Articles

Europa League Futures (2023/24 Season)

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Monday, Sep 18, 2023

The Europa League Qualifiers have concluded and now the group stage is set for Europa League to start on September 21. Keep in mind that this will not be the final pool of teams in the competition as there will be a dropdown from Champions League after the group stage. Last season, Sevilla won Europa League but their campaign started in Champions League and it is likely that one of those stronger teams that drop down will win it this year. Now it is time to see if any of these teams in Europa League now can hold their own to the finals even with the teams from Champions League joining.To Win Outright Liverpool +350: Liverpool is coming into this season as the favorite to win this tournament according to the books. Liverpool was not great in the Premier League last season as they finished in 5th place and they had major troubles with the flow of their attack as well as their defense. They never really found a proper replacement for Sadio Mane until signing Alexis Mac Allister in this transfer window and he has added some much needed stability to this attack. They have also added a lot of attacking players that can score goals and now they have a lot of depth with their attack and midfield. Their defense is still an issue since they have not improved it but they will have such a strong attack that they will be able to overpower most teams in this competition. Liverpool is going to be a much better team this year and they are the only team in this competition right now that can take on any team that drops down since they have Champions League quality this year. Liverpool does have some value here as they have the best chance of winning this tournament, but there might be more value on them later in the competition when Champions League teams drop down. Either way, the value is with Liverpool as they are the best team in this competition right now. Brighton & Hove Albion +1400: Brighton is coming into this season as the next team listed to win this tournament according to the books. Brighton was a very good team last season in the Premier League as they surprised a lot with how well they played. They have also been playing well to start this EPL season and they still have a lot of their talent from last year, but they did lose their 2 biggest pieces in the midfield as Mac Allister and Caicedo are no longer there. Brighton may have a good team this season but they do not have a lot of depth now and it is going to take a toll on them as they were not a team last season that was playing in European competition. They will wear down as the season goes on from the lack of depth and they will not stand a chance once teams from Champions League start dropping down. Brighton is not a Europa League contender this season. Villarreal +1600: Villarreal is coming into this season as the next team listed to win this tournament according to the books. Villarreal was not great in La Liga last season as they have been much better in previous years, but they did make some splashes in the transfer window to improve their attack. They picked up Sorloth who has added a much more potent element to this attack this season and Spanish teams have a very good history of going far in these European competitions. Villarreal is not the strongest team in this competition but they do have a lot of talent on their side as well as a much better team than last year. They are going to be a force in this tournament and with the right path they have the potential to make a very deep run. Villarreal does have some value as a dark horse to win this tournament at this price. Roma +1600: Roma is coming into this season as the next team on the list to win this tournament according to the books. Roma went to the finals of Europa League last season and ended up losing to Sevilla. They were very good in this tournament with their solid defense but their attack has struggled to score goals in big matches and they have also lost some of their talent in the transfer window. They are also off to an awful start in Serie A and they struggled last season in the domestic league as well. Roma has a lot of problems with their attack and even their defense has taken a hit this season. They are going to be focused on winning this competition after coming so close last year, but they also had a chance to be a top 4 team in Italy which they blew and Serie A is going to have to be a focus for them as well which will wear them down late in the year as they do not have a lot of depth. Roma is not a Europa League contender this season. Real Betis +1600: Real Betis is coming into this season as the next team listed to win this tournament according to the books. Real Betis was not as good as they should have been last year but their season was also plagued by injuries to key players. They still have all of that talent on their team this year but now everyone is healthy and playing again. Real Betis has played well in their few La Liga matches to start the season and they are going to be a much better team this year between that solid defense and stronger attack now. La Liga is also a very tough league to get into the top 4 as those spots are usually dominated by the same teams every year so this competition will definitely be a focus for Real Betis and Spanish teams have a very good history in these European competitions. Real Betis has a lot of talent on their team and the ability to make a deep run. They are a dark horse to win this tournament. West Ham +2000: West Ham is coming into this season as the next team listed to win this tournament according to the books. West Ham was awful in the Premier League last season as they were battling relegation late in the season at one point but they have a lot of talent on their team and should have never been in that position. They got into this tournament by winning Europa Conference League which they absolutely dominated every team they played against but after their performance in their domestic league last year, they are going to be focused on being better in Premier League matches this season so they do not find themselves in that position again. They also lost a key player in Declan Rice so they do have a bit of a weaker team this year and they are going to be facing much stronger competition than what they saw in Conference League last year. West Ham is not a Europa League contender this year. RecommendationsEuropa League is a very tricky competition to bet on at the start due to all the later drop downs by Champions League teams in the tournament. There are still a few teams that can make a very deep run in this tournament though and there is a lot of value on some of these teams who can test the stronger teams coming down from Champions League later in the competition. The team with the most value as of right now is Liverpool at +350 as they do have the strongest team in the competition right now and they also have Champions League talent with the moves they made in the transfer window so they can definitely hold their own against some of these Champions League teams dropping down. Considering how well Spanish teams have done in this competition, both Villarreal and Real Betis have some value to win at +1600 as dark horses with a slight lean to Real Betis as well since they do have more talent. So Liverpool at +350 is the team with the most value but Real Betis at +1600 is also a good dark horse.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NFL, MLB, and EPL Previews and Odds - 09/18/2023

by Big Al Staff

Monday, Sep 18, 2023

The Monday sports card features NFL, MLB, and EPL action.Week 2 in the NFL continues with two games. The New Orleans Saints travel to Carolina to play the Panthers on ESPN and ESPN2 at 7:15 PM ET. The Saints opened their season with a 16-15 victory at home against Tennessee as a 3-point favorite last Sunday. The Panthers lost their opener in a 24-10 setback at Atlanta as a 3.5-point underdog on Sunday. New Orleans is a 3-point road favorite, with the total set at 39.5 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). The Cleveland Browns travel to Pittsburgh to play the Steelers on ABC at 8:15 PM ET. The Browns come off a 24-3 victory against Cincinnati as a 1-point favorite last Sunday. The Steelers lost their opener in a 30-7 loss to San Francisco as a 1-point underdog on Sunday. Cleveland is a 2-point road favorite with an over/under of 38. Major League Baseball has 11 games on its schedule. The Cleveland Guardians play in Kansas City against the Royals at 2:10 PM ET as a -118 money-line road favorite with a total of 9. Two MLB games throw out the first pitch at 6:40 PM ET. The Miami Marlins host the New York Mets as a -162 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Minnesota Twins are in Cincinnati to play the Reds on FS1. The Twins won for the third time in their last four games with a 4-0 victory on the road against the Chicago White Six on Sunday. The Reds were on a two-game winning streak before their 8-4 loss in New York to the Mets yesterday. Minnesota is a -142 money-line road favorite with a total of 9.5. The Chicago White Sox visit Washington to play the Nationals at 7:05 PM ET as a -122 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 9. The Atlanta Braves host the Philadelphia Phillies at 7:20 PM ET as a -120 money-line favorite with a total of 9. The Milwaukee Brewers play at St. Louis against the Cardinals at 7:45 PM ET as a -170 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 9. The Texas Rangers are at home against the Boston Red Sox at 8:05 PM ET as a -162 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. The Houston Astros play at home against the Baltimore Orioles at 8:10 PM ET as a -162 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. Two MLB games start at 9:40 PM ET. The San Diego Padres host the Colorado Rockies as a -250 money-line favorite with a total of 8. The Seattle Mariners play in Oakland against the A’s as a -170 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 7.5. The Los Angeles Dodgers are at home against the Detroit Tigers as a -185 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. Matchweek 5 in the English Premier League concludes with one match on the USA Network. Nottingham Forest plays at home against Burnley at 2:45 PM ET as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NFL, MLB, and EPL Preview and Odds - 09/17/2023

by Big Al Staff

Sunday, Sep 17, 2023

The Sunday sports card features NFL, MLB, and EPL action.Week 2 in the NFL continues with 13 games. Eight NFL games kick off at 1 PM ET. The Atlanta Falcons host the Green Bay Packers as a 2-point favorite, with the total set at 40 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). The Buffalo Bills play at home against the Las Vegas Raiders as a 9-point favorite with an over/under of 47. The Cincinnati Bengals are at home against the Baltimore Ravens as a 3-point favorite with a total of 46. The Detroit Lions host the Seattle Seahawks as a 4.5-point favorite with an over/under of 47.5. The Houston Texans play at home against the Indianapolis Colts as a 1-point favorite with a total of 39.5. The Kansas City Chiefs travel to Jacksonville to play the Jaguars as a 3.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 51. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are at home against the Chicago Bears as a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 41. The Los Angeles Chargers play in Tennessee against the Titans as a 2.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 45.5. Two NFL games start at 4:05 PM ET. The New York Giants are in Arizona against the Cardinals as a 4-point road favorite with a total of 39.5. The San Francisco 49ers visit Los Angeles to play the Rams as a 7.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 45.5. Two more NFL games begin at 4:25 PM ET. The Dallas Cowboys host the New York Jets as a 9-point favorite with a total of 38.5. The Denver Broncos play at home against the Washington Commanders as a 3.5-point favorite with an over/under of 38.5.Sunday Night Football on NBC features the Miami Dolphins playing in New England against the Patriots at 8:20 PM ET. The Dolphins are a 2.5-point road favorite with a total of 46.5. Major League Baseball has 15 games on its schedule. Two MLB games throw out the first pitch at 1:35 PM ET. The Baltimore Orioles are at home against the Tampa Bay Rays as a -125 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The New York Yankees are in Pittsburgh to play the Pirates. The Toronto Blue Jays host the Boston Red Sox at 1:37 PM ET as a -148 money-line favorite with a total of 8. Three MLB games start at 1:40 PM ET. The New York Mets play at home against the Cincinnati Reds as a -135 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Cleveland Guardians are at home against the Texas Rangers. The Atlanta Braves travel to Miami to play the Marlins as a -142 money-line road favorite with a total of 8.5. Three MLB games begin at 2:10 PM ET. The Milwaukee Brewers host the Washington Nationals as a -270 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. The Houston Astros play in Kansas City against the Royals as a -250 money-line road favorite with a total of 9.5. The Minnesota Twins are in Chicago against the White Sox as a -162 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Philadelphia Phillies visit St. Louis to play the Cardinals at 2:15 PM ET as a -135 money-line road favorite with a total of 9. The San Francisco Giants play in Colorado against the Rockies at 3:10 PM ET as a -170 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 12. Two more MLB games start at 4:07 PM ET. The Detroit Tigers are in Los Angeles against the Angels. The San Diego Padres travel to Oakland to play the A’s as a -162 money-line road favorite with a total of 9. The Los Angeles Dodgers play in Seattle against the Mariners at 4:10 PM ET. Sunday Night Baseball on ESPN has the Chicago Cubs playing in Arizona at 7:10 PM ET. The Cubs are a -115 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 9.Matchweek 5 in the English Premier League continues with two matches on the USA Network. Chelsea is at Bournemouth at 9 AM ET as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 3 (all soccer odds from DraftKings). Arsenal plays at Everton at 11:30 AM ET as a -1 goal-line road favorite with an over/under of 3.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NCAAF, MLB, CFL and EPL Previews and Odds - 09/16/2023

by Big Al Staff

Saturday, Sep 16, 2023

The Saturday sports card features NCAAF, MLB, CFL, and EPL action.The third week in NCAAF college football continues with 50 games between FBS opponents. Six NCAAF games between FBS opponents kick off national television at noon ET. Penn State travels to Illinois on Fox as a 14-point road favorite, with the total set at 48. LSU plays at Mississippi State on ESPN as a 9.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 54. Florida State is at Boston College on ABC as a 24.5-point road favorite with a total of 46.5. Wake Forest visits Old Dominion on ESPN2 as a 14-point road favorite with an over/under of 61. Iowa State plays at Ohio on ESPNU as a 2.5-point road favorite with a total of 42.5. Liberty is at Buffalo on the CBS Sports Network as a 3-point road favorite with an over/under of 54.5. Notre Dame hosts Central Michigan on Peacock at 2:30 PM ET as a 34.5-point favorite with a total of 51. Six NCAAF games on national television start at 3:30 PM ET. Alabama travels to South Florida on ABC as a 33-point road favorite with an over/under of 61.5. Connecticut plays at home against Florida International on the CBS Sports Network as a 7-point favorite with a total of 41.5. Oregon State is at home against San Diego State on FS1 as a 24.5-point favorite with an over/under of 48.5. Oklahoma plays at Tulsa on ESPN2 as a 28-point road favorite with a total of 58.5. Georgia is at home against South Carolina on CBS as a 26.5-point favorite with an over/under of 54.5. North Carolina hosts Minnesota on ESPN as a 7-point favorite with a total of 51. Ohio State plays at home against Western Kentucky on Fox as a 30-point favorite with an over/under of 65.5. Washington is at Michigan State on Peacock as a 16.5-point road favorite with a total of 56. Four nationally televised NCAAF games begin at 7 PM ET. Tennessee travels to Florida on ESPN as a 5.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 56. Troy is at home against James Madison on the NFL Network as a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 46.5. Nebraska hosts Northern Illinois on FS1 as a 13-point favorite with an over/under of 42. Vanderbilt plays at UNLV on the CBS Sports Network as a 4.5-point road favorite with a total of 58. Three more NCAAF games on national television start at 7:30 PM ET. West Virginia is at home against Pittsburgh on ABC as a 2.5-point favorite with an over/under of 47.5. Syracuse is at Purdue on NBC as a 2.5-point road favorite with a total of 57. Kentucky hosts Akron on ESPNU as a 26-point favorite with an over/under of 48.5. TCU visits Houston on Fox at 8 PM ET as a 7-point road favorite with a total of 64. Colorado plays at home against Colorado State on ESPN as a 24-point favorite with an over/under of 62.5. Two more nationally-television NCAAF games begin at 10:30 PM ET. Fresno State plays at Arizona State on FS1 as a 3-point road favorite with an over/under of 49. Kansas is at Nevada on the CBS Sports Network as a 28-point road favorite with a total of 58.5. Major League Baseball has 16 games on its schedule. The San Francisco Giants travel to Colorado to play the Rockies in the opening game of their doubleheader at 2:10 PM ET. The Toronto Blue Jays are at home against the Boston Red Sox at 3:07 PM ET as a -130 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The San Diego Padres play in Oakland against the A’s at 4:07 PM ET as a -148 money-line road favorite with a total of 8.5. The Atlanta Braves are in Miami to play the Marlins at 4:10 PM ET as a -142 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 9. The Cleveland Guardians host the Texas Rangers at 6:10 PM ET as a -120 money-line favorite with a total of 8. The New York Yankees visit Pittsburgh to play the Pirates at 6:35 PM ET. The Tampa Bay Rays play in Baltimore against the Orioles at 7:05 PM ET as a -122 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 7.5. Four MLB games throw out the first pitch at 7:10 PM ET. The Houston Astros are in Kansas City to play the Royals as a -148 money-in road favorite with a total of 9. The Cincinnati Reds travel to New York to play the Mets as a -115 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Minnesota Twins play in Chicago against the White Sox as a -218 money-line road favorite with a total of 8.5. The Milwaukee Brewers play at home against the Washington Nationals as a -270 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. The Philadelphia Phillies are in St. Louis to play the Cardinals at 7:15 PM ET as a -118 money-line road favorite with a total of 9. Two MLB games begin at 8:10 PM ET. The Chicago Cubs visit the Arizona Diamondbacks as a -118 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 9. The Giants are on the road against the Rockies in the second game of their doubleheader. The Detroit Tigers play in Los Angeles against the Angels at 9:07 PM ET as a -115 money-line road favorite with a total of 8. The Los Angeles Angels are in Seattle to play the Rangers at 9:40 PM ET as a -148 money-line road favor with an over/under of 8.Week 15 in the Canadian Football League concludes with two games. The Winnipeg Blue Bombers visit Hamilton to play the Tiger-Cats at 4 PM ET as a 6.5-point road favorite with a total of 48. The British Columbia Lions are at home against the Ottawa Redblacks at 7 PM ET as a 9.5-point favorite with an over/under of 47.Matchweek 5 in the English Premier League begins with seven matches. Liverpool travels to Wolverhampton on the USA Network at 7:30 AM ET as a -1.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 3. Five EPL matches begin at 10 AM ET. Aston Villa hosts Crystal Palace as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Fulham plays at home against Luton Town as a -1 goal-line favorite with a total of 2.5. Manchester United plays at home against Brighton and Hove Albion as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 3.5. Tottenham is at home against Sheffield United as a -1.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 3.5. Manchester City visits West Ham United on the USA Network as a -1 goal-line road favorite with an over/under of 3. Newcastle United hosts Brentford on NBC at 12:30 PM ET as a -1 goal-line favorite with a total of 3.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NCAAF, MLB and CFL Previews and Odds - 09/15/2023

by Big Al Staff

Friday, Sep 15, 2023

The Friday sports card features NCAAF, MLB, and CFL action.The third week in NCAAF college football continues with three games between FBS opponents. Two NCAAF games kick off at 7 PM ET. UTSA hosts Army on ESPN. The Roadrunners evened their record at 1-1 with a 20-13 victory against Texas State as a 14-point favorite last Saturday. The Black Knights have a 1-1 record after their 57-0 victory against Delaware State as a 38.5-point favorite on Saturday. UTSA is an 8.5-point favorite with a total of 44.5 (all odds from DraftKings). Maryland plays at home against Virginia on FS1. The Terrapins have won their first two games of the season after a 38-20 victory against Charlotte as a 24.5-point favorite last Saturday. The Cavaliers are winless in their first two games this season after a 36-35 loss to James Madison as a 6.5-point underdog on Saturday. Maryland is a -14.5-point favorite with an over/under of 47. Air Force is at home against Utah State on the CBS Sports Network at 8 PM ET. The Falcons improved to 2-0 this year with their 13-3 victory against Sam Houston State as a 13.5-point favorite last Saturday. The Aggies evened their record at 1-1 with a 78-28 victory against Idaho State as a 23.5-point favorite on Saturday. Air Force is a 9.5-point favorite with a total of 46.5. Major League Baseball has 15 games on its schedule. New York Yankees travel to Pittsburgh to play the Pirates at 6:35 PM ET as a -170 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8. The Atlanta Braves play in Miami against the Marlins at 6:40 PM ET as a -198 money-line road favorite with a total of 9. The Tampa Bay Rays are in Baltimore to play the Orioles on Apple TV+ as a -125 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Toronto Blue Jays host the Boston Red Sox at 7:07 PM ET as a -130 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. Two MLB games throw out the first pitch at 7:10 PM ET. The New York Reds play at home against the Cincinnati Reds, with both teams priced at -110 with an over/under of 7.5. The Texas Rangers visit Cleveland to play the Guardians as a -115 money-line road favorite with a total of 8.5. The Minnesota Twins play in Chicago against the White Sox at 7:40 PM ET as a -180 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 9. Two MLB games start at 8:10 PM ET. The Houston Astros are in Kansas City to play the Royals as a -192 money-line road favorite with a total of 9.5. The Milwaukee Brewers are at home against the Washington Nationals as a -192 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Philadelphia Phillies travel to St. Louis at 8:15 PM ET as a -135 money-line road favorite with a total of 8.5. The San Francisco Giants play in Colorado against the Rockies at 8:40 PM ET as a -218 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 11. The Detroit Tigers are in Los Angeles to play the Angels at 9:38 PM ET, with both teams priced at -110 with a total of 7.5. Two more MLB games begin at 9:40 PM ET. The Chicago Cubs play in Arizona against the Diamondbacks as a -142 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The San Diego Padres visit Oakland to play the A’s as a -205 money-line road favorite with a total of 8.5. The Los Angeles Dodgers are in Seattle to play the Mariners at 10:10 PM ET as a -115 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 7.5. Week 15 in the Canadian Football League begins with two games. The Toronto Argonauts play in Montreal against the Alouettes at 7 PM ET as a 6.5-point road favorite with a total of 53. The Saskatchewan Roughriders are at home against the Edmonton Elks at 9:30 PM ET as a 3-point favorite with an over/under of 46.5. 

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Game 3 College Conference Jitters

by Tom Stryker

Thursday, Sep 14, 2023

It’s no secret.  Division games in pro sports and conference battles in college athletics just mean a little more.  When team goals are set at the beginning of a season, they always include winning the division or conference crown.  It’s truly a top priority. When I started researching games that kicked off early in the season at game four or less, I began by looking at how well a team did in their first conference matchup.  In my opinion, making a statement in your first conference game carried a great deal of weight and importance.   It built momentum and set the tone for the rest of the way out.   I’ll admit, I did find technical success with that concept in mind.  However, it wasn’t until I started bringing college teams into their conference opener off a couple of non-conference wars before financial sparks started to fly.   As you know, with the help of my college football database, the same one that was featured in the December 13th, 2010, issue of the ESPN Insider magazine, I’ve been able to isolate and profit from a number of early season technical situations that have performed very well.  My “Game Three College Conference Jitters” system is one that has made my clients and I a great deal of profit over the years.  Take a look at this beauty. Since 1980, PLAY AGAINST any conference host in game three of the season provided they won their last battle by nine points or more and tackled a pair of non-conference foes in their previous two contests.  43 Year ATS Record = 103-65-3 ATS for 61.3 percent  This Week’s Play = NAVY, UTAH STATE, SOUTH CAROLINA & TENNESSEE After competing against a couple of non-conference foes and now fighting in their own backyard off a solid win, the emotion of this first conference test proves to be too much for our host.  There are a couple of parameters that can be added to this system that really makes it pop.   If our “play against” home team is priced as a favorite or an underdog of +7.5 or less and is tackling an opponent that arrives with steam off a blowout victory of nine points or more, this situation crumbles to a woeful 20-51-1 ATS.  With those two parameters live and our host locked into a revenge mode, this angle falls to a shocking 2-26-1 ATS.  Air Force and Florida are the two teams that fit this negative wagering situation. Good luck with the Aggies (Utah State) on Friday and the Volunteers (Tennessee) on Saturday!

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NFL Week 2: VW's Power Rankings

by Vegas Writer

Thursday, Sep 14, 2023

So, I've got questions before getting to this week's NFL Power Rankings.Like which team that won, and wasn't supposed to, surprised you the most.Did the Lions make a statement? Are the Browns ready to make a run at the AFC North? Are Baker Mayfield and the Buccaneers poised to contend in the NFC North? Are the Raiders seriously better on defense? And the Rams, I mean, are we ready to give them a serious look?And which of these teams that lost have a long climb back, or are simply going to need a tweak or two?The Bengals and Bills are supposed to be two of the top three teams in the AFC, but lost. The Vikings won 13 games last season and lost their season opener. Sean Payton's debut in Denver was as ho-hum as it gets. The Chargers lose at home because their defense fails, again. The Seahawks didn't just lose to the Rams in Seattle, there were humiliated. And finally, the Giants. They're the one team I think is better than the 40-point thumping it suffered at the hands of Dallas.Let's get started with this week's rankings.THE UPPER TIER1. Philadelphia - After going into Foxborough last week, its win couples with Kansas City's loss and deserves a jump in the rankings. But beware, the Eagles were outgained 382-251 and that can be a problem moving forward against better defensive units. (Last week 2)2. Kansas City - The defending champs struggled on third down (5 of 14, 36%) and couldn't establish their rushing game against Detroit's frontline. It doesn't get any easier on the road this week against another young, scrappy team in Jacksonville. (Last week 1)3. San Francisco - Last week I specifically said, "A healthy Brock Purdy will go a long way this season." It appears that elbow is just fine, as he completed 19 of 29 for 220 yards and threw two TDs. And if defense truly does win championships, the 'Niners are a legit contender.. (Last week 4)4. Dallas - Are the Cowboys as good as their 40-0 win over the Giants, and is New York as bad as it looked? Those were two burning questions after Sunday night's game. The answer is Yes, and No. Dallas made a statement in all three facets of its game. (Last week 6)5. Cincinnati - A drop two spots for the Bengals, as they barely looked competitive in Cleveland. A total of - gasp! - six first downs. The Bengals were 2 of 15 (13%) on third down, and they gained a mere 142 yards, an average of 2.6 yards per play. Hosting Baltimore will tell us a lot this week. (Last week 3)6. Baltimore - And if the Ravens win in Cincinnati, they'll move into the Top 5. Though the Ravens were outgained by Houston last week (268-265), it was a 3-for-5 showing in the Red Zone compared to Houston going 0 for 2 that made the difference. (Last week 7)7. Miami - The Dolphins jump a spot after going into Inglewood and outlasting the Chargers. The pressure of matching offensive wits, on the road, in a season opener is what stands out to me. Tua Tagovailoa looked plenty ready for the season with a 466-yard passing performance. (Last week 8)8. Buffalo - Quarterback Josh Allen not only looked inefficient with three interceptions and a lost fumble, but the Bills defense let a backup quarterback beat them on Monday night. Four snaps in Aaron Rodgers is lost for the season, and Zach Wilson plays the hero. Problematic. (Last week 5)9. N.Y. Jets - Last week I revealed this was the team I had the biggest struggle with, as I needed to see it in action. Chemistry was the biggest question. Even with the win over Buffalo, I'm keeping the Jets at No. 9 now that Rodgers is gone. Can the troops rally around Wilson? (Last week 9)10. Jacksonville - Another team that won, and remains where it was. The Jaguars probably deserve a promotion, but even a 10-point win on the road won't convince me just yet. The Jags were just 3 of 12 (25%) on third down and there was a bit of fumblitis that needs to be addressed. (Last week 10)11. Detroit - Last week I said an upset in Week 1 would catapult this team into the Top 10. Unfortunately, the Lions move up just one spot as it would be hard for me to leapfrog them and push a couple of winning teams down. A dominating win over Seattle will do the trick (Last week 12)12. L.A. Chargers - The Bolts drop after losing at home to the Dolphins. The Chargers could be walking into a trap this week, as I think they'd be a much bigger favorite at home against the Titans, but are only -3 in Tennessee. Don't be surprised if the Titans win outright. (Last week 11)13. Cleveland - Welcome back Deshaun Watson! Not a bad showing in the season opener, completing 16 of 29 for 154 yards and one TD. He did throw one pick, but I'm going to forgive that, all things considered. Instead, let's talk about a defense that held Joe Burrow to 82 yards passing. (Last week 14)14. Green Bay - Last week I said, "Jordan Love has been waiting for this moment. Will he make the most of it?" We got our answer in the form of 15 of 27 passing for 245 yards and three touchdowns. The Packers might have been one of the more pleasant surprises. (Last week 19)15. Seattle - This is a big drop for me, but I'm reserving their spot in the lower tier one more week. They head to Detroit this week, and I have to wonder if this is a trap for the Lions. Given how both teams performed last week, I want to know why the number is so low. Stay tuned. (Last week 13)16. Minnesota - I told you there was one team I could see facing a drastic decline, and it would be the Vikings, as their 13-win season was a facade behind a rather easy schedule last year. Their home loss to the Buccaneers might be the writing on the wall. (Last week 15)THE LOWER TIER: 17. New Orleans - Almost out of the weeds and into the upper tier. A win in Carolina is needed on Monday. (Last week 18)18. Pittsburgh - The Steelers also need a big answer at home on Monday, against Cleveland. (Last week 16)19. N.Y. Giants - The Giants lost 40-0 at home. Now they're laying points on the road. (Last week 17)20. New England - The Pats stay put in the same place, with credit for time served after losing to new-No. 1 Philadelphia. (Last week 20)21. Washington - A nice start to the season for the new owners. (Last week 22)22. Atlanta - The Falcons did what they were supposed to do in beating Carolina. Now they host an apparently good Packers team. (Last week 23)23. Las Vegas - Big test in Buffalo this week. Will the Raiders justify moving up three spots? (Last week 26)24. Denver - Down two after the Broncos' offense sputters their first game under Sean Payton. (Last week 21)25. Tampa Bay - A three-spot jump for the Buccaneers after they go into Minneapolis and win. (Last week 28)26. Carolina - Not a great start for rookie Bryce Young, who threw two picks in his debut. (Last week 24)27. L.A. Rams - An incredible performance in Seattle garners a two-spot jump. This week's home opener against San Francisco will be interesting. (Last week 29)28. Chicago - The Bears' defense was torched. Now they travel to Tampa. Ouch. (Last week 25)29. Tennessee - The Titans welcome the Chargers to town, and will either take advantage of a letdown spot, or drop to 0-2. (Last week 27)30. Indianapolis - The Colts let their season opener slip away. Anthony Richardson had more good spots than bad. (Last week 30)31. Houston - The good news is, the Texans still aren't the worst team in the league anymore. Bad news is they're still the second-worst. (Last week 31)32. Arizona - Will the Cardinals be able to move out of the bottom slot after facing the Giants? (Last week 32)

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NFL, NCAAF and MLB Previews and Odds - 09/14/2023

by Big Al Staff

Thursday, Sep 14, 2023

The Thursday sports card features NFL, NCAAF, and MLB action.Week 2 of the NFL regular season kicks off with the Philadelphia Eagles hosting the Minnesota Vikings on Amazon Prime at 8:15 PM ET. The Eagles won their opening game of the season with a 25-10 victory at New England as a 3.5-point favorite on Sunday. The Vikings got upset, 20-17, at home against Tampa Bay as a 4-point underdog on Sunday. Philadelphia is a 6.5-point favorite, with the total set at 49 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise).The third week in NCAAF college football begins with one game on national television between FBS opponents. Memphis plays at home against Navy on ESPN at 7:30 PM ET. The Tigers improved their record to 2-0 with a 37-3 victory at Arkansas State as a 21-point favorite last Saturday. The Midshipmen evened their record at 1-1 with a 24-0 win against Wagner on Saturday. Memphis is a 14-point favorite with an over/under of 46.5. Major League Baseball has ten games on its schedule. The Pittsburgh Pirates are at home against the Washington Nationals at 12:35 PM ET. Mitch Keller takes the mound for the Pirates to pitch against Josiah Gray for the Nationals. Pittsburgh is a -166 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. The Detroit Tigers host the Cincinnati Reds at 1:10 PM ET. The Tigers turn to Reese Olson to battle against the Reds’ Derek Law. Detroit is a -110 money-line favorite at BetMGM with an over/under of 9. The Boston Red Sox play at home against the New York Yankees in the opening game of their doubleheader at 1:35 PM ET. Tanner Houck gets the ball for the Red Sox to face Michael King for the Yankees. Boston is a -120 money-line favorite at BetMGM with a total of 9.5. The Miami Marlins travel to Milwaukee to play the Brewers at 2:10 PM ET. The Marlins tap Eury Perez to go against the Brewers’ Adrian Houser. Miami is a -115 money-line road favorite at BetMGM with an over/under of 8.5. The New York Mets are at home against the Arizona Diamondbacks at 4:10 PM ET. Kodai Senga gets the start for the Mets to duel against Merrill Kelly for the Diamondbacks. New York is a -120 money-line favorite with a total of 7.5. The Toronto Blue Jays host the Texas Rangers at 7:07 PM ET. The Blue Jays turn to Kevin Gausman to face the Rangers’ Nathan Eovaldi. Toronto is a -155 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. Two more MLB games throw out the first pitch in Fox regional coverage at 7:15 PM ET. Baltimore plays at home against Tampa Bay, with Kyle Bradish getting the ball for the Orioles to pitch against Aaron Civale for the Rays. The Orioles are a -142 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. Boston is at home against New York, with the Red Sox yet to name their starting pitcher who will be facing the Yankees’ Clarke Schmidt. The Reds are a -120 money line favorite at BetMGM with an over/under of 9.5. The Minnesota Twins visit Chicago to play the White Sox at 7:40 PM ET. Kenta Maeda goes to the mound for the Twins to go against Jose Urena for the White Sox. Minnesota is a -190 money-line road favorite at BetMGM with a total of 9.5. The San Francisco Giants play in Colorado against the Rockies at 8:40 PM ET. The Giants turn to Logan Webb to pitch against the Rockies Chase Anderson. San Francisco is a -258 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 10.5. 

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College Football Observations from Week 2

by Vegas Writer

Wednesday, Sep 13, 2023

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have opened the season 3-0 both SU and ATS.But until they face a real opponent, the verdict remains out on whether or not they're worth entering the College Football Playoff (CFP) conversation.The Irish rank 20th in the nation in averaging 485.7 yards per game, and seventh in the country in allowing 223 ypg. But that's after dominating wins over Navy (by 39), Tennessee State (53) and North Carolina State (21).It's the last game that stands out. Was it a three-touchdown winner? Yes. But after blowouts of Navy and Tennessee State, that defense wilted a bit.This week it's another patsy in Mid-American Conference foe Central Michigan, but next week when the Irish welcome Ohio State to South Bend, that's when I'll be ready to consider the Irish as a national contender.After back-to-back road games at Duke and Louisville, and they welcome Caleb Williams and the USC Trojans to town, that's when I'll know more. Once they visit Clemson in November, the answers we will have.Here are more College Football Observations after Week 2:PRIMETIME BUFFS - It led my observations last week, and I'm not jumping off the money train with Colorado. After scoring six touchdowns in its season opener and four more against Nebraska, the Buffaloes have the 14th-best offense with 509.5 yards per game and the 27th-highest scoring offense with 40.5 points per contest.As opposed to Notre Dame, here we're talking about a bonafide national power - for now - after the Buffs knocked off the reigning national runner-up TCU Horned Frogs, and the Big 10 Cornhuskers.Quarterback Shedeur Sanders is leading a passing offense that ranks second in the nation with 453 yards passing per game.The Buffaloes were double-digit dogs to TCU in Week 0, they laid a field goal to the Huskers in Week 1, and now they're more than 3-TD favorites in laying 23 to in-state rival Colorado State. The Buffaloes are now 2-0 ATS the last two times they were a favorite: a 34-0 win over Arizona laying -6 in 2021, and last week vs. Nebraska.PAC 12 POWER - Talk about going out with a bang, the current make-up of the Pac-12 Conference has been quite impressive the last three weeks. Pac-12 members are now 20-3 in non-conference games, and we're not talking about a plethora of cupcake foes, either. How about teams like Baylor, Florida, Nebraska, TCU, Texas Tech and Wisconsin? At least three current members of the conference - all outgoing by the way - have CFP aspirations.USC, Washington and Oregon must be talked about when discussing the playoff, for now. And to be quite honest, why not throw in the aforementioned Buffaloes at this point, considering the way this team performs on both sides of the ball? And let's not forget about two-time defending PAC-12 champ Utah, which is 2-0 without starting quarterback Cam Rising.Now the important part, are the Pac-12 teams making us money? Well, to go along with an overall mark of 21-4 SU, teams from the Pac-12 are 18-5-2 ATS. As for the totals, are 10-15 with the under coming in more times than not.Every team is in action this week, except USC. And of the 11 teams in action, only one has been installed as an underdog, Arizona State (+3) at home against Fresno State.HOPSCOTCH - If you didn't read my College FB observations, I'll let you in on this weekly note, as I tag it after the old playground game of hopscotch. You remember, drawing a hopscotch court on the playground, right? Big pieces of chalk to create the court, and you had to make your way through the lined course without stepping on a line.Sort of feels the same way when maneuvering your way through college football's hopscotch course of favorites - ahem, chalk - without stepping out of bounds with any of the lines.Small-chalk teams got the money for bettors last week, as teams laying between 1 and 3 1/2 points went 7-3. But when the range climbed to 4 and 7 1/2 favorites were 5-8.Every week I'll update you with regular board games (no FCS or added), broken down into different point-spread ranges. There were a few pushes this week and a pk'em game to consider, but through Week 2, favorites are 49-45 with the following breakdown:1-3 1/2 ............ 10-64-7 1/2 ............ 9-128-10 1/2 ........... 4-411-14 1/2 ........... 7-615-19 1/2 ......... 4-420 and up ... 15-13

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Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB Previews and Odds - 09/13/2023

by Big Al Staff

Wednesday, Sep 13, 2023

The Wednesday sports card features MLB action.Major League Baseball has 15 games on its schedule. The Tampa Bay Rays travel to Minnesota to play the Twins at 1:10 PM ET. Taj Bradley takes the ball for the Rays to face Dallas Keuchel for the Twins. Tampa Bay is a -130 money-line road favor with the total set at 9. The Chicago Cubs play at Colorado against the Rockies at 3:10 PM ET. The Cubs tap Jameson Taillon to pitch against the Rockies’ Ty Blach. Chicago is a -170 money-line favorite with an over/under of 11.5. The San Francisco Giants host the Cleveland Guardians at 3:45 PM ET. Kyle Harrison takes the ball for the Giants to battle against Logan Allen for the Guardians. San Francisco is a -130 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. The Los Angeles Angels are in Seattle to play the Mariners at 4:10 PM ET. The Mariners turn to Luis Castillo to go against an Angels’ starting pitcher yet to be determined. Two MLB games throw out the first pitch at 6:35 PM ET. Baltimore plays at home against St. Louis, with Kyle Gibson taking the ball for the Orioles to duel against Drew Rom for the Cardinals. The Orioles are a -162 money-line favorite with an over/under of 10.5. Washington plays at Pittsburgh. with the Nationals sending out Jackson Rutledge to face the Pirates' Colin Selby. Two more MLB games start at 6:40 PM ET. Atlanta visits Philadelphia, with Spencer Strider getting the ball for the Braves to pitch against Cristopher Sanchez for the Phillies. The Braves are a -185 money-line road favorite with a total of 8.5. Detroit is at home against Cincinnati, with the Tigers tapping Eduardo Rodriguez to face the Reds Connor Phillips. The Tigers are a -142 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. The Toronto Blue Jays host the Texas Rangers at 7:07 PM ET. Yusei Kikuchi gets the start for the Blue Jays to battle against Jordan Montgomery for the Rangers. Toronto is a -125 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. Three more MLB games begin at 7:10 PM ET. Arizona plays in New York against the Mets, with the Diamondbacks sending out Zac Gallen to pitch against the Mets’ Joey Lucchesi. The Diamondbacks are a -142 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. Houston is at home against Oakland, with Hunter Brown taking the ball for the Astros to face Paul Blackburn for the A’s. The Astros are a -278 money-line favorite with a total of 9. Boston plays at home against New York, with the Red Sox turning to Tanner Houck to duel against the Yankees’ Clarke Schmidt. The Red Sox are a -130 money-line favorite with an over/under of 10. Two MLB games start at 7:40 PM ET. Kansas City is in Chicago, with Steven Cruz getting the start for the Royals to pitch against Mike Clevinger for the White Sox. Milwaukee hosts Miami, with the Brewers turning to Tylor Megill to go against the Marlins’ Braxton Garrett. The Brewers are a -112 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. The Los Angeles Dodgers play at home against the San Diego Padres at 10:10 PM ET. Ryan Pepiot takes the ball for the Dodgers to pitch against Blake Snell for the Padres. Los Angeles is a -130 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. 

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VW's Weekly Recap: Strong Start to Football, WNBA Playoffs Set to Begin

by Vegas Writer

Tuesday, Sep 12, 2023

Earlier this year I started a daily recap, but I felt it lacked in substance on some days, while providing solid insight on others.I abandoned it and wanted to perfect it in time for the football season, and vowed to bring you something weekly, every Tuesday in a different manner.So beginning today, every Tuesday I'll recap my week of picks, possibly review some minor tidbits that stood out in sports not played on a gridiron, and give you a little insight on the forthcoming week.The reason I'll avoid football on this recap? Because Wednesday you're getting my College Football observations and Thursday you're getting my NFL power rankings.So let's get started, by looking back.Since last Tuesday, I'm on a 12-6-1 roll in every sport, including an 8-3 run in college and pro football. And part of those eight winners was my Conference USA Game of the Month winner on Liberty on Saturday, and on Sunday, my NFC South Game of the Month winner on the Falcons and AFC North Dog of the Month winner on the Browns.The College Football run has been quite impressive since Week 0, as I've nailed six of my last seven releases on the campus gridiron. The lone loss? I fell well short with my College Football Total of the Week on SMU-Oklahoma over this past Saturday.Breaking down favorites and dogs, I've hit two of the three underdogs I've released and seven of the 11 favorites I've offered.Sitting at 4-2 in the NFL, I'm a perfect 3-0 with underdogs - all three winning outright. I gave you the Lions over Kansas City on opening night, the Browns over Cincinnati on Sunday, and the Jets over Buffalo on Monday.As for MLB action, a 3-3-1 week lost a little bit of money, but I did cash my two Games of the Year since last Tuesday, hitting the Yankees Run Line with my A.L. Game of the Year on Tuesday and my N.L. Dog of the Year on the Marlins (+130) on Wednesday.Only one paid release in the WNBA this past week, as I nailed my Eastern Conference Game of the Month on the Sky over Indiana last Tuesday.Looking ahead, we begin with the postseason getting underway Wednesday.The WNBA Playoffs are upon us, with last year's Finals participants tipping things off on opening night. Connecticut is laying -9 1/2 to Minnesota in what will be an intriguing 3 vs. 6 matchup, and defending champion Las Vegas is laying -16 to Chicago in the 1 vs. 8 matchup.Connecticut may have beaten the Lynx in three of the four meetings this season, but Minnesota has been one of the most competitive teams down the stretch. Since opening the season 0-6, the Lynx are 19-15. Connecticut rolls into the postseason having split its final 12 games. It's also on a blase-blase 5-4 run at home - including a home split with these same Lynx. Big numbers against Minnesota coach Cheryl Reeve are always dangerous.On Friday, in the other quarterfinal games, second-seeded New York is laying -9 to No. 7 seed Washington and in another very intriguing series, fourth-seeded Dallas is laying 6 1/2 to the No. 5 seed Atlanta.The Dream have the potential of upsetting Dallas in the opening round, led by former Wing Allisha Gray. She left the Wings in the offseason and has been a key component in Atlanta's lineup since arriving. Gray has scored in double digits in 35 of the 38 games she's played. And if there is one opponent she is hoping to find her game it's Dallas, which is 3-0 against the Dream this season. Gray and the Dream will be out for revenge, so beware of the big numbers in this series.On the MLB diamond, I'm going to have my eyes set on the A.L. East, specifically this weekend when the second-place Tampa Bay Rays visit the first-place Baltimore Orioles in a critical four-game series that could see a change at the top spot.From the National League, an East-division showdown between the Braves and Marlins in Miami piques my interest. Nobody is going to catch Atlanta, that's a given. But the Marlins are chasing an N.L. Wild-Card berth, as they enter the week 1 1/2 game off the pace. As of Tuesday, the Marlins are the hottest team in the division having won seven of 10. Problem for them is they've lost nine of their 10 meetings with Atlanta this season. This late in the season, though, every postseason contender can be dangerous.Let's get ready for a big week of action, as the football runs continue, and this overall success rolls into Tuesday night's MLB Game of the Month.

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Around The Horn

by AAA Sports

Tuesday, Sep 12, 2023

Are the Jacksonville Jaguars ready to take the Big Step and join the heavy hitters in the AFC?We should find out this coming Sunday when the 1-0 Jags host the defending Super Bowl-champion Chiefs in northern Florida.J-Ville was hardly dominant and actually had to rally late to defeat the Colts in the opener, but here we are just one game into the season and the Jaguars are the only undefeated team in the weak AFC South.Now come the Chiefs, who have to be spitting bullets after looking ordinary in losing to the Lions. There is talk that Travis Kelce could return against the Jaguars, but that’s far from a sure thing. If it’s a shootout, advantage Jacksonville with an offense that includes emerging star Trevor Lawrence, plus Travis Etienne and Calvin Ridley.Bookmakers aren’t yet convinced. Jacksonville is a 3.5-point dog, with the O/U number at a healthy 51 (the highest number in Week 2).FIBA WORLD CUPThe United States was a prohibitive 3/5 favorite to win the FIBA World Cup before eventual champion Germany rained on the Americans’ parade, proving that while Warriors-style small ball can win you an NBA title, on the international stage it doesn’t hurt to have a few bigs in the lineup. Setting lines on international competition in any sport can’t be easy, given teams’ limited prep time and lack of cohesion. It’ll be interesting to see what kind of team the US assembles for the 2024 Summer Olympics in Paris, but after the FIBA performance, there will likely be tremendous pressure on coach Steve Kerr to make major changes.ON THE POLITICAL FRONTDemocrats who are considered tossing themselves off the Empire State Building after reading polls that show President Biden neck and neck with former President Trump can take heart with some historical data. In the last two elections, Trump has failed to garner even 47 percent of the popular vote (46 percent and change each time). If Trump is the nominee again in 2024 and history repeats, it will likely result in another loss. Only once in the last eight presidential elections (George W. Bush got 50.7 in his 2004 victory over John Kerry) has the Republican candidate got as much as 47 percent of the popular vote. A recent Real Clear Politics aggregate total (Betfair, Bovada, BWin, Neds, PointsBet, PredictIt, and Sporting Bet) shows Biden with a 6-point composite edge over Trump, with the widest margin (11 points) coming from PredictIt.PRIME TIME IN THE ROCKIESSanders Mania is in full swing in Boulder now that his Colorado Buffaloes have followed up their stunning victory over TCU with a dominant take-down of Nebraska. Assuming CU takes care of business at home against Colorado State this coming Saturday (Buffaloes are 21-point favorites), they can turn the college football season completely on its head the next two Saturdays when they face ranked teams – No. 13 Oregon and (at) No. 6 USC. Colorado’s odds of winning the national championship have surged from +10000 (after Week 1) to +8000. QB Shedeur Sanders is now in the thick of the Heisman Trophy race at +2000. FINALLY . . . CHEW ON THISThere is no more sure bet than Joey Chestnut winning the July 4 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest. Chestnut went off at -4000 this year, and had little difficulty in grabbing yet another Mustard Belt – downing 62 dogs in 10 minutes. But before you blindingly bet on Chestnut, be aware that his digestive prowess does not appear to include other food on the competitive eating scene. Earlier this month Chestnut finished a distant second to an Australian competitor in the US Chicken Wing Eating Championship in (where else?) Buffalo. The Aussie downed 276 wings in 12 minutes to Chestnut’s 240. It marked the fifth straight year that Chestnut has not won the event. Chestnut did, however, retain his No. 1 Major League Eating world ranking heading into the Pork Roll Eating Championships in Trenton, N.J. later this month.

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