Oskeim Sports - Vegas Golden Knights vs Dallas Stars

OSKEIM'S HUGE NHL PLAYOFFS HIGH ROLLER

Handicapper
Oskeim Sports
League
NHL
Competition
Vegas Golden Knights vs Dallas Stars
Time
05/25/2023 08:15 PM
Bet Type
Moneyline
Pick
Dallas Stars -115 (DraftKings)
Outcome
Win
Analysis
Dallas goaltender Jake Oettinger has responded well following a poor performance, going 3-0 with a .913 SV% in these playoffs. Despite losing Game 3 in shutout fashion (4-0), the Stars dominated the game from an analytical standpoint. Indeed, according to MoneyPuck’s Deserve-To-Win O’Meter, Dallas was at 79%. Since 2000, NHL underdogs coming off three or more consecutive wins are 787-1267 (38.3%; -11.3% ROI), including 100-193 (34.1%) since 2020, losing by an average of -0.94 goals per game and costing bettors a -18.9% return on investment. Since 2000, NHL teams priced between -105 and +220 coming off 3 to 7 consecutive wins are 820-1307 (38.6%; -11.7% ROI), including 112-205 (35.3%; -17.7%) since 2020. Since 2000, rested underdogs off three or more consecutive wins are 556-923 (37.6%; -13.8% ROI) versus opponents with less than four days of rest if their last win was by less than five goals, including 72-137 (34.4%; -19% ROI) since 2020. These teams are 67-86 in the playoffs since 2000. Since 2007, non-divisional road underdogs of +200 or less (excluding Central teams) are 489-790 (38.2%; -9.2% ROI) following a win that went under the total, losing by an average of -0.67 goals per game. These teams are an even worse 33-61 (35.1%; -16% ROI) in the playoffs since 2000. Finally, since 2013, playoff teams coming off a loss by four or more goals are 74-49 (60.2%; +22.6% ROI) in their next game, including 10-3 (77%) in their last thirteen tries. Take Dallas and invest with confidence.

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