Articles

NFL Monday Afternoon Football: Steelers/Football Team Preview

by Big Al Staff

Monday, Dec 07, 2020

The opening game of the Monday NFL doubleheader has the Washington Football Team visiting the Pittsburgh Steelers for a 5 PM ET kickoff.Washington has raised their record to a 4-7 mark with two straight victories after they defeated Dallas on the road on Thanksgiving by a 41-16 score. The Football Team needs to win this game to keep pace with the New York Giants for first place in the NFC East after the Giants upset Seattle on the road by a 17-12 score yesterday.The Football Team has been playing underrated defense all season. They rank eighth in the league in stopping the pass and fifth in the league against the run. They registered four sacks against the Cowboys last week, which gives them 20 sacks in four games. Washington is second in the NFL with 36 sacks, and their 66 hits on the quarterback are also the second-most. What has made Ron Rivera’s team better as of late has been the stability at the quarterback position that Alex Smith has provided since he became the starter. Smith is completing 69%% of his passes, which is 5th best in the league. Washington is scoring 29.3 points-per-game while averaging 375.7 yards-per-game in their last three games with Smith under center. Yet the Football Team is averaging only 213.4 passing yards-per-game with Smith, and he has thrown only three touchdown passes with five interceptions. Smith is averaging only 4.9 air yards per pass attempt, which is the lowest in the league for qualifying quarterbacks. Smith is likely to win Comeback Player of the Year with his remarkable comeback from his leg injury last season. However, Smith is no longer as mobile as he plays behind an offensive line that has allowed 35 sacks, which is the second-most in the league.Pittsburgh remained undefeated this season with their 19-14 victory over Baltimore last Wednesday as a 10.5-point favorite. Ben Roethlisberger completed 36 of 51 passes for 266 yards with a touchdown and an interception in the win. Roethlisberger is completing 67.5% of his passes for 2800 yards with 25 touchdown passes and six interceptions. The veteran QB gets rid of the football in the pocket in just 2.28 seconds, which is the quickest release in the NFL. He has only ten sacks. Roethlisberger missed the last three practices this week as he deals with a sore knee, but he expects to still play in this game. Big Ben did not practice before their game with Cincinnati last month, but that did not stop him from completing 27 of 46 passes for 333 yards with four touchdown passes and no interceptions. Roethlisberger later tongue-in-cheek requested that he get to skip practices all the time after that effort. Head coach Mike Tomlin quickly dismissed that request. The Steelers lead the NFL by holding their opponents to just 17.7 points-per-game. They are also best in the league by allowing only 193.2 passing yards-per-game. However, Pittsburgh suffered a blow to their defense with the season-ending injury to linebacker Bud Dupree. The Steelers were playing without linebacker Devin Bush who endured a season-ending injury earlier in the year. Pittsburgh has eight of the team’s league-leading 41 sacks this season.BetOnline lists the Steelers as a 6.5-point favorite with the total set at 43.5. Fox broadcasts the game in 45% of the markets.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: EPL, NCAA Basketball and NFL Preview

by Big Al Staff

Monday, Dec 07, 2020

The Monday sports card features two games in the National Football League, along with an afternoon match in the English Premier League and a modest schedule of college basketball games in the afternoon and evening.The first game in the NFL kicks off at 5 PM ET with the Washington Football Team playing at Pittsburgh against the Steelers. Washington raised their record to a 4-7 mark last week with a 41-16 win at Dallas as a 2.5-point underdog on Thanksgiving. Rookie running back Antonio Gibson had a breakout game with 115 rushing yards with three touchdowns on 20 carries. Quarterback Alex Smith completed 19 of 26 passes of 149 yards with a touchdown and an interception, and the Football Team registered sacks against the Cowboys. The Washington defense has 20 sacks in their last four games. With the New York Giants’ upset victory in Seattle on Sunday, the Football Team needs the win to stay tied with them in first place. Pittsburgh remained the only unbeaten team in the NFL last Wednesday when they defeated Baltimore by a 19-14 score. The Steelers are one half-game ahead of Kansas City for the top seed (and a bye in the first round of the playoffs) in the AFC after the Chiefs defeated Denver Sunday night by a  22-16 score. Ben Roethlisberger completed 36 of 51 passes for 266 yards with a touchdown and an interception to lead Pittsburgh to the victory. Pittsburgh is a 6.5-point favorite with the total set at 43.5 (all odds from BetOnline). Fox has the broadcast. The Monday night game on ESPN between the Bills and 49ers features two teams in the thick of the playoff races. State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, is the site for this game as the temporary home for San Francisco. COVID restrictions in Santa Clara County prohibit the Niners from playing and practicing in their Levi's Stadium. Buffalo just played here on November 15th, where they lost to the Cardinals by a 32-30 score. This contest will be San Francisco’s first game in this stadium this year, with their annual date with their divisional rival in Arizona set for December 27th.Buffalo is up a half-game above Miami for first place in the AFC East standings after the Dolphins defeated Cincinnati on Sunday by a 19-7 score. The Bills have won four of their last five games to raise their record to an 8-3 mark after defeating the Los Angeles Charger at home last week by a 27-17 score. San Francisco snapped a three-game losing streak last week with their 23-20 upset victory at Los Angeles against the Rams as a 5-point underdog. The 49ers are just a half-game behind Arizona for the final wildcard spot in the NFC with a 5-6 record. The Cardinals lost to the Rams on Sunday by a 38-28 score. This game is a pick 'em with the total set at 47.5. ABC will broadcast the game along with ESPN. Kickoff is at 8:20 PM ET. Matchweek 14 in the English Premier League concludes with Southampton visiting Brighton and Hove Albion at 3 PM ET. The game is a pick ‘em with the total at 2.5. The NBC Sports Network broadcasts the match.Ten games are on the limited college basketball schedule that begins at 4 PM ET. None of the games are on national television. 

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NFL Monday Night Football: Bills/49ers Preview

by Big Al Staff

Monday, Dec 07, 2020

The Monday night game on ESPN between the Bills and 49ers features two teams in the thick of the playoff races. State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, is the site for this game as the temporary home for San Francisco. COVID restrictions in Santa Clara County prohibit the Niners from playing and practicing in their Levi's Stadium. Buffalo just played here on November 15th, where they lost to the Cardinals by a 32-30 score. This contest will be San Francisco’s first game in this stadium this year, with their annual date with their divisional rival in Arizona set for December 27th.Buffalo is up a half-game above Miami for first place in the AFC East standings after the Dolphins defeated Cincinnati on Sunday by a 19-7 score. The Bills have won four of their last five games to raise their record to an 8-3 mark after defeating the Los Angeles Chargers at home last week by a 27-17 score. Josh Allen completed 18 of 24 passes for 157 yards with a touchdown and an interception in the victory. He added another 32 yards on the ground with a touchdown. The quarterback is completing 68.8% of his passes for 3208 yards with 22 touchdown passes and eight interceptions. Allen has also rushed for 311 yards with another six touchdowns.San Francisco snapped a three-game losing streak last week with their 23-20 upset victory at Los Angeles against the Rams as a 5-point underdog. The 49ers are just a half-game behind Arizona for the final wildcard spot in the NFC with a 5-6 record. The Cardinals lost to the Rams on Sunday by a 38-28 score. Nick Mullens completed 24 of 35 passes for 252 yards with an interception in the victory against Los Angeles. The Niners’ quarterback is completing 67.1% of his passes in his six games this season for 1096 yards. He is averaging 7.8 yards-per-attempt with seven touchdown passes and five interceptions. The 49ers are getting healthier. Cornerback Richard Sherman is back on defense. Wide receiver Deebo Samuel caught 11 passes for 133 yards in his return to the field last week. Running back Raheem Mostert added 43 rushing yards with a touchdown against the Rams in his first game back from injury. Wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk and running back Tevin Coleman are expected to be available to play on Monday. Cornerback K’wan Williams is out, and cornerback Emmanuel Moseley is questionable with a hamstring injury. Cornerback Jamar Taylor is out the season with a knee injury. The Niners still have 14 players either on Injured Reserve or out the season, including tight end George Kittle and defensive linemen Dee Ford and Nick Bosa along with Garoppolo. Buffalo has a clean bill of health with zero players on their Injured List this week. Right tackle Cody Ford and wide receiver John Brown are on their IR.BookMaker lists San Francisco as a 1-point favorite with the total set at 47.5. ABC will broadcast the game along with ESPN. Kickoff is at 8:20 PM ET.

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Three Darkhorse NBA Teams To Win 2020/21

by Will Rogers

Monday, Dec 07, 2020

Three Darkhorse NBA Teams To Win 2020/21The Lakers are +275 to repeat in 2020/21. Brooklyn is in second at +525, while the Clippers and Bucks are +600 apiece. These four teams are the favorites to win the NBA championship next year, but there's plenty of value with some of the other teams, except they offer much better odds.Here are three "darkhorse" NBA picks that fall out of these top four favorites.Miami Heat (+1,600): Why not the Heat? How come the Nets are the favorites out of the East? Brooklyn has plenty of talent on paper, but no chemistry whatsoever. Miami shocked the World last year by winning the Eastern Conference and advancing to the NBA Finals, only to fall in six games. Jimmy Butler averaged 19 points, 6.7 boards, six assists, and 1.8 steals per game last year and he'll once again have Goran Dragic and Bam Adebayo alongside. Miami also added two-way guard Avery Bradley from the Lakers in the offseason. Denver Nuggets (+2,000): Denver lost some key bench players from last year's team, but it picked up some competent players via free agency in the offseason, including Facundo Campazzo and JaMychal Green. The strength of Denver is its depth, as it still has Majal Murray, Gary Harris, Michael Porter Jr, Paul Millsap, and Nikola Jokic starting, along with Will Barton, Monte Morris, and Bol Bol. Denver enters the 2020/21 season filled with confidence after twice coming back from 3-1 deficits in the playoffs, before eventually succumbing to the eventual champion Lakers in the Western Conference Finals.Dallas Mavericks (+2,500): Luka Doncic and the Mavericks were rolling in the playoffs before fellow star Kristaps Porzingis was injured. With Porzingis back to full health and Doncic entering his third year in the league, the sky really is the limit in Dallas this season (providing everyone stays healthy.) Doncic averaged 28.8 points, 9.4 boards, and 8.8 assists last year. Porzingis won't be in the line-up to start the year, but he'll just make this already stacked team that much stronger for the second-half push. Winning MVP is a very real goal for Doncic this year and he now has the supporting cast to reach even greater heights. If you don't mind tying up some of your bankroll for this length of time, at this price, the Mavericks are definitely worth a second look to win it all in 2020/21 in my opinion.

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NBA Betting Tips: Everything You Need to Know

by Oskeim Sports

Sunday, Dec 06, 2020

Believe it or not, the 2020-21 NBA season is already right around the corner. It's scheduled to start on December 22 with a handful of great games.If you're planning to bet on any of those games or any of the other games that will take place during the upcoming season, you should make sure you know how to do it first. It's important for NBA bettors to develop a winning NBA betting strategy if they want to make money over the long haul.It's also important for NBA bettors to keep certain NBA betting tips in the back of their minds while wagering on basketball. Check out some of the top NBA betting tips that you should commit to memory below.Begin by Getting a Better Understanding of NBA OddsBefore you start putting down bets on NBA games, you need to have NBA odds explained to you. Otherwise, you're going to struggle to put your NBA bets in, much less win them.When you're betting on NBA games, you're very rarely going to just be betting on one team to win a game against another team. Instead, you're usually going to be betting the point spread on NBA games.The point spread is a number that is used to illustrate how much better one NBA team is than another NBA team. You'll have to either bet on the team that is "giving" points (the favorite) to the other team or the team that is "getting" points (the underdog).If you bet on the favorite, you'll need that team to win by more than whatever the point spread is. So if they're a 3-point favorite, you'll need them to win by over 3 points to hit your bet.If you bet on the underdog, you'll need that team to either win outright or lose by less than whatever the point spread is. So if they're a 3-point underdog, you'll need them to lose by under 3 points to hit your bet.You can also bet the totals on NBA games. This calls for you to bet that a game will either go over or under a total number of points. These are some of the most popular NBA odds to bet.Learn How to Do NBA Betting Research ProperlyWhether you're going to bet on the point spread in an NBA game, the over/under, or something else, you should always do the necessary NBA betting research. You should know everything about a game prior to placing a bet on it.If a player or multiple players are injured, it could impact an NBA bet that you make. If a superstar player is sitting out a game for "load management" purposes, it could also impact an NBA bet that you put in.Many casual NBA bettors make the mistake of placing bets on games without doing the right amount of research on them. And it often comes back to bite them in the end.Turn to the Experts for Help Finding Guaranteed NBA PicksIf you don't have the time to sit around researching NBA games, why not rely on an expert to do it for you and provide you with guaranteed NBA picks? Of all the NBA betting tips listed here, this one might just be the most useful one to you.Look for an expert that you trust to set you up with the best NBA predictions in the business. It'll increase your chances of placing winning bets and make NBA betting more fun for you.Put These NBA Betting Tips to the Test During the Upcoming NBA SeasonNow that you know a lot more about betting on NBA games than you did a few minutes ago, you should start thinking about which bets you're going to make at the start of the season. Use the NBA betting tips found here to improve your odds as you place bets.If you need help making smart bets, take a look at the professional sports handicappers at BigAl.com.  

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UFC 256 Preview

by Ben Burns

Sunday, Dec 06, 2020

A few weeks ago, in my preview of UFC 255, I stated the following: "The Royval/Moreno winner could find himself fighting Figueiredo next." Dana White didn't waste any time in making my prediction come true. As expected, both Moreno and Figueiredo won their November 21st fights. On December 12th, a mere few weeks later, the two will meet at UFC 256. It should be a good one. I believe that Moreno is better than Perez, the fighter that Figueiredo submitted in the first round last month. However, Figueiredo is a slightly bigger favorite for this fight than he was against Perez. (Most shops are at -300 or higher.) That's because the public has caught on that the flyweight champ, "God of War," is deadly both on the ground and on his feet. As I mentioned before his last fight: "I won with Figueiredo (19-1) in his last fight, as he took care of Joseph Benavidez in the first round. That victory came via submission, the seventh of his career. However, the flyweight champ is more known for his hands. He's got serious power for this weight class."Moreno is no slouch though. Royval was a pretty good fighter in his own right and Moreno stopped him in the first round. That brings him to an impressive 6-0-1 in the UFC. Moreno had this to say about the champ: "I'm more technical, I have more tools and I’m a lot quicker than him. The only thing you can say about Deiveson is that he’s a one-shot fighter, so I have to make that my advantage. I know that he can surprise. I know that he has a lot of tools, good elbows, good kicks. but I have a lot more speed than him and that’s going to be my advantage against him."I'm not about to lay -300 or more with Figueiredo. Not against a really good fighter. Not when both are taking the fight on short notice. I'm not about to go against the champ either. He's that good. Rather, I'm just going to appreciate this one and look for my opportunities elsewhere. Enjoy and good luck ... Ben Burns

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Big Al's Daily Angle: EPL, NCAA Football, NCAA Basketball and NFL Preview

by Big Al Staff

Sunday, Dec 06, 2020

The Sunday sports card features the start of Week 13 in the National Football League along with a full slate of college basketball, four matches in the English Premier League, and two college football games between FBS opponents.Twelve games are on the docket in the NFL. Seven games begin the card at 1 PM ET. The national broadcast on Fox has New Orleans traveling to Atlanta as a 2-point road favorite with the total set at 45.5 (all odds from BetOnline). The primary game on CBS has Tennessee hosting Cleveland as a 4.5-point favorite with an over/under of 53. Four more games take place in the 4:05 PM ET to 4:20 PM ET window of afternoon games. The national game on CBS has Green Bay playing at home in Lambeau Field as an 8-point favorite with a total of 49.5.Sunday Night Football on NBC has Denver visiting Kansas City with the kickoff at 8:20 PM ET. The Chiefs are a 13-point favorite with the over/under at 51.Two rare games take place in college football on a Sunday, given rescheduling due to COVID complications. At noon ET, Charlotte hosts Western Kentucky as a 2-point favorite, with the total at 46.5. USC plays at home against Washington State at 7:30 PM ET as a 12-point favorite with an over/under of 68. This Pac-12 contest will be on FS1.A busy card in college basketball is on tap for Sunday. Villanova visits Texas at 1 PM ET on ESPN with the Longhorns 2-point favorites with the total set at 132.5. Texas Tech hosts Grambling at 1 PM ET on ESPNU as a 32-point favorite with the over/under at 132.5. At 2 PM ET, Missouri plays at Wichita State on ESPN2 as a 5-point road favorite with a total of 141. St. John’s hosts Stony Brook at 2:30 PM ET on FS1 as a 16.5-point favorite with a total of 146.5. Cincinnati hosts Xavier at 3 PM ET on ESPN. The Bearcats are a 1.5-point favorite with the over/under at 135.5. Oklahoma travels to TCU for a 4 PM ET tip on ESPN2. The Cowboys are 3.5-point road favorites with the total set at 135. Kentucky visits Georgia Tech at 5 PM ET on ESPN. The Wildcats are a 6.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 141.Iowa State plays at home against DePaul on ESPNU at 6 PM ET. The Cyclones are 3.5-point favorites with a total of 148.Four matches take place in the English Premier League, with all of them broadcast on the NBC Peacock app. At 7 AM ET, Crystal Palace visits West Bromwich as a -0.25 goal line road favorite with the total set at 2.25. Leicester City plays at Sheffield United for a match at 9:15 PM ET as a -0.5 goal line road favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Tottenham hosts Arsenal at 11:30 AM ET as a -0.5 goal line favorite with the total at 2.5. Liverpool plays at home at 2:15 PM ET against Wolverhampton as a -1 goal line favorite with an over/under of 2.75.

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NFL Sunday Night Football: Broncos/Chiefs Preview

by Big Al Staff

Sunday, Dec 06, 2020

The Sunday night game on NBC features a rematch between the Denver Broncos and the Kansas City Chiefs. The reigning Super Bowl champions won the first meeting between these two teams on October 25th with a 43-16 victory in Denver as a 7-point favorite. Kansas City is cruising on their way to winning the AFC West with a six-game winning streak. With their 10-1 record, the Chiefs are hot on the trails of the Pittsburgh Steelers, who currently hold the top seed in the AFC playoff race with their undefeated record. Only the number one seeds in both conferences are awarded byes in the first round of the playoffs, given the new expansion to a seventh team.Kansas City defeated Tampa Bay on the road last Sunday by a 27-24 score as a 3.5-point favorite. The Chiefs went into the fourth quarter with a 27-10 lead before the Buccaneers scored two touchdowns in the final 15 minutes. Patrick Mahomes led the offense to 543 yards in the victory. He completed 37 of his 49 passes for 462 yards with three touchdown passes while adding another 28 yards on the ground. Mahomes is completing 68.8% of his passes this season for 3497 yards with 30 touchdown passes and just two interceptions. He has also rushed for another 215 yards with two touchdowns. Denver lost their third game in their last four games last week in a 31-3 loss at home to New Orleans in a game where all three of their quarterbacks were unavailable to play because of COVID protocols. Wide receiver Kendall Hinton came off the practice squad to attempt nine passes in that game but completed only one for 13 yards. He also tossed two interceptions. The Broncos managed only 112 yards of offense without a credible passing threat. With a 4-7 record, Denver’s playoff hopes are slim. They trail Indianapolis and Miami for the final spot in the AFC playoff race by three games. The Broncos begin a stretch where three of their next four games are on the road. Drew Lock will be back under center after being cleared from COVID quarantine. He may be playing for his job the rest of the season after completing only 55.6% of his passes for 1767 yards with a 6.6 yards-per-attempt average. Lock has only thrown seven touchdown passes while tossing 11 interceptions. Denver will be without their best cover cornerback after Bryce Callahan was placed on Injured Reserve with a foot injury this week. He joins linebacker Von Miller, defensive linemen Jurrell Casey and Mike Purcell, and wide receiver Courtland Sutton who are already on IR. Safety Trey Marshall is out with a shin injury. Running back Phillip Lindsay, wide receiver Jerry Jeudy, and linebacker Malik Reed are all listed as questionable but with the signs indicating they will play. Kansas City only has running back Clyde Edwards-Hellaire on their Injured List after he missed the last two practices with a non-COVID illness. He will be a game-time decision. Right tackle Mitchell Schwartz remains on the IR. BetAnySports lists the Chiefs as a 13-point favorite with the total set at 51. Kickoff is at 8:20 PM ET.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: EPL, NCAA Basketball and NCAA Football Preview

by Big Al Staff

Saturday, Dec 05, 2020

The Saturday sports card features a full day of college football and college basketball action along with the start of Matchweek 11 of the English Premier League. Forty games between FBS opponents are on the college football schedule. There were 14 games either canceled or postponed due to COVID issues: Wake Forest/Louisville; Alabama/Arkansas; Northwestern/Minnesota; Maryland/Michigan; Mississippi/LSU; Missouri/Mississippi State; Miami (FL)/Wake Forest; Florida State/Duke; Kent State/Miami (OH); Houston/SMU; FIU/Charlotte; Liberty/Coastal Carolina; Vanderbilt/Georgia; Buffalo/Ohio.Seventeen college football games take place in the noon ET to 3 PM ET window. Eleven games kick off the card at noon ET. Ohio State travels to Michigan State on ABC as a 23.5-point road favorite with the total set at 59.5 (all odds from BetOnline). Texas visits Kansas State on Fox with the Longhorns a 7-point road favorite with an over/under of 51. Texas A&M plays at Auburn on ESPN as a 5.5-point road favorite with a total of 48. Penn State goes on the road to play Rutgers on FS1 as an 11.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 52.5. Texas Tech hosts Kansas on FS2 as a 25-point favorite with the total at 62.5. Oklahoma State visits TCU as a 2.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 51.5. At 2 PM ET, Ball State travels to Central Michigan on ESPNU as a 2-point road favorite with an over/under of 62.5. Notre Dame plays at home against Syracuse on NBC at 2:30 PM ET as a 33.5-point favorite with the total at 51.Another 12 games go off in the 3:30 PM ET to 6 PM ET window of games. Six games are scheduled at 3:30 PM ET. Wisconsin hosts Indiana on ABC as a 13-point favorite with the total set at 44.5. Florida visits Tennessee on CBS as a 17.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 62.5. Iowa State plays at home against West Virginia on ESPN as a 6.5-point favorite with the total at 49. Iowa plays at Illinois on FS1 as a 13.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 51.5. Tulsa travels to Navy on ESPN2 as a 12-point road favorite with a total of 45.5.At 4 PM ET, Washington hosts Stanford as an 11.5-point favorite with a total of 49. BYU travels to Coastal Carolina at 5:30 PM ET in a rescheduled game between these two undefeated Group of Five programs that had games canceled because of COVID this week. The Cougars are 10.5-point road favorites with an over/under of 62. ESPNU broadcasts the game. Eight games take place between 7 PM ET to 8 PM ET. Oregon travels to California at 7 PM ET on ESPN with the Ducks' 9-point road favorites with a total of 60. San Diego State hosts Colorado State on the CBS Sports Network as a 7-point favorite with the over/under at 45.5. Colorado visits Arizona on FS1 as a 7.5-point favorite, with the total set at 57.5. At 7:30 PM ET, Clemson travels to Virginia Tech on ABC as a 21.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 66. Alabama visits LSU at 8 PM ET on CBS as a 29.5-point road favorite with the total at 66. Oklahoma hosts Baylor on Fox as a 21.5-point favorite with an over/under of 61.5.Four final games kick off at 10:30 PM ET. Utah hosts Oregon State on ESPN as an 11-point favorite with the total set at 51.5. Arizona State plays at home against UCLA as a 3-point favorite with an over/under of 56. Nevada has Fresno State visiting Reno on FS2, where they are laying 6.5 points as the favorite with a total of 59. Wyoming visits New Mexico in their relocated home in Las Vegas as a 17.5-point road favorite with the over/under at 52.There is only one college basketball game on national television, yet it is a marquee matchup between the #1 ranked Gonzaga Bulldogs versus the #2 ranked Baylor Bears. Gonzaga is a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 160. This game tips off at 1 pm on a neutral court at the Bankers Life Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. CBS has the broadcast. Matchweek 11 of the English Premier League has four matches. At 7:30 AM ET on the NBC Sports Network, Everton visits Burnley as a -0.5 goal line road favorite with the total set at 2.5. Manchester City hosts Fulham on the NBC Sports Network at 10 AM ET with the goal line pending and an over/under of 3.75. Manchester United travels to West Ham United at 12:30 PM ET on NBC as a -0.5 goal line road favorite with the total at 2.75. Chelsea hosts Leeds United at 3 PM ET on the NBC Sports Network as a -1 goal line favorite with the over/under at 3.25.

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Ness Notes: Friday Nov 4

by Larry Ness

Friday, Dec 04, 2020

This column will be available Monday through Friday (posted no later than 1:00 ET), EXCLUSIVELY at BigAl.com. I like to call it my daily 'random thoughts' on the sports betting world, although I'll pass along that my therapist refers to it as "thoughtful commentary."CBB: There were no games between ranked opponents on Thursday and there are not any scheduled for Friday (higher ranked teams are 5-3 SU but 3-5 ATS when facing a ranked opponent). Four ranked teams were in action on Thursday against unranked opponents, No. 3 Iowa, No. 7 Kansas, No. 16 Va Tech and No. 25 Arizona St. All four won and three of the four covered, led by Iowa's 99-58 romp over Western Illinois. Luka Garza had 30 points in the first half and 'settled' for 35 points and 10 rebounds (he's averaging 34.0 & 9.7 on the season). Ranked teams are off to an impressive 51-5 (.918) SU start, while going 34-20-2 (63.0%) ATS when facing an unranked opponent. Friday will feature SEVEN games between ranked and unranked opponents, including FOUR top-10 teams. No. 4 Wisconsin (-4 1/2) will be on the road at Marquette, No. 6 Duke (-29) welcomes Bellarmine (?) to a fan-less Cameron Indoor Stadium, No. 8 Michigan St (-25 1/2), off its win at Duke, hosts Detroit Mercy and Creighton (-34) takes on Kennesaw St in Omaha. No. 15 Virginia, No. 17 Texas Tech and No. 21 Oregon are also on the court in Friday's action.Big news in CFB came our way on Thursday. The College Football Playoff selection committee made it clear in each of its first two rankings that BYU's weak schedule was keeping it outside the top-10. The Cougars play as an Independent and had planned a 2020 schedule which included three Pac-12 teams, two Big Ten teams and one SEC team (it was being touted as the strongest in the program's storied history). However, BYU had to build a schedule from scratch when the Big Ten and Pac 12 postponed their respective seasons in August and the SEC decided to play a conference-only schedule. What remained was a slate that did not have any Power 5 schools.  BYU's strength of schedule is currently No. 87 with only three wins against FBS teams over .500. BYU's athletic director Tom Holmoe felt a sense of urgency to try to quickly schedule another quality opponent and an "incredible opportunity" arose this week, when BYU was able to replace Liberty as Coastal Carolina's opponent on Saturday, after COVID-19 issues prevented the Flames from playing in the game. The game was put together at warp speed, as Holmoe said he first learned of Liberty's precarious position on Wednesday morning but it wasn't until Thursday morning that the game became official. 9-0 BYU is No. 8 in the AP poll but just 13th in the CFP standings and 9-0 Coastal Carolina is No. 14 in the AP and No. 18 in CFP. BYU can't possibly expect that a win at Coastal Carolina will vault them into 'Final Four' territory but a win and then a win Dec 12 against San Diego St could earn them one of the more lucrative bowl bids. Then again, I am reminded of that old proverb that says, "Be careful what you wish for!" BYU is favored by 10 points.The longest Week 12 in NFL history (began on Thanksgiving) finally ended this past Wednesday when the Steelers beat the Ravens 19-14. Home teams finished the week just 5-11 SU but 8-8 ATS, as home dogs contributed a 6-3 ATS mark. Home teams are barely over .500 for the season, entering Week 13 at 90-86-1 (.511) SU  but below .500 ATS (85-90-2 or 48.6%). Home underdogs have 'saved' home teams in 2020, going just 19-44 (.302) SU but 35-26-2 (57.8%) ATS. Week 12 games averaged 47.4 PPG with 10 of the 16 staying under. there have now been 87 overs, 86 unders and four pushes Y-T-D.The 4-8 Carolina Panthers and the 7-5 Tampa Bucs have byes this week, completing the bye weeks for NFL 2020. The other 30 teams (15 games) are all 'working' in Week 13, as all 32 teams will have played 12 games by week's end. There was no Thursday game to kick things off and the week has added a second MNF game (Washington at Pittsburgh) and a Tuesday game (Dallas at Baltimore) because of last week's Ravens/Steelers game being pushed all the way back to Wednesday.NFL Week 13: Let's start at the top and the bottom! The Pittsburgh Steelers are 11-0 and the New York Jets are 0-11. The Steelers will play the "early game" on Monday, when they host 4-7 Washington. Pittsburgh has an 8-3 ATS record to go along with its 11-0 start and ironically, will be facing another division leader in Washington. Yes, at 4-7, Washington (6-5 ATS) is tied with the Giants atop the NFC East, with last year's NFC East winner, Philadelphia, lurking at 3-7-1. You CAN'T make this up! Washington has been off since a 41-16 win over Dallas on Thanksgiving, giving them 11 days between games, compared with five days between games for Pittsburgh. However, Pittsburgh is favored by 8 1/2- points and the over/under is 42. The Jets have lost 11 straight games in the same season for the first time in club history and they are now just ONE loss from matching their longest losing streak ever, a 12-game skid that bridged the 1995-96 seasons. The Jets will host the Las Vegas Raiders, who fell to 6-5 after suffering an ugly 43-6 loss in Atlanta. Las Vegas is in a battle with Miami, Indianapolis and Baltimore for the final two wild card spots in the AFC and just maybe, the 'schedule gods' did the Raiders a huge favor with a game against the Jets. Sam Darnold played for the first time since aggravating a right shoulder injury in a 35-9 loss to Kansas City back on Nov 1 and was 16-of-27 for 197 yards and was intercepted twice in the loss to the Dolphins. However, head coach Adam Gase said he will stick with him as the starter over veteran Joe Flacco. Why not? After all, Darnold hasn't thrown a TD pass in 19 quarters and his 64.0 QB rating is the worst among qualifying quarterbacks. The Raiders are favored by nine points and the over/under is 47.Only Pittsburgh has a better record than the defending champion Chiefs, who are 10-1 but just 6-5 ATS. Led by Patrick Mahomes (30 TD passes and just two INTs in 423 attempts / 115.5 QB rating). The Chiefs will welcome 4-7 Denver to Arrowhead Stadium for SNF.  I'm sure all are aware of what happened with the Denver QB situation last Sunday but it's likely that ONE of the four QBs with NFL experience will line up under center this Sunday. Will it really matter? The Chiefs are favored by 14 points and the over/under is 51. Battling for the No. 1 seed in the NFC are the 9-2 Saints and the 8-3 Packers. New Orleans has won EIGHT games in a row to take a 2 1/2-game lead over Tampa Bay atop the NFC South and a one-game lead over Green Bay atop the conference. The Saints beat the Falcons 24-9 two weeks ago in Taysom Hill's first start at QB in place of Drew Brees. The Saints are favored by three points and the over/under is 45. The Packers are home vs the 3-7-1 Eagles, who will be rooting for Pittsburgh to beat Washington and for Seattle to beat the Giants, as well as trying to slow down Rodgers and the Green Bay offense. Rodgers is having a Mahomes-like season with 33 TD passes and just four INTs in 381 attempts. In fact, Rodgers' QB rating is the best in the NFL at 117.6. The Packers are favored by nine points and the over/under is 47 1/2.A number of other games of note are the 8-3 Browns at the 8-3 Titans (Tenn is favored by 5 1/2-points & the ov/un is 53 1/2) with Cleveland in position to make the playoffs for the first time since 2002. Can it really be? Tennessee leads the Colts by one game in the AFC South and is favored by points and the over/under is. The 7-4 Rams are at the 6-5 Cards (Rams are -3 & ov/un is 48), with both teams looking up at the 8-3 Seahawks in the NFC West. The Seahawks (-10 with an over/under of 47 1/2) host the 4-7 Giants, who as noted earlier, are in a three-way battle in the NFC East with Washington and Philadelphia. Oh, the drama.Good luck...Larry 

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NCAA Saturday Night Football: Clemson/Virginia Tech Preview

by Big Al Staff

Friday, Dec 04, 2020

The Saturday night game on ABC features a must-win game for the Clemson Tigers. A victory for Dabo Swinney’s team clinches their spot in the ACC championship game in a rematch with Notre Dame, who handed them their only loss this season. But a talented yet underachieving Virginia Tech team still stands in their way in this showdown in Blacksburg.The Tigers rebounded from their 47-40 loss to the Fighting Irish in South Bend last week by defeating Pittsburgh by a 52-17 score as a 24-point favorite. Clemson generated 581 yards of offense while holding the Panthers to only 246 yards. The Tigers also benefited from a +4 net turnover margin.Junior quarterback Trevor Lawrence did not miss a beat returning to the field after missing the last two games after testing positive for COVID. Lawrence completed 26 of 37 passes for 403 yards with two touchdowns passes. He is completing 70.6% of his passes this season for 2236 yards with 19 touchdown passes and only two interceptions. Virginia Tech started the season with a 4-2 record after losing at North Carolina and Wake Forest. Yet they have since endured three straight upset losses to Liberty, Miami (FL), and then at Pittsburgh two weeks ago by a 47-14 score as a 6.5-point favorite. The losses to the Flames and Hurricanes were by only four combined points before things fell apart against the Panthers. Expectations were very high this year for head coach Justin Fuente in the fifth year with this program. With 18 starters back from the team that finished 8-5 while winning six of their last eight games after Fuente tapped Hendon Hooker as his starting quarterback, some observers considered this Hokies group to be his best yet in Blacksburg. COVID outbreaks and player defections have been unexpected obstacles for the program. The Virginia Tech defense has been the biggest disappointment for this team. Long-time defensive coordinator Bud Foster retired while seemingly leaving the cupboard full with ten starters back from a unit that allowed 363.3 yards-per-game, which ranked 42nd in the nation. Rather than improving on those numbers, this defense has taken a step or two back by allowing their opponents to score 32.6 points-per-game and average 462.1 yards-per-game, with the latter number ranking 109th of the 127 competing FBS teams.Virginia Tech could salvage something positive this year if they could spoil Clemson’s season by pulling the upset. The Hokies are ninth in the nation by averaging 250.9 rushing yards-per-game led by Hooker and Kansas grad transfer Khalil Herbert at running back. Virginia has won all four of their games this season when they rush for at least 260 yards. Yet this Tigers’ defense is third in the nation by holding their opponents to 102.6 rushing yards-per-game. The last time Clemson allowed 260 rushing yards was against Louisville in October of 2016. BookMaker lists Clemson as a 22-point road favorite with the total set at 67.  The ABC broadcast begins at 7:30 PM ET.

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NCAA Friday Night Football: Louisiana/Appalachian State Preview

by Big Al Staff

Friday, Dec 04, 2020

The Friday night game on ESPN is a rematch of the last two conference championship games in the Sun Belt Conference. Appalachian State defeated Louisiana-Lafayette in the 2018 conference championship game by a 30-19 score. The Mountaineers followed that victory up last year with their second-straight conference championship in a 45-38 win over the Ragin’ Cajuns. Appalachian State won both of those games at home in Boone, North Carolina, which is once again the site for this showdown.Louisiana returned 14 starters from last year’s team that finished 11-3 with a 27-17 victory over Miami (OH) in the Lending Tree Bowl. The Ragin’ Cajuns have clinched their third straight appearance in the Sun Belt Conference championship game with an 8-1 season. Louisiana’s lone loss was against Coastal Carolina, which they will get to avenge in this year’s Sun Belt championship game on December 19th. But first, the Ragin’ Cajuns have the opportunity to settle some past business in this revenge opportunity. The Ragin’ Cajuns come off a 70-20 victory at Louisiana-Monroe last week as a four-touchdown favorite. Senior quarterback Levi Lewis completed 18 of 25 passes for 147 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions. Lewis is completing 62.2% of his passes this season for 2027 yards with 16 touchdown passes but along with seven interceptions. Lewis has added 233 rushing yards on the ground on a 6.3 yards-per-carry average with another five touchdowns. Lewis hands off to running backs Elijah Mitchell and Trey Ragas, who have each rushed for more than 600 yards. The Ragin’ Cajuns average 5.8 yards-per-carry as a team, which is the sixth-highest mark in the nation.Appalachian State responded to their 34-23 loss at Coastal Carolina two weeks ago with a 47-10 victory at home against Troy last Saturday as a two-touchdown favorite. While the Mountaineers cannot defend their conference championship, they can still improve their standing for a bowl bid in this high-profile matchup. Appalachian State is 7-2 on the year, with their other loss being a 17-7 setback at Marshall. Senior quarterback Zac Thomas completed 22 of 29 passes of 279 yards with four touchdown passes last week in the win over the Trojans. Thomas is completing 66.7 points-per-game this season for 1775 yards with 17 touchdown passes but also with eight interceptions. He has added 273 yards on the ground with another two touchdowns. Thomas leads an offense that is seventh in the nation by averaging 256.4 yards-per-game. Yet the Mountaineers put up six fewer points-per-game than their 38.8 points-per-game clip last season. The weather may play a role in this game, with temperatures expected to drop to the low-30s Friday night in Boone. Rain and perhaps snow are in the forecast with winds of 15 to 25 miles per hour. COVID restrictions will limit the attendance to a capacity of 2170 for this game. BetOnline lists Appalachian State as a 3-point favorite with an over/under of 51.5. The ESPN broadcast starts at 8:30 PM ET.

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