CBB THURSDAY NIGHT DISCOUNTED DEAL
- Handicapper
- Hollywood Sports
- League
- NCAAB
- Competition
- Florida Atlantic vs Tennessee
- Time
- 03/23/2023 09:35 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Florida Atlantic +5.5 (-110)
(Caesars)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Florida Atlantic Owls (635) plus the points versus the Tennessee Volunteers (636) in the Sweet 16 in the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: FAU (33-3) has won nine games in a row — and 12 of their last 13 games — with their 78-70 victory against Fairleigh Dickinson as a 16-point favorite on Sunday. Tennessee (25-10) has won three of their last four games with their 65-52 upset win against Duke as a 3-point underdog on Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at Madison Square Garden in New York City.
REASONS TO TAKE THE OWLS: FAU is a dangerous underdog in this game. They have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 21 games after winning four or more games in a row — and they are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games after a point spread loss. The Owls are a good shot volume team who will take advantage of most of their scoring opportunities against the great defense they will face with the Volunteers. FAU only turns the ball over in 16.4% of their possessions — ranking 64th in the nation. They also pull down 30.9% of their missed shots, ranking 97th in the nation — and they have 33 offensive rebounds in their two games in this Big Dance. And this is a team that launches 3s with 43.8% of their shots from the field coming from behind the arc, ranking 38th in the nation. The Owls make 36.7% of their 3-pointers, ranking 41st in the nation. FAU’s outside shooters complement Vladislav Goldin, a 7’1 big man who gives them a legitimate scoring threat inside. Tennessee may be due for a letdown after upsetting Duke and now playing a nine-seed mid-major. As it is, the Volunteers have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread victory. The Vols miss their spark plug on offense in point guard Zakai Zeigler who suffered a season-ending torn ACL in late February. They have only scored 123 combined points in their two Big Dance games. Tennessee sees their scoring drop by -8.0 points per possession when playing away from home.
FINAL TAKE: Tennessee has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games on a neutral court when favored or a pick ‘em — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games in the NCAA Tournament. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams winning 60% or more of their games. FAU has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on a neutral court as an underdog or pick ‘em — and they are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. 10* CBB Thursday Night Discounted Deal with the Florida Atlantic Owls (635) plus the points versus the Tennessee Volunteers (636). Best of luck for us — Frank.
