Amedeus Mastrangelo - Finland vs Denmark

AMEDEUS' EURO QUALIFIERS SHOOTING STAR!

Handicapper
Amedeus Mastrangelo
League
SOCCER
Competition
Finland vs Denmark
Time
03/23/2023 03:45 PM
Bet Type
Over / Under
Pick
Finland vs Denmark Under 2.5 (-130) (BetMGM)
Outcome
Loss
Analysis
Denmark is coming into this match with a heavy trend to the under in their recent matches. They have gone under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 as well as 5 of their last 7 matches. They did not play very well in the World Cup that just passed as their attack was awful only scoring 1 goal in their 3 matches of the group stage, but their defense was still good as they averaged 1 goal allowed per match in those 3. When playing at home, they have gone under 2.5 goals in their last 3 straight as well as 4 of their last 5 matches, and their defense has only allowed 1 goal in their last 3 straight at home as well. They are going up against a Finland side that has also been trending to the under in their recent matches. They have gone under 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 as well as 7 of their last 9 matches. When playing away from home, they have gone under 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 as well as 6 of their last 8 matches. Denmark had a lot of scoring issues during the World Cup and now they are missing some key attacking players for this match so those scoring issues are not just going to go away here. They are still playing great defense though which will make it hard for Finland's weaker attack to score away from home here, but Finland also plays well on defense and they are going with a 5 man back line in this match so it will be very hard for Denmark to break them down defensively and score in this match. This will be a low scoring and defensive match that stays under 2.5 goals.

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