either. As a playoff road dog priced at +8 or less, the Heat have fizzled inking a weak 19-49 SU and 25-42-1 ATS record in their last 68 tries. In this setting owning a team won/loss percentage less than .600, head coach Erik Spoelstra's boys fall to a woeful 5-24 SU and 8-21 ATS. Additionally, when coming off a blowout loss of 10 points or more, Miami has posted a feeble 3-9 ATS tally in its last 12 tries. The Celtics are a proud unit that didn't play well in the first three games of this series. With momentum off the 17-point blowout victory in Game 4, the Shamrocks will pick up another impressive win and cover here. Take Boston. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.