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Major League Baseball: Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins Preview, Odds and Prediction - 04/17/2021

by Big Al Staff

Saturday, Apr 17, 2021

Saturday MLB FS1 Preview: Minnesota versus LA Angels. Minnesota plays at Los Angeles against the Angels on FS1 at 9:07 PM ET in the second game of their three-game series. Los Angeles won the opener last night by a 10-3 score. Justin Upton knocked a grand slam, and Jared Walsh added another homer with three RBIs in the win.The Angels’ 8-5 record has them 1/2 game behind Seattle for first place in the American League West. After five straight losing seasons, new general manager Perry Minasian hopes he has assembled a roster that can earn the team their first postseason victory in the Mike Trout era. Their superstar centerfielder has a .386 batting average this season with four home runs and 10 RBIs. Shohei Ohtani has .333 batting average with four homers and 12 RBIs.Manager Joe Maddon’s team is scoring 5.5 runs-per-game with a .263 batting average, a .325 on-base percentage, and an OPS of .743. Third basemen Anthony Rendon is on the disabled list with a groin injury. Jose Quintana makes his third start of the season after lasting only 1 2/3 innings in his last appearance at Toronto last Saturday. The left-hander allowed seven runs, with five of them being earned. He is 0-1 with a 16.20 ERA and a 3.40 WHIP for the Angels. The veteran was 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP in just 10 innings last season for the Chicago Cubs. The Los Angeles bullpen has a 4.06 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP in 51 innings. Minnesota has lost six of seven games to fall to 6-8 on the season. They are tied with Detroit for last place in the American League Central, 2 1/2 games behind Kansas City, who begins the day in first place. The Twins returned the core of the team that has won two straight AL Central titles. The albatross of losing an MLB record 18 straight postseason games hangs from the head of the organization. Manager Rocco Baldelli’s team is scoring 4.8 runs per game with a .252 batting average, a .326 on-base percentage, and an OPS of .727. Nelson Cruz is hitting .390 with four home runs and 10 RBIs. Bryon Buxton has a .469 batting average with five homers and 9 RBIs.Buxton has missed four straight games with a hamstring strain. Shortstop Andrelton Simmons, a free agent acquisition in the offseason, is out indefinitely in COVID quarantine. Matt Shoemaker makes his third start of the season tonight. The 34-year-old right-hander allowed four runs in five innings in his previous start at home against Seattle last Sunday. Shoemaker is 1-0 with a 4.09 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP in 11 innings. He has struck out 12 batters with only one walk. He posted an 0-1 record with a 4.71 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP in six starts with Toronto last year. The Minnesota bullpen has a 5.18 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP in 50 1/3 innings. BetAnySports lists Minnesota as a -105 money line road favorite with the total set at 9.Computer prediction:  Minnesota Twins 5 Los Angeles Angels 3

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, MLB, NHL, EPL and English FA Cup Previews and Odds - 04/17/2021

by Big Al Staff

Saturday, Apr 17, 2021

The Saturday sports card features action in the NBA, NHL, MLB, the English Premier League, and the English FA Cup.The NBA has six games on the docket. The card begins at 4:30 PM ET with Utah playing at Los Angeles against the Lakers on ESPN. The Jazz have won four of five with their 119-111 win against Indiana on Friday. The Lakers have lost two of three with their 121-113 loss to Boston as a 6-point underdog on Thursday. Golden State visits Boston on ABC at 8:40 PM ET. The Warriors have won four in a row after their 119-101 victory at Cleveland as a 6-point favorite on Thursday. The Celtics have won five in a row with their 121-113 win at Los Angeles against the Lakers as a 6-point favorite on Thursday. The NBA card concludes at 10 PM ET with Phoenix hosting San Antonio as a 9-point favorite with the total set at 230.5 (all odds from BetOnline).Eleven games are on the NHL schedule. The puck drops at 12:38 PM ET with two games. The New York Rangers are at home against New Jersey as a -230 money line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. Washington visits Philadelphia as a -135 money line road favorite with the total at 6. Pittsburgh travels to Buffalo on NBC at 3 PM ET. The Penguins had their three-game winning streak end with a 2-1 loss to Philadelphia on Thursday. The Sabres have won two of three with their 5-2 win at Washington on Thursday. Pittsburgh is a -255 money line road favorite with an over/under of 6.Two games at 8 PM ET close out the NHL card. Dallas is a -180 money line favorite with a total of 5. San Jose visits Minnesota.Fifteen games are on the MLB slate including two seven-inning doubleheaders between Toronto/Kansas City and the New York Mets/Colorado. The first pitch is at 1:05 PM ET with two games. Washington is at home against Arizona as a -106 money line favorite with a total of 9. Tampa Bay visits the New York Yankees as a -110 money line road favorite with an over/under of 8. Boston plays the Chicago White Sox on FS1 at 4:05 PM ET after their game got postponed because of rain on Friday.  The Dodgers will once again do battle with their NL West division rival, San Diego, after outlasting the Padres, 11-6, in 12 innings last night.  Clayton Kershaw is a -120 favorite over Yu Darvish.  Minnesota visits the Los Angeles Angels on FS1 at 9:07 PM ET. The Angels won the opener on Friday by a 10-3 score. They send out Jose Quintana to face the Matt Shoemaker. The Twins are a -111 money line road favorite with a total of 9.The MLB schedule ends at 9:10 PM ET with the Houston Astros visiting Seattle as -127 money line road favorite with an over/under of 8. Matchweek 32 of the English Premier League continues with two matches. West Ham United plays at Newcastle United on the NBC Sports Network at 7:30 AM ET as a -0.25 goal line road favorite with the total at 2.5. Wolverhampton hosts Sheffield United on Peacock at 3:15 PM ET as a -0.75 goal line favorite with an over/under of 2.25. The semifinals of the FA Cup take place this weekend with the first match on Saturday at Wembley Stadium. Manchester City plays Chelsea as a -0.5 goal line favorite with the total of 2.25. ESPN has the game at 12:30 PM ET.

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2020-21 NBA Season: An ATS Review of the First Four Months

by Al McMordie

Saturday, Apr 17, 2021

We're almost four months into this COVID-impacted NBA season.  So, let's take a look at how the season has shaped up thus far, from a point spread perspective.The first thing which jumps out is the fact that the road teams have outperformed the home teams so far this season.  Through April 16, the home teams are 396-433-7 ATS, while the road teams are (obviously) 433-396-7 ATS.  The split between favorites and underdogs is tighter.  NBA favorites are above .500 at 423-406-7 ATS, which would mean the underdogs are the reverse, at 406-423-7 ATS.Away favorites are 189-162-4 ATS, while home favorites are under .500, at 234-244-3 ATS.  Of course, that would mean home dogs are 162-189-4 ATS, with road underdogs at 244-234-3 ATS.Unrested NBA teams are 125-112-3 ATS vs. rested opponents.Teams off wins are 227-228-4 ATS vs. opponents off a loss.In match-ups between two teams that are each off a win, the road team has gone 101-77-3 ATS, while home teams have had the edge in match-ups between two teams that were each off a loss, as they've gone 92-88 ATS.One of the most interesting datapoints involves match-ups between winning clubs.  In these games, the favorites have rolled to a 93-65 ATS record, including 38-16 ATS if the underdog was off a straight-up loss.  However, match-ups between two losing teams have not produced any interesting data, as the home teams have gone 88-89-3 ATS, while the favorites have gone 91-86-3 ATS.  Finally, match-ups between a winning club, and a losing opponent have seen underdogs with a winning record go 35-18 ATS vs. favorites with a losing record, including 28-12 ATS on the road!  But underdogs with a losing record are much closer to .500, at 151-142-2 ATS vs. favorites with a winning record.  And road teams have also held the edge, generally, in match-ups between winning and losing clubs, as the road teams have gone 190-156-2 ATS.Finally, division match-ups have favored the road teams, as they've gone 78-59-3 ATS, including 45-34-1 with revenge (and 8-3-1 ATS with double revenge).  And, speaking of revenge, this season has been good to revenge-minded clubs, as they've gone 222-190-4 ATS, including 24-16-2 ATS with double-revenge.Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NHL, EPL, NBA and MLB Previews and Odds - 04/16/2021

by Big Al Staff

Friday, Apr 16, 2021

The Friday sports card features action in the NBA, NHL, MLB, and the English Premier League.The NBA has eleven games on the docket. The card begins at 3 PM ET, with Utah hosting Indiana as a 9.5-point favorite with the total set at 235 (all odds from BetOnline).Three games begin at 7 PM ET. Detroit plays at home against Oklahoma City as a 7-point favorite with an over/under of 217. New Orleans visits Washington as a 2-point road favorite with a total of 242. The Los Angeles Clippers travel to Philadelphia for the opening game of an ESPN doubleheader at 7 PM ET. The Clippers won their seventh straight game with a 100-98 win against Detroit as a 3-point favorite on Wednesday. The 76ers have won three in a row after their 123-117 victory against Brooklyn as a 9-point favorite on Wednesday.The Nets play at home against Charlotte at 7:30 PM ET as a 13.5-point favorite with an over/under of 224. Orlando visits Toronto at 7:30 PM ET. At 8 PM ET, Memphis travels to Chicago in a pick ‘em matchup with a total of 227.5. Miami plays at Minnesota. Denver visits Houston as an 8.5-point road favorite with the total at 225.5. Portland is at San Antonio at 8:30 PM ET as a 1.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 232.The nightcap on ESPN has Dallas hosting New York at 9:30 PM ET. The Mavericks ended a two-game losing streak with a 114-113 win at Memphis as a 3-point favorite on Wednesday. The Knicks have won four in a row after their 116-106 upset win at New Orleans as a 2.5-point underdog on Wednesday. Dallas is a 4.5-point favorite with a total of 211.Six games are on the NHL schedule. Montreal plays at home against Calgary at 6 PM ET as a -130 money line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. The New York Islanders visit Boston at 7 PM ET. Minnesota is at home against San Jose at 8 PM ET as a -186 money line favorite with a total of 5.5. Colorado is home against the Los Angeles Kings at 9 PM ET as a -290 money line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. Vegas visits Anaheim as a -230 money line road favorite with a total of 5.5. Fifteen games are on the MLB slate. There is one afternoon game with Atlanta playing at Chicago against the Cubs as a -129 money line road favorite with an over/under of 7.5. Three games begin at 7:05 PM ET. Washington is at home against Arizona as a -194 money line favorite with a total of 8.5. Philadelphia plays at home against St. Louis as a -135 money line favorite with an over/under of 9. Tampa Bay visits the New York Yankees. San Francisco travels to Miami at 7:10 PM ET as a -140 money line radio favorite with a total of 8.5. The Chicago White Sox play at Boston. Cincinnati hosts Cleveland as a -108 money line favorite with an over/under of 9. Texas is at home against Pittsburgh at 8:05 PM ET as a -119 money line favorite with a total of 8.5. Milwaukee hosts Pittsburgh at 8:10 PM ET as a -150 money line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. Toronto visits Kansas City as a -120 money line road favorite with a total of 8.5. The New York Mets travel to Colorado at 8:40 PM ET. Minnesota plays at the Los Angeles Angels at 9:38 PM ET. Oakland is at home against Detroit at 9:40 PM ET as a -180 money line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Los Angeles Dodgers visit San Diego at 10:10 PM ET as a -150 money line road favorite with the total at 8. Houston travels to San Diego as a -110 money line road favorite with an over/under of 8.Matchweek 31 in the English Premier League begins with Tottenham playing at Everton on the NBC Sports Network at 3 PM ET. The Spurs are a -0.25 money line road favorite with a total of 2.5.

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Ness Notes: The Ides of April (NBA Playoffs a Month Out)

by Larry Ness

Thursday, Apr 15, 2021

It's April 15, better known as tax day (although it's been pushed back to May 15 in 2021), or using some literary license, "The Ides of April." The last day of the NBA regular season is scheduled for May 16. The No. 1 through No. 6 seeds in each conference will be guaranteed playoff spots, while seeds 7-10 will be part of the NBA's new "Play-In" format. Any team that finishes worse than No. 10 will be in the lottery and since there is a chance for teams to finish with an uneven number of games played due COVID-19, the NBA will use winning percentage to determine the standings. There will be six total games involving eight teams as part of the play-in tournament. Those games will begin May 18 and end May 21, with the first round of the NBA playoffs tipping off May 22.Here's the set-up for the "Play-In" round. Game 1 has the No. 7 seed (by winning percentage) hosting the No. 8 seed  in each conference with the winner earning the No. 7 seed in the playoffs. The losing team gets another chance in Game 3. In Game 2, the No. 9 seed will host the No 10 seed, with the winner moving on to Game 3. The loser is eliminated and enters the NBA draft lottery. The final spot in each conference will be determined when the loser of the No 7 vs. No 8 matchup will host the winner of the No. 9 vs No 10 matchup, with the winner securing the No. 8 seed in the postseason. The losers of the two Game 3s also enter the lottery. Recapping, the teams with the seventh-highest and eighth-highest winning percentages will have TWO opportunities to win one game to earn a playoff spot, while the teams with the ninth-highest and tenth-highest winning percentages need to win two straight games to advance. Got it?If the season ended (April 14), the "Play-In" matchups would be: In the Eastern Conference: Charlotte Hornets (No. 8) at Miami Heat (28-27) and Chicago Bulls (No. 10) at Indiana Pacers (No. 9). In the Western Conference: Memphis Grizzlies (No. 8) at Dallas Mavericks (No. 7) and Golden State Warriors (No. 10) at San Antonio Spurs (No. 9)The top-six seeds look like this. In the Eastern Conference: No. 1 76ers (38-17), No. 2 Nets (37-18), No. 3 Bucks (34-20), No. 4 Hawks (30-25), No. 5 Celtics (29-26) and No. 6 Knicks (29-27). In the Western Conference: No. 1 Jazz (41-14), No. 2 Suns (39-15), No. 3 Clippers (39-18), No. 4 Nuggets (35-20), No. 5 Lakers (34-21) and No. 6 Blazers (31-23). Random Thoughts: Will the NBA count an appearance in the "Play-In" tournament as having "made the playoffs?" The longest current playoff droughts belong to the Sacramento Kings (14), the Phoenix Suns (10) and the NY Knicks. The 22-33 Kings are currently 9 1/2-games back of the West's No. 6 seed, so a "Play-In" berth is their only chance and as the saying goes, "Slim just left town." I wonder if Sacramento fans ever wonder why the Kings fired Rick Adelman. He led the Kings to EIGHT consecutive playoff appearances, twice winning the Pacific Division (during the Kobe/Shaq era) with 61-and 59-win seasons. Sacramento's current playoff drought began the first season after Adelman's firing. As for the Suns, their 10-year playoff drought is OVER. Phoenix is 39-15 and its .722 win percentage is on pace to be the third-best in team history (2004-05 Suns were 62-20, .756). Only the 41-14 Jazz have a better record than the Suns this season and NO team owns a better ATS record than Phoenix (Suns are 35-19, or 65%). That leaves us with the Knicks and their seven-season playoff drought. At 29-27, the Knicks currently own the East's No. 6 seed, coming off a 21-45 record last year. The East's No. 4 through No. 8 seeds are tightly-bunched (separated by just 2 1/2-games) but New York is almost guaranteed a "Play-In" berth, as the Knicks are currently SEVEN games clear of the East's 'dreaded' No. 11 seed. I wonder how many know that the Knicks own the NBA's second-best ATS record of 34-21-1 (62%).Gregg Popovich's first full season as the Spurs' head coach was in 1997-98 and beginning with that year, he led San Antonio to 22 consecutive postseasons, while winning FIVE championships (1999, 2003, 2005, 2007 and 2014). That remarkable streak came to an end in last year's pandemic-shortened season and "Pop" and his Spurs could miss for a second straight year here in the 2020-21 season. The Spurs are currently 26-27, which places them 10th in the West. Seeds 8 through 10 are tightly-bunched (separated by only ONE game) but the underachieving Pelicans (dreaded No. 11 seed) are just two games back of San Antonio. Earning a No. 6 seed (which would avoid the Play-In route), seems like a 'bridge too far' (Spurs are 4 1/2-games back of the Blazers) but San Antonio should qualify for the "Play-In" tourney, giving Pop a chance to "coach'em up"  and into a 7 or 8 seed.With the Spurs missing the playoffs last season, the current active leader in consecutive playoffs made is Houston, as the Rockets opened the current season having made EIGHT straight NBA postseasons. However, that streak is O-V-E-R. James Harden left OKC and signed with the Rockets prior to the 2012-13 season and eight consecutive playoff appearances followed. The previous three seasons Harden has led the NBA in scoring but in NONE of his eight seasons, was he and his ever-changing group of cohorts able to get the Rockets into the NBA Finals (just two, Conference Finals appearances). Harden pouted and 'held his breath' early this season until the Rockets sent him to Brooklyn and Houston currently sits 14-41. That's the NBA's worst record and for good measure, the Rockets also own the NBA's worst ATS mark of 18-37 (33%).Portland and Toronto each entered the 2020-21 season with SEVEN consecutive playoff appearances, The 31-23  Blazers are currently the West's No. 6 seed and need to hold off the 30-24 Mavs to avoid falling into the "Play-In" tournament, As for Toronto, the Raptors 'fall from grace' has been dramatic this season. Toronto won the NBA title in 2019 and even in last year's pandemic-shortened season (without Kawhi), entered last year's playoffs with the NBA's second-best overall record of 53-19 (a half-game better than the eventual champion LA Lakers). Toronto is currently 22-34 (No. 11 seed), which leaves them 7 1/2-games back of the East's No. 6 seed (last guaranteed playoff berth). The Raptors' ONLY chance for postseason success will be getting into the 7-10 "Play-In" field. Toronto is just ONE game back of the No. 10 seed (Bulls) but is FIVE games back of the No. 9 seed (Pacers). Toronto will need to catch the Bulls first (doable) but then win two consecutive road games to earn the No. 8 seed. The Clippers are securely in the West's playoff field, so maybe the Raptors can 'rent' Kawhi for two games, if they promise to send him back to LA after that?I'll check back in on the 'state of the NBA union' on May 3.Good luck...Larry

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NHL Stanley Cup Futures Bets

by Sean Murphy

Thursday, Apr 15, 2021

With the NHL trade deadline in the rear-view mirror and the playoff picture beginning to take shape, now is a good time to lock in some Stanley Cup Futures bets. Here's a look at one team from each of the NHL's four divisions worthy of a wager with the playoffs less than a month away.North DivisionWinnipeg Jets 18-1While I honestly don't believe this is the year that a Canadian team hoists the cup for the first time since 1993, I will anoint the Jets as the Great White North's best hope (and best value). While the Leafs certainly possess the most talented roster, they're not settled in goal and have inexplicably proven inconsistent offensively. The Jets have an elite goaltender in Connor Hellebuyck and a roster that has remained virtually intact for a number of years. The window of opportunity is starting to close when it comes to their core of Mark Schiefele, Blake Wheeler, Nik Ehlers, etc. We've seen Winnipeg go on a deep playoff run as recently as 2018 when they reached the Western Conference Final before bowing out at the hands of a red hot Golden Knights squad. There's no team in the North Division that should intimidate the Jets and they'll be afforded a chance to fine-tune their game heading in with a playoff spot all but locked up. East Division New York Islanders 13-1Despite sitting in second place in the East Division, the Islanders actually have shorter odds to win the cup than the first-place Capitals. Rightfully so, in my opinion. The Isles have played with purpose this season and have a roster built for playoff hockey with plenty of front-line talent but also enough grit to withstand a grueling seven-game series. Head coach Barry Trotz is just a couple of seasons removed from guiding the aforementioned Caps to a Stanley Cup title. He was brought to Long Island with the sole purpose of returning the Isles to glory as well. In this topsy-turvy 2021 season, why not pick a hard-luck franchise like the Isles to hoist Lord Stanley's mug. Central Division Carolina Hurricanes 12-1I picked the Hurricanes to go on a deep playoff run in last Summer's bubble-hockey postseason tournament and that prediction looked pretty good for a series. Unfortunately Carolina was overmatched in the second round against Boston. The 'Canes made the necessary offseason moves to chart their course back to Stanley Cup contention this year and while they're fresh off ugly back-to-back losses to the lowly Red Wings as I'm writing this, I've seen enough positives to warrant them a true championship contender. Carolina has gotten healthier lately with Petr Mrazek returning to an already solid stable of goaltenders and Vincent Trocheck providing some additional scoring depth up front. Trocheck is one of those key offseason additions I mentioned and he hasn't disappointed here in 2021, chipping in with 34 points in 32 games. The Tampa Bay Lightning will prove to be a tough obstacle but as we saw two years ago when the Bolts were swept by the eight-seeded Blue Jackets in the opening round, anything can happen in the NHL Playoffs.West Division Vegas Golden Knights 8-1While the Avalanche are favorites to come out of the West Division for a reason, I'm willing to take a shot with the Golden Knights at what I consider to be a reasonable return. Vegas has proven it can go toe-to-toe with Colorado. In fact, I feel the Golden Knights even have a slight edge in terms of depth - certainly between the pipes, where the Avs are a Philip Grubauer injury away from newly-acquired journeyman Devan Dubnyk shouldering the load. Colorado has more elite talent at the top of its payroll with Nate MacKinnon and Mikko Rantanen up front and phenom Cale Makar patrolling the blue line. But the Knights have proven they can win games in a variety of different ways and recently welcomed back stud offseason acquisition Alex Pietrangelo from injury. I do believe this Knights team is better than the one that reached the Stanley Cup Final in 2018 and see value backing them at the current price point. 

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NHL Hockey: Florida Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Preview, Odds and Prediction - 04/15/2021

by Big Al Staff

Thursday, Apr 15, 2021

Thursday NHL NBC Sports Network Preview: Florida versus Tampa Bay. Florida visits Tampa Bay on the NBC Sports Network at 7 PM ET in a battle to break the tie atop the Central Division.The Panthers moved into a tie with the Lightning (and Carolina Hurricanes) for first place in the Central with their 3-2 overtime victory at Dallas. Frank Vatrano scored a power-play goal with 1:51 left before the shootout to give his team the win. Aleksander Barkov and Radio Gudas scored in regulation. Chris Driedger made 24 saves.Florida ended a three-game losing streak with the victory. Joel Quenneville’s team has won seven of their last ten games. The organization was aggressive at the trade deadline by making two impactful moves. Brandon Montour was acquired from Buffalo to add depth on the blue line after the season-ending leg injury to Aaron Ekblad. The team took a chance on Calgary center Sam Bennett who is a former number four pick in the NHL draft. Both players will make their debut with the Panthers tonight. Barkov leads the team with 44 points coming from 18 goals and 26 assists. The center is complemented by Jonathan Huberdeau at left wing who has 14 goals and 29 assists. Center Carter Verhaeghe has added 17 goals and 18 assists for 35 points. Driedger is in a time-share in goal with Sergei Bobrovsky. He has a 12-5-2 record after his win on Tuesday with a 2.04 goals-against-average and a .930 save percentage. Bobrovsky has a 15-7-2 mark with a 2.85 goals-against-average and .907 save percentage. Florida has indicated that Driedger gets the start tonight.Tampa Bay had a two-game winning before suffering a 7-2 loss at Nashville on Tuesday. The Lightning allowed three goals in the first period before Brayden Point scored in the second period to pull within two goals. They went into the third period trailing, 4-1, with Yanni Gourde scoring their final goal. Curtis McElhinney stopped only 15 of 22 shots in the loss, although head coach Jon Cooper laid the blame on the defense.The reigning Stanley Cup champions have lost three of five and six of their last ten games. Tampa Bay made a move at the trade deadline to fortify their defense by acquiring David Savard from Columbus. He will likely join Victor Hedman to form the team’s top blue-line pairing.Hedman leads the team with 38 points coming from seven goals and 31 assists. Point has scored 17 goals and added 18 assists from anchoring the top line at center. Left wing Ondrej Palat has 12 goals and 23 assists. Andrei Vasilevskiy should be back in goal tonight after getting Tuesday off. The former Vezina Trophy winner has a 25-6-1 record with a 2.00 goals-against-average and a  .932 save percentage this season. Steven Stamkos is out tonight with a lower-body injury. Tampa Bay has been without right winger Nikita Kucherov with a hip injury, although he is expected back for the playoffs.These teams have split their four meetings this season. The Lightning won the most recent encounter by a 5-3 score at home on March 21st. BetAnySports lists Tampa Bay as a -155 money line favorite with the total set at 5.5.Computer prediction:  Tampa Bay 3 Florida 2

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL, MLB Previews and Odds - 04/15/2021

by Big Al Staff

Thursday, Apr 15, 2021

The Thursday sports card features action in the NBA, NHL, and MLB.The NBA has four games on the docket. The card begins at 7:30 PM ET with the first game of the TNT Thursday doubleheader with Milwaukee visiting Atlanta. The Bucks have won their last two games after their 130-105 at Minnesota as a 10-point favorite on Wednesday afternoon. The Hawks have won seven of their last eight games with their 108-103 upset win at Toronto as a 1-point underdog on Tuesday. Golden State travels to Cleveland at 8 PM ET. Sacramento visits Phoenix at 10 PM ET. The second game on TNT has Boston playing at Los Angeles against the Lakers at 10:30 PM ET. The Celtics have won four in a row after their 116-115 upset win at Portland as a 1-point underdog on Tuesday. The reigning NBA champions have won two of their last three games (despite continuing to play without the injured LeBron James and Anthony Davis) after their 101-93 win at Charlotte on Tuesday. Boston is a 6-point road favorite with the total set at 211.5 (all odds from BetOnline). Nine games are on the NHL schedule. The card at 7 PM ET with seven contests. Winnipeg visits Toronto. Carolina hosts Nashville as a -185 money line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. Pittsburgh is at home against Philadelphia as a -162 money line favorite with a total of 6. The New York Rangers plays at home against New Jersey as a -210 money line favorite with an over/under of 6. Washington plays at home against Buffalo as a -293 money line favorite with a total of 6. Boston hosts the New York Islanders as a -120 money line favorite with an over/under of 5. Tampa Bay is at home against Florida on the NBC Sports Network at 7 PM ET. The Lightning have lost three of their last five games after their 7-2 loss at Nashville on Tuesday. The Panthers have won seven of their last ten games with their 3-2 win at Dallas on Tuesday. Tampa Bay is a -162 money line favorite with the total at 6.Twelve games are on the MLB slate. Six games take place in the afternoon. The New York Mets host Philadelphia at 12:10 PM ET as a -220 money line favorite with an over/under of 7. Atlanta is at home against Miami at 12:20 PM ET as a -164 money line favorite with a total of 8.5. San Diego visits Pittsburgh at 12:35 PM ET as a -168 money line road favorite with an over/under of 8. Seattle plays at Baltimore at 1:05 PM in the first game of an afternoon doubleheader. Minnesota plays at home against Boston as a -148 money line favorite with a total of 8.5. The Chicago White Sox are at home against Cleveland as a -138 money line favorite with an over/under of 8. Washington hosts Arizona as a -165 money line favorite with a total of 8.5. Tampa Bay is at home against Texas as a -178 money line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. Toronto visits Kansas City at 8:10 PM ET. Oakland plays at home against Detroit as a -157 money line favorite with a total of 8.5. The MLB card concludes at 10:10 PM ET with the Los Angeles Dodgers playing at home against Colorado as a -285 money line favorite with an over/under of 8.

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UEFA Champions League Quarterfinal Previews and Odds - 04/14/2021

by Big Al Staff

Wednesday, Apr 14, 2021

UEFA Champions League Wednesday: Quarterfinals PreviewThe quarterfinals of the UEFA Champions League concludes on Wednesday with the remaining two second-leg matches at 3 PM ET. Liverpool plays at home at Anfield against Real Madrid, needing a 2-0 victory or a win by at least three goals. They lost the opening leg to the La Liga giants last Tuesday by a 3-1 score. Vinicius Junior tallied a brace for the winners, with Marco Asensio scoring the second goal in the 36th minute. Mohammad Salah cut the score in half six minutes into the second half, but that was as close as the game would get.Jurgen Klopp’s side needs a 2-0 win to advance to the semifinals from the away goals tiebreaker. If the Reds surrender a goal, they would have to Real Madrid by at least three goals to win the aggregate goal score.The reigning English Premier League champions endured several crushing injuries this season. Klopp has lost his top three center backs to injury, with Virgil Van Djik, Joel Matip, and Joe Gomez all out the season. These losses have impacted the Reds’ ability to deploy their high press since the center backs become the sole line of defense. Klopp has adapted by engaging a more conservative approach on the attack, and they have registered three straight clean sheets. Diogo Jota returned to the pitch last month to help jumpstart the Liverpool attack. The Reds responded from their midweek loss by defeating Aston Villa on Saturday, 2-1. Salah scored the opening goal at the 57-minute mark before Trent Alexander-Arnold knocked the game-winner at the 90+2 point in stoppage time. Liverpool has won four of their last five matches at home across all competitions. They remain in sixth place in the English Premier League table, three points behind West Ham United for fourth place and the final qualifying position for the Champions League next season.Real Madrid built off their victory against the Reds by defeating their arch-rivals Barcelona by a 2-1 score. Karim Benzema gave them the lead in the 13th minute of El Clasico before Toni Kroos doubled the lead 15 minutes later. Things got nervy when Oscar Mingueza cut the lead in half 15 minutes into the second half for Barca, but Los Blancos held on for the win.Zinedine Zidane’s men have won six straight matches across all competitions. Real Madrid has won 12 of their last 17 games in the Spanish top flight, putting them one point behind Atletico Madrid for first place with an impending showdown on the horizon.Zinedine will again be without captain Sergio Ramos who is dealing with a calf injury. The 35-year old defenseman has only played in 15 matches this season due to injuries. Center back Raphael Varane missed last week's matches after a positive COVID test. He is a doubt for this second leg, along with right-backs Lucas Vazquez and Dani Carvajal, who picked up knocks last week.BookMaker lists Liverpool as a -0.5 goal line favorite with the total set at 3.Manchester City plays at Borussia Dortmund in the second quarterfinals match in the Champions League. Man City won the first leg by a 2-1 score last Tuesday courtesy of Phil Foden’s goal in the 90th minute. Kevin DeBruyne gave the Cityzens the lead 19 minutes into the match before Marco Reus evened things out with just six minutes to go in regulation time in the second half.The Black and Yellows must either win by a 1-0 score or earn a victory by at least two goals. Borussia Dortmund advances to the semifinals with a 1-0 win by claiming the away goal tiebreaker. Manager Edin Terzic’s side comes off a 3-2 win at Stuttgart in the Bundesliga on Saturday. The Black and Yellows are in fifth place in the German top flight, seven points behind the fourth-place Eintracht Frankfurt. Erling Haaland leads the team with 31 goals in the Bundesliga and Champions League this season. The Black and Yellow are second in the Bundesliga with 55 goals. Haaland has scored in six straight Champions League matches before blanking last week. Terzic will not have Jadon Sancho, who has been out since early March with a torn thigh muscle. The 21-year old midfielder has scored eight goals with 12 assists in 27 matches this season. Man City comes off a 2-1 loss to Leeds United in the EPL on Saturday despite outshooting the Whites by a 29 to 2 margin. The Cityzens are still cruising to their second English Premier League title in the last three seasons. They are up 11 points in the EPL table over Manchester United. Their 67 goals are eight more than Man United, who has scored the second-most goals in England’s top flight. They have allowed 23 goals which are eight fewer than the 31 goals that Chelsea has given up. Manager Pep Guardiola has yet to win a Champions League trophy in his coaching career which includes previous stops at Barcelona and Bayern Munich. Man City is attempting to pull off the rare quadruple by winning the EPL, Champions League, Carabao Cup, and FA Cup titles. The Cityzens have not advanced past the quarterfinals of the Champions League in the last four seasons under Guardiola.Man City is a -0.75 goal line road favorite with a total of 3.25. Both matches are on Paramount+ (formerly CBS All-Access).

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL, MLB and UEFA Champions League Previews and Odds - 04/14/2021

by Big Al Staff

Wednesday, Apr 14, 2021

The Wednesday sports card features action in the NBA, NHL, MLB, and the UEFA Champions League.The NBA has 12 games on the docket. The card begins at 7 PM ET with Brooklyn traveling to Philadelphia in the opening game of an ESPN doubleheader. The Nets had their two-game winning streak end with a 126-101 upset loss at home to the Los Angeles Lakers as an 11.5-point favorite on Saturday. The 76ers have won three of their last four games after their 113-95 win at Dallas as a 3.5-point favorite on Monday. The nightcap on ESPN has Dallas playing at Memphis. The Mavericks lost for the third time in four games after their loss to the Sixers on Monday. The Grizzlies ended their two-game losing streak with a 101-90 win against Chicago as a 2-point favorite on Monday. Dallas is a 1-point road favorite with the total set at 226 (all odds from BetOnline). The NBA card closes out at 10 PM with two games. Washington plays at Sacramento. Denver is at home against Miami as a 4-point favorite with an over/under of 213.Six games are on the NHL schedule. The opener is at 2 PM ET, with Minnesota playing at home against Arizona after this game rescheduled for the daytime. The Wild are a -194 money line favorite with a total of 5.5.A doubleheader on the NBC Sports Network begins at 7:30 PM ET with Colorado playing at St. Louis. The Avalanche have won eight of nine games with their 4-2 victory against Arizona on Monday. The Blues have won three in a row after their 3-2 win against Minnesota on Saturday. Colorado is a -177 money line road favorite with an over/under of 5.5.Vegas plays at Los Angeles in the second game on the NBC Sports Network at 10 PM ET. The Golden Knights won their third in a row with a 4-2 win on the road against the Kings on Monday. Los Angeles has lost two of their last three games. Vegas is a -205 money line road favorite with a total of 5.5. Fifteen games are on the MLB slate, including a doubleheader between Boston and Minnesota. The card begins at 1:07 PM ET with the New York Yankees playing at Toronto as a -130 money line road favorite with an over/under of 10.5. The MLB schedule finishes at 10:10 PM ET with the Los Angeles Dodgers hosting Colorado as a -270 money line favorite with a total of 8.The second leg of the UEFA Champions League quarterfinals concludes with two matches at 3 PM ET. Liverpool plays at home at Anfield against Real Madrid, needing a 2-0 victory or a win by at least three goals. Los Blancos won the opening leg last Tuesday by a 3-1 score. A 2-0 win for the Reds would have them advance to the semifinals from the away goals tie-breaker. A two-goal Liverpool victory by any other score clinches the away goal tie-breaker for Real Madrid.Manchester City plays at Borussia Dortmund in the second quarterfinals match in the Champions League. Man City won the first leg by a 2-1 score last Tuesday. The Black and Yellows must either win by a 1-0 score or earn a victory by at least two goals. Borussia Dortmund advances to the semifinals with a 1-0 win by claiming the away goal tie-breaker. Man City is a -0.75 goal line road favorite with a total of 3.25. Both matches are on Paramount+ (formerly CBS All-Access).

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UEFA Champions League Quarterfinals Previews and Odds - 04/13/2021

by Big Al Staff

Tuesday, Apr 13, 2021

UEFA Champions League Tuesday: Quarterfinals PreviewThe quarterfinals of the UEFA Champions League continue on Tuesday with two second-leg matches at 3 PM ET. Chelsea is the technical home team against FC Porto after defeating the Portugal Primeira League club, 2-0, in the first leg of the quarterfinals showdown last Wednesday. Mason Mount scored the opening goal at the 32nd-minute mark of the first half before Ben Chilwell took advantage of a defensive error in the 85th minute in the second half to score the insurance goal. The Blues only tallied six shots with three on target. The Dragons bettered both marks, with five of their eight total shots being on target. Porto was the technical home team last week, with both matches being played on neutral soil in Seville, Spain, due to COVID travel restrictions. The Dragons must score at least two goals with a victory in this second leg to advance to the semifinals. A 2-0 win after regulation time will force extra time with the aggregate score tied at two goals apiece. If both teams scored in the extra time, but the score remains tied after the two after the two 15-minute halves, the road team wins via the away goals tie-breaker. A best-of-five penalty shootout resolves the match if the extra time went scoreless. Manager Sergio Conceicao’s side rebounded on Saturday by defeating Tondela, 2-0m the Portugal top flight. Porto is unbeaten in the Portugal Primeira League since October but remains in second place to Sporting Life. Their loss to Chelsea last week was just the second time in nine Champions League matches this season where they failed to score. Conceicao may have to alter his 4-4-2 defensive formation that often keeps six players in back to generate the pressure necessary to score at least twice against a stout Blues’ defense. The Dragons scored four goals in their Final 16 legs against Juventus. Chelsea defeated Crystal Palace by a 4-1 score on Saturday. Thomas Tuchel rested many of the starting XI that played on Wednesday, which resulted in a more offensively-oriented group on the pitch against the Eagles. Kai Havertz rewarded Tuchel’s decision to play him at a forward position by scoring the opening goal eight minutes into the match. Christian Pulisic then scored twice before Kurt Zouma scored the final goal. The Blues allowed an opponent to score on Saturday for just the second time in their last ten games across all competitions. Chelsea has registered a clean sheet in seven of their nine matches in the Champions League. BookMaker lists Chelsea as a -0.5 goal line favorite with the total set at 2.5.Paris Saint-Germain hosts Bayern Munich at the Parc des Princes after their 3-2 triumph at Allianz Arena on Wednesday. Kylian Mbappe produced a brace, and Marinquos scored the middle goal in the 28th minute to lead the Parisians to the upset victory. Manager Mauricio Pochettino has his team advance to the semifinals if they do not surrender two goals. PSG followed up their victory on Wednesday with a 4-1 win at Strasbourg in Ligue 1 three days later. The Parisians are three points behind Lille for first place in the French top flight. Bayern Munich got goals from Eric-Maxim Choupo Motine and Thomas Muller in the losing effort last week. Manager Hansi Flick continues to be without attacker Robert Lewandowski, out a few more weeks after injuring his knee during the international break playing for his Polish national team. Lewandowski has netted 42 goals in 36 matches across all competitions this season. Despite the final score, the Bavarians outshot PSG, 21-5, with 12 of their shots on target to just four for the Parisians. Flick’s side comes off a 1-1 draw at home to Union Berlin on Saturday. Bayern Munich has scored only two goals in their two Bundesliga matches since the Lewandowski injury. Knocks also question the availability of Serge Gnarby, Douglas Costa, and Corentin Tolisso for this match.The Bavarians must either win by two goals or score four goals in a victory, to advance to the semifinals. A 3-2 win after regulation time would force the extra time tie-breaker. BookMaker lists Bayern Munich as a -0.25 goal line road favorite with an over/under of 3.5. Both matches on the Paramount+ app (formerly CBS All-Access). The PSG-Bayern Munich match is also on TUDN.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, MLB, NHL and UEFA Champions League Previews and Odds - 04/13/2021

by Big Al Staff

Tuesday, Apr 13, 2021

The Tuesday sports card features action in the NBA, NHL, MLB, and the UEFA Champions League.The NBA has six games on the docket. The card begins at 7 PM ET with the opener on TNT with the Los Angles Clippers visiting Indiana. The Clippers won their fifth straight game with a 131-124 victory at home against Detroit as a 12.5-point favorite on Sunday. The Pacers won their third in a row when they upset Memphis on the road, 132-125, as a 3.5-point underdog on Sunday.The nightcap on TNT has Portland hosting Boston at 10 PM ET. The Trail Blazers lost their third game in their last four with a 107-98 loss at home to Miami as a 1-point underdog on Sunday. The Celtics won their fifth game in six on Sunday with a 105-87 upset win at Denver as a 3-point underdog. Portland is a 1-point favorite with the total set at 228 (all odds from BetOnline). Six games are on the NHL slate. The schedule begins at 7 PM ET, with Washington playing at home against Philadelphia. The Capitals won their second straight game with their 8-1 victory at Boston on Sunday. The Flyers have lost three of their last four games after a 5-3 loss to Buffalo on Sunday. Washington is a -150 money line favorite with an over/under of 6.Seventeen games are on the MLB schedule, with two doubleheaders making up for two of the postponements on Monday. The card begins at 2:10 PM ET with Minnesota at home against Boston as a -143 money line favorite with a total of 8.5. Two televised games are on ESPN, beginning at 7 PM ET with Philadelphia playing in New York against the Mets in the second game of their Tuesday doubleheader after the rainout on Monday. The starting pitcher matchup will likely be Aaron Nola pitching for the Phillies against New York’s Marcus Stroman. The second game on ESPN has San Francisco hosting Cincinnati at 10 PM ET. The Reds won the series opener with a 3-0 victory on Monday. They turn to Luis Castillo for Game Two against the Giants’ Kevin Gausman. San Francisco is a -108 money line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. The second leg of the UEFA Champions League quarterfinals has two matches on Paramount (formerly CBS All-Access) at 3 PM ET. Chelsea plays FC Porto after winning the first leg as the road team, 2-0, last Wednesday. Porto must score at least two goals in a victory to advance to the semifinals. A 2-0 win after regulation time will force extra time with the aggregate score tied at two goals apiece. If both teams scored in the extra time, but the score remains tied after the two after the two 15-minute halves, the road team wins via the away goals tie-breaker. A best-of-five penalty shootout resolves the match if the extra time went scoreless. Chelsea is the technical home team with both legs of this matchup played at Seville, Spain, due to travel restrictions due to COVID. Chelsea is a -0.5 goal line favorite with a total of 2.5.Paris Saint-Germain hosts Bayern Munich at their Parc des Princes after their 3-2 triumph on the road at Allianz Arena. The Bavarians must either win by two goals or score four goals in a victory, to advance to the semifinals. A 3-2 win after regulation time would force the extra time tie-breaker. Bayern Munich is a -0.50 goal line road favorite with an over/under of 3.5. 

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