Articles

MLB 2021: NL East Division Preview

by Scott Rickenbach

Sunday, Feb 28, 2021

NL East Division Preview for MLB 2021Atlanta Braves – The Braves are projected by most to land at around 90 wins this season and battle it out with the Mets for top spot in this division. Atlanta has had 3 straight solid seasons as they are returning to the year over year consistency they had displayed for so many years before slipping a few years back. Now the Braves again look like the Braves of old with a solid rotation, including now Charlie Morton too, and they have great young arms too. Then you look at the lineup and this team has a great mix of young up and coming stars as well as veteran talent. It is hard to find a weakness with this team but the bullpen might be one area to watch. Mark Melancon is now with the Padres and so the Braves will have a different closer now and overall the pen could take some time to jell this season. Miami Marlins – The Marlins surprised some in a short season last year but now I look for them to return to a range of, at most, 70 wins. They are still in a rebuild mode which was simply a bit masked by the covid-shortened season last year. Manager Don Mattingly has been pushing the right buttons here but Miami’s bullpen was a weakness last year and their lineup produced a rather low slugging percentage. This team was fortunate to finish above .500 last season, still has some unproven starting pitchers that are still growing into their role in the rotation, and also finished toward the bottom of the league for team fielding. New York Mets – The new owner has opened up the pocketbook for sure and went on a spending spree. That is why a team that finished with a losing record last season is likely to get to around 90 wins this season. They added Lindor to bolster the lineup, McCann who is a solid veteran catcher, and Carrasco to the rotation. He’ll fit in well behind deGrom who is phenomenal. Also, the lineup looks even stronger as Dominic Smith continues to look stronger and stronger in terms of his potential. This lineup looks really strong with a lot of power potential plus the bullpen is strong in terms of closer and set-up men. Philadelphia Phillies – The Phillies could surprise this season. Hard to peg them ending up much better than .500 on the season especially when you consider the strength of the Braves and Mets. Also, the Nationals are similar in overall team strength to the Nationals. However, the reason Philadelphia could surprise is because they have Nola and Wheeler at the top of the rotation plus catcher JT Realmuto, a key piece, came back and they have Bryce Harper and other big bats like Hoskins, Bohm, Gregorius and Segura. The top guys in the bullpen can be strong for the Phils but that is their overall weakness. A horrible pen that was dead last in the majors last season! Keep an eye on this as a key to Phillies season.Washington Nationals – Projected to be in the mid-80s for their win total this season. The Nats finished below .500 last season but they have to be back. They have a powerful line-up especially with the phenomenal hitting of Juan Soto plus Trea Turner and plus perhaps Josh Bell bounces back too. But when you have a solid pitching rotation led by Max Scherzer and you have Stephen Strasburg, if healthy, that is a tough 1-2 combo. Also, a very solid closer for the Nationals but their bullpen was overall a weak link last year and that could again be an issue as well. That is what could prevent Washington from competing with the Mets and Braves for the top spot in the division. 

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MLB 2021: AL East Division Preview

by Scott Rickenbach

Sunday, Feb 28, 2021

AL East Division Preview for MLB 2021Baltimore Orioles – The Orioles are projected by most to finish with a win total in the mid-60s. Baltimore is a young team that is trying to build for the future. They just can not keep up with the big spending of divisional foes like the Yankees. In a few years the youth movement should pay off but right now the Orioles have a weak rotation, poor bullpen, and will have to try and notch some victories with big games at the plate. Baltimore was one of the better hitting teams in the American League in the shortened campaign last season. Boston Red Sox – Boston is projected to finish at about .500 this season. The Red Sox still have the long-term reputation but really this team is a shell of its former self. They can win some games with their bats particularly when at home in hitter-friendly Fenway Park. However, though the bullpen has some solid arms, the starting rotation has many concerns. That said, likely to be another season in which Boston again finishes near the bottom of the table for important stats like team ERA and team fielding. This team also does have defensive concerns for sure. New York Yankees – The Yankees are expected to win this division and get to a win total in the mid-90s but the Rays and Jays are likely to have something to say about that. One of the two could emerge as a challenger to the Yanks for sure. What would be a weakness with the bankrolling Yankees? The starting rotation for sure is a concern. Fantastic bullpen it appears but who is going to be the support behind Gerrit Cole in the pitching rotation? The Yankees were only in the middle of the pack for team pitching last season and heavily rely on their sluggers to win games. Generally, as the sluggers go, so go the Yankees. Definitely a strong bullpen when healthy. Tampa Bay Rays – The Rays should get into the mid-80s for a win total this season. Amazingly one of the lowest payrolls in baseball but Tampa Bay still finds a way. They are so competitive. A small market team that is easy to like based on the competitive level they bring despite not having the star power. Of course the losses of Charlie Morton and Blake Snell form the rotation are big changes for this season. Tampa Bay will take a step back as a result but always hard to count these guys out and this is especially true if they get some solid contributions from the guys they picked up including in the Snell deal with the Padres. Toronto Blue Jays – The Blue Jays are expected to get into the mid-80s for their win total this season. But that is just where they seem stuck right now as they do not have the top-tier rotation guys to truly dominate teams. Toronto has to rely on their big sticks to try and win games as their rotation has a lot of mid-level guys but not any real standout dominators. Also, their bullpen has some strong arms but not a lot of depth and is also a bit of a concern. That said, a team whose slugging percentage ranked 4th in the AL last season will again be the key for the Blue Jays and how their season goes this year. 

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2021 NFL Draft Intel: Date, Time, Location & Mock Draft

by Oskeim Sports

Sunday, Feb 28, 2021

 The 2021 NFL Draft is set to take place whether the COVID-19 pandemic is still a factor or not. This year’s class is shaping up to be a controversial one. Yes, the 2020 NFL Draft in Roger Goodell’s basement was a little taboo. I’m referring more to the talent themselves. Most college athletes either got a shortened season with several postponements or their season was canceled altogether. The top-tier players such as Trevor Lawrence and Justin Fields played in shortened seasons, but it barely affected their draft stock. The same can’t be said about most of the eligible players. Some needed that extra year to improve their skill set for a higher stock or avoid going undrafted. Others need this year to rehab from an injury and get to full strength and peak form.  The draft is always going to have “busts” and “steals” but the 2021 draft will likely see an uptick in both categories. With the NFL postseason officially over and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers the reigning champs, it is time to turn your full attention to the NFL Draft.  When is the 2021 NFL Draft?  The 2021 NFL Draft will be conducted over a three-day period, starting Thursday and concluding Saturday. This year, it will be held on April 29th, 30th, and May 1st. The league spends three days on the draft due to the massive amount of coverage. It would be hard for most people to sit and view over 12 straight hours of feed. Spreading over multiple days maximizes viewership and ratings while adding some suspense to the event.  As for the start times of the draft each day, nothing is confirmed yet. The pandemic is still a lingering issue that needs to be accounted for and times won’t be solidified until closer to April. We can look at the times in recent years though to get a good estimate of when we should tune in.  Round 1 will be held on Thursday, April 29th. It should begin around 8 pm eastern standard time. Friday, April 30th, will be Rounds 2 and 3 starting around 7 pm eastern standard time. Round 4-7 are held through most of the day on Saturday, May 1st. The usual start time is noon eastern standard time since 4 rounds are selected on the final day.  The runtime each day is based on the maximum amount of time each team must select their player in each round. Teams are given 10 minutes in the first round. There are 7 minutes allowed in Rounds 2 and 3. Round 4 through 6 have 5-minute limits and there are just 4 minutes per pick on the final round.  Where is the 2021 NFL Draft being held?  This is quite the conundrum for the NFL at this moment. Last year, the draft was virtual, and the main feed was at Commissioner Roger Goodell’s own home. There was no attendance by players nor fans. Las Vegas was the initial home for the 2020 NFL Draft, but they will be compensated with hosting in 2022. For now, Cleveland, Ohio is set to host this year’s event, their first time doing so. After an impressive season in 2020, Cleveland could have a very successful stint as host. It still depends on the pandemic though. We may not know until closer to early April where exactly the draft will occur and what the attendance situation will be.  As the season progressed last year, some teams and stadiums were slowly allowing fans in the stands. It was still at a rather small capacity limit but still a start. During Super Bowl 55, there were 25,000 people in the stands with an additional 30,000 cutouts. If the draft remains in Cleveland, there will most likely be a restriction on how many can attend. A good bet would be just players and families allowed inside. Expect restrictions on fans outside the draft venue as well for safety measures. If by chance the pandemic spikes again, the draft could be aired at Goodell’s home once more or in a secondary location that players could still attend.  The NFL Draft was held in New York, in some capacity, from 1965 to 2014. It moved to Chicago for two years, but the league now takes bids for it like the Super Bowl.  Where can you watch the 2021 NFL Draft?  No matter where the draft will be held, there will be several ways to watch or stream it. ESPN, ABC, NFL Network, and ESPN Deportes will all be airing coverage live on television. You can listen to the live feed on ESPN Radio. There is also a streaming option on the NFL App, NFL.com, ESPN.com, and the NFL Network website.  2021 NFL Draft QB Preview  We all know who Trevor Lawrence is and where he is going in the draft: Jacksonville barring a ground-breaking trade. We don’t truly know exactly where any of the remaining QB prospects will land in the draft, but this scout has a decent take on the first 10 to be selected.  Zach Wilson- BYU- NY Jets- 1st Round  Sam Darnold is bound to be traded, it is just a matter of when and who. Zach Wilson has climbed the rankings over the last few months and has a similar skillset to Darnold. The real difference is that he’s a better pocket-passer with a better arm.  Justin Fields- Ohio State- Atlanta Falcons- 1st Round  This is a similar situation to where Matt Ryan could be gone, or at least he should be if I was in charge. Fields is borderline the second-best prospect in the class and helps Atlanta as they go younger and faster on offense.  Trey Lance- North Dakota State- Detroit Lions- 1st Round  Lance could easily fall down the board due to only having one game last season. Due to team need, the Lions are going to take a chance on him and help groom him into a quality starting QB. The Lions are able to be in a rebuild mode while Lance fits the mold of the NFL.  Mac Jones- Alabama- Washington Football Team- 1st Round  I can see the Patriots and Washington trading here as WFT may think New England could snag Jones. Alex Smith says he doesn’t want to retire but he’s on the last leg of his career. While Smith won Comeback Player of the Year, Jones would be an upgrade. He’s got a strong arm and athleticism.  Kyle Trask- Florida- Pittsburgh Steelers- 2nd Round  Pittsburgh will trade up, likely anywhere before Carolina or New England picks. Trask is like Roethlisberger as a true pocket passer who can run when needed. With the speed on the surrounding offense, Trask could be successful in this system.  Jamie Newman- Wake Forest- New England- 2nd Round  After a disappointing Senior Bowl, Newman will slide to New England without a fight. He looks and plays like a pro and can be a productive dual-threat. Returning for his senior year as a transfer to Georgia would have helped him but he opted out. At the very least, Newman can help push Jarrett Stidham to the next level or take the job for himself.  Kellen Mond- Texas A&M- Indianapolis Colts- 3rd Round  Mond possesses a nice arm on a solid frame. His accuracy is a sizable issue but a team in need of a QB could take a chance on him. Carolina can’t rely on Jacoby Brissett as they hoped.  Peyton Ramsey- Northwestern- Carolina Panthers- 5th Round  Ramsey can be a flashy passer at times but is more of a field general. He was limited in college with the offense around him. Carolina has a nice young offense that gives Ramsey a decent shot at the starting job against a struggling Teddy Bridgewater. It’s a long shot though.  Ian Book- Notre Dame- Denver Broncos- 6th Round  Drew Lock just doesn’t look feel like a starting QB in Denver. The team still seems high on him though but are going to need better backups for him when he does fail. Ian is a bit under the radar as well. He can be an efficient passer and a solid overall QB. Book isn’t the best NFL prospect but he’s an interesting one who could have a Ryan Fitzpatrick-like career. Now that’s a hot take.  Sam Ehlinger- Texas- New Orleans Saints- 6th Round  The Saints are all-in on Taysom Hill and Jameis Winston has their QBs. There is a chance one or both don’t pan out and the Saints don’t have a decent QB3. Ehlinger is talented but limited to be a career backup likely. He can still provide depth and maybe fight for the number two spot. 

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NCAA Basketball: Iowa/Ohio State Preview, Odds and Prediction 02/28/2021

by Big Al Staff

Sunday, Feb 28, 2021

A Sunday afternoon Big Ten doubleheader on CBS concludes at 4 PM ET with a battle between two teams ranked in the Associated Press’ top-ten.Iowa had been riding a four-game winning streak heading into Ann Arbor to face third-ranked Michigan on Thursday as a 5-point underdog. But the Hawkeyes were dominated on both ends of the court, with the Wolverines pulling away for a 79-57 win. Luka Garza led the team with 16 points but shot only 6 of 19 from the floor. The senior All-American leads the nation with a 24.3 points-per-game scoring average. He adds 8.3 rebounds-per-game and 1.5 blocks-per-game while making 54.8% of his shots and 44.6% of his 3-pointers. Iowa improved their play on defense as of late before Michigan scored at a 1.18 points-per-possession rate against them. The Hawkeyes had not allowed more than 68 points in their four-game winning streak, with none of those four opponents registering more than 1.02 points-per-possession. The news was even worse for Fran McCaffrey after the game with the announcement that Jack Nunge suffered a torn meniscus that would end his season. The junior was scoring 7.1 points-per-game while adding 5.3 rebounds-per-game.McCaffery returned all five starters while getting three additional players back from injury from the team that finished 20-11. The Hawkeyes, 17-7, are ranked 9th nationally by the AP. They have high-profile wins against Purdue, Rutgers, Wisconsin, and North Carolina. Their six losses are against Gonzaga, Minnesota, Indiana (twice), Illinois, the Wolverines, and these Buckeyes. Iowa's 11-6 conference record puts them in a tie for fourth place in the Big Ten.The Hawkeyes are the number two team in the nation in adjusted offensive efficiency at kenpom. They make 40.1% of their 3-point shots, fourth-best nationally, while posting an effective field goal percentage of 55.0%, 29th in the country. They are also second in the nation, with a turnover rate of 13.6%. But Iowa is 81st nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency at kenpom. They allow their opponents to make 35.1% of their 3-point shots, 247th nationally. The Hawkeyes’ opponents rebound 30.4% of their missed shots, 262nd nationally.Ohio State has lost two straight after following up a loss at home to Michigan last Sunday with a 71-67 upset loss at Michigan State as a 3.5-point favorite on Thursday. E.J. Liddell scored 16 points on 4 of 13 shooting. The sophomore leads the team goes eleven deep on their bench with a 16.0 points-per-game scoring average. Duane Washington added 17 points on 7 of 16 shooting to improve his 15.6 points-per-game scoring clip.Chris Holtmann returned five of the nine players that played at least 10 minutes per game last year for the group that finished 21-10 with nine wins in their final twelve Big Ten games. Holtmann then added three impact transfers in the offseason: Abel Porter started at point guard at Utah State; Justice Sueing scored 14.6 points-per-game as a sophomore at California; Seth Towns was a former Ivy League Player of the Year at Harvard.The Buckeyes opened the Big Ten season by losing two of their first three games. Holtmann led his team to go on to win ten of eleven games before dropping their last two. They are in third place in the highly-competitive conference with a 12-6 record. Ohio State has lost to Minnesota, Northwestern, and twice to Purdue on top of their recent setbacks to the Wolverines and Spartans. The Buckeyes have defeated Purdue while notching two wins apiece against defeated Wisconsin, Maryland, and Rutgers. They also have a resume-building victory against UCLA in non-conference play. With an 18-6 overall record, Ohio State ranks fourth in the current Associated Press poll. The Buckeyes are third in the nation in adjusted offensive efficiency, according to the numbers at kenpom. They are 21st in free throw rate. Ohio State is 87th in adjusted defensive efficiency at kenpom. Holtmann’s team has fallen to ninth in the Big Ten with an opponent's effective field goal percentage of 49.6%.BookMaker lists Ohio State as a 3-point favorite with the total set at 157.0.Computer prediction:  Ohio State 78 Iowa 75

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL, NCAA Basketball, and EPL Odds and Previews - 02/28/2021

by Big Al Staff

Sunday, Feb 28, 2021

The Sunday sports card features action in NCAA basketball, the NBA, the NHL, and the English Premier League. Villanova travels to Butler on CBS at noon ET. The Wildcats are ranked eighth nationally by the Associated Press poll with a 15-3 record after defeating St. John’s, 81-58, as an 11.5-point underdog on Tuesday. The Bulldogs, 8-13, ended a three-game losing streak with a 61-52 upset victory against Seton Hall as an 8-point underdog on Wednesday. Villanova is an 11-point road favorite with the total set at 130 (all odds from BetOnline).Memphis visits Cincinnati on ESPN at 1 PM ET. The Tigers won their fourth straight to improve to 13-6 with a 61-46 victory against Tulane as a 10.5-point favorite on Wednesday. The Bearcats raised their record to 9-8 on Friday with their 91-71 win against Tulane as a 6-point favorite. Memphis is a 4.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 140.Maryland hosts Michigan State on CBS at 2 PM ET. The Terrapins improved to 14-10 with four straight victories after their 68-59 upset win at Rutgers as a 5-point underdog last Sunday. The Spartans, 13-9, won their third in a row on Thursday with their 71-69 upset victory against Ohio State as a 3.5-point underdog. Maryland is a 2.5-point favorite, with the total at 134.Ohio State plays at home against Iowa on CBS at 4 PM ET. The Buckeyes are ranked fourth in the nation with an 18-6 record. They lost their second straight on Thursday in their upset loss at Michigan State. The Hawkeyes are ranked ninth by the AP with a 17-7 mark. Their four-game winning streak ended on Thursday in their 79-57 loss at Michigan as a 5-point underdog. Ohio State is a 3-point favorite with an over/under of 158.5.Houston is at home against South Florida on ESPNU at 4 PM ET. The Cougars ranked 12th in the nation by the AP with a 19-3 record. They defeated Western Kentucky, 81-57, as an 11.5-point favorite on Thursday. The Bulls fell to 8-9 with a 65-47 upset loss to Temple as a 5-point favorite on Wednesday. Houston is an 18-point favorite with a total of 132.Utah State hosts Nevada on FS1 at 7 PM ET. The Aggies improved to 15-7 with their 75-72 win against the Wolf Pack as a 9-point favorite on Friday. Nevada, 13-8, had a four-game winning streak end with the loss. Utah State is a 7.5-point favorite with an over/under of 141.Nine games are on the NBA slate. Milwaukee plays at home against the Los Angeles Clippers on ABC at 3:30 PM ET. The Bucks won their fourth game in a row with a 129-125 win against New Orleans as an 8-point favorite on Thursday. The Clippers have won two of three with their 119-99 win at Memphis as a 7.5-point favorite on Friday. Milwaukee is a 2-point favorite, with the total set at 236.5.The Los Angeles Lakers are at home against Golden State on ESPN at 8 PM ET. The reigning NBA champions ended a four-game losing streak on Friday with their 102-93 win against Portland as a 5-point favorite. The Warriors won their third in a row by defeating Charlotte, 130-121, as a 6.5-point favorite on Friday. The Lakers are a 4-point favorite with the over/under at 225.Six games are on the NHL card. Boston plays at New York against the Rangers on NBC at noon ET. The Bruins lost their second-straight game on Friday in a 6-2 loss in Madison Square Garden to New York. The Rangers have won three of their last four games. Boston is a -160 money line road favorite with the total at 5.5.Chicago hosts Detroit on the NBC Sports Network at 7 PM ET. The Blackhawks will attempt to avenge a 5-3 loss at home to the Red Wings on Saturday. Detroit has won two of their last three games. Matchweek 26 of the English Premier League continues with five matches. Arsenal plays at Leicester City on the NBC Sports Network at 7 AM ET in a pick ‘em matchup with an over/under of 2.5. Tottenham hosts Burnley on the NBC Sports Network at 11 AM ET as a -1 goal line favorite with the total at 2.5. Chelsea is at home against Manchester United on the NBC Sports Network at 11:30 AM ET as a -0.25 goal line favorite with an over/under of 2.5.

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NCAA Basketball: Baylor/Kansas Preview, Odds, Prediction 02/27/2021

by Big Al Staff

Saturday, Feb 27, 2021

The Saturday night game on ESPN features a battle in the Big 12 between two teams ranked in the Associated Press’s top-twenty.Baylor ranks second in the Associated Press poll with an 18-0 record. They returned to the court for the first time since February 2nd after a COVID shutdown with a 77-72 victory against Iowa State as a 24-point favorite on Tuesday. The Bears were rusty from the three-week hiatus as they fell behind by 17 points in the first half. Jared Butler scored 15 of his 18 points in the second half to help lead his team to the comeback victory. The junior guard is the team’s leading scorer with a 17.1 points-per-game average. Adam Flagler led the team with 22 points coming off the bench. The sophomore is averaging 10.4 points-per-game and is one of six players that score at least 7.8 points-per-game for the Bears. Head coach Scott Drew has a deep rotation with nine players averaging over 13 minutes per game. Drew had six players return from the rotation that finished 26-4 last year.Baylor has high-profile victories against Illinois, Oklahoma, Texas Tech, Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas. They are in first place in the Big 12 with a 10-0 record. Baylor has the fourth-best offense in adjusted offensive efficiency according to the numbers at kenpom. They lead the nation with a 43.2% shooting percentage from 3-point land. The Bears rank fifth by rebounding 37.7% of their missed shots. Drew’s team is also the tenth-best in the nation in adjusted defensive efficiency at kenpom. They force turnovers in 25.9% of their opponent’s possessions, ranking fifth. If there was a weakness to this team, it might start with their defensive rebounding. Baylor allows their opponents to rebound 29.7% of their missed shots, 251st in the nation. The Bears do not get as many freebies on the charity stripe given a free throw rate that is 274th.Kansas had their five-game winning streak snapped on Tuesday in a 75-72 loss in overtime at Texas as a 3-point underdog. Ochai Agbaji scored 17 points to improve his team-leading 13.8 points-per-game scoring average. David McCormack poured in another 12 points with the 6’10 junior averaging 13.0 points-per-game and 6.0 rebounds-per-game. Jalen Wilson contributed 16 points with 13 rebounds. The freshman is scoring 12.8 points-per-game and leads the team with an 8.2 rebounds-per-game mark.The Jayhawks’ improved play stems from a change in defensive tactics by Bill Self. After losing five of seven games, Self instructing his players to be more aggressive in their ball screen coverage. Kansas held their five opponents during their recent winning streak to just 0.81 points-per-possession, which would be the stingiest in the nation if extended to the entire season. The Longhorns scored at a 0.95 points-per-possession clip on Tuesday, which was well below their season average.Kansas can struggle to score baskets. Their 48.7% shooting percentage inside the arc this season is 216th in the nation. The kenpom adjusted offensive efficiency numbers still rank the Jayhawks 55th in the nation. They pull down 31.3% of their misses, 77th in the country. They rank 11th in adjusted defensive efficiency, with their interior defense leading the way. Kansas leads the Big 12 by holding their opponents to just 44.9% shooting inside the arc.The Jayhawks have climbed to 17th in the nation in the Associated Press poll with a 17-8 record. Their 11-6 conference record puts them in third place in the rugged Big 12. Kansas has quality victories against Creighton, West Virginia, Texas Tech (twice), Oklahoma, and Oklahoma State. Their five conference losses are against Baylor, Oklahoma State, Oklahoma, West Virginia, and Texas (twice). The Jayhawks have also lost to Gonzaga and Tennessee in non-conference action.Baylor won the first meeting between these two teams on January 18th in a 77-69 victory at home in Waco as a 10.5-point favorite. BetAnySports lists the Bears as a 3.5-point road favorite with the total set at 142.Computer Prediction:  Baylor 73 Kansas 70

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NBA: Potential Risers & Fallers

by Power Sports

Saturday, Feb 27, 2021

Potential Risers1. Atlanta - Remember that 4-1 start? Since then, the Hawks are just 10-18. They are currently 11th in the East. However, they have both a positive scoring differential and net efficiency rating for the season. So they’ve inarguably outscored their opponents while outplaying them on a per possession basis. Don’t be surprised if they climb as high as 6th in the East by season’s end and win the Southeast Division.  2. Dallas - The Mavs finished 7th in the West last season, largely because they were 2-11 SU in games decided by three points or less, a league worst. I figured they’d be a shoo-in to move up in the standings. But after 31 games, their record stands at just 15-16. The good news is there are still plenty of games left. I think the ceiling would be a 5th place finish. Currently, they are 9th. This team has NOT done well off an ATS win or when playing without rest. I expect that to change.3. New Orleans - The Pelicans are similar to the Hawks in that their point differential & net efficiency rating indicates they should be closer to .500. They are currently 11th in the West with a 14-18 record. One thing I notice is that 27 of their 32 games have come on one or zero days’ rest. Hopefully, the schedule breaks better for them in the second half. Zion Williamson has looked great recently. The Pelicans’ last 10 games have all gone Over the total, so you know they can score.Potential Fallers 1. Portland - The Blazers are 28th in defensive efficiency, missing two of their three best players and have suffered six 20+ point defeats. Yet somehow they are currently tied for 5th place in the West. Don’t expect that to last, however. By season’s end, they’ll be fighting for a play-in spot. This team has been lucky to this point. Their six wins by three points or less are tied for most in the league.2. Charlotte - The Hornets are already starting to fade. This is a team that’s been an underdog in 25 of its 32 games. They were expected to finish near the bottom of the Eastern Conference. The East is so depth-shy that there will be multiple teams finishing below them this season and even a play-in spot cannot be discounted. But they aren’t going to maintain a .500 record moving forward.3. Philadelphia - The Sixers are not as good as either the Bucks or the Nets. I do not expect they’ll finish with the best record in the conference, which is something they currently own. 4. Cleveland - This one may seem oddly placed as the Cavaliers are 12-21 and unquestionably considered one of the worst teams in the league. But I believe them to be THE worst team and expect a bottom of the standings finish by season’s end. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NCAA Basketball, NHL and EPL Odds and Previews - 02/27/2021

by Big Al Staff

Saturday, Feb 27, 2021

The Saturday sports card features action in NCAA basketball, the NBA, the NHL, and the English Premier League. The college basketball card tips off at noon ET. Texas Tech hosts Texas on ESPN. The Red Raiders are ranked 18th by the Associated Press, and the Longhorns are 14th in the latest AP poll. Texas Tech is a 3.5-point favorite. Michigan travels to Indiana on CBS with the third-ranked Wolverines an 8-point road favorite with the total set at 138.5. Georgetown visits DePaul on FS1 as a 2.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 142. Liberty plays at Bellarmine on ESPNU as a 3-point road favorite with a total of 129.5. Wisconsin plays at home against Illinois on ESPN at 2 PM ET. The Badgers rank 23rd by the AP, with the Fighting Illini ranking 5th. Wisconsin is a 4-point favorite with an over/under of 135.5. Arkansas is at home against LSU on ESPN2, with the 20th ranked Razorbacks a 5-point favorite with the total at 161. Arizona hosts Washington on CBS as a 13.5-point favorite with an over/under of 145.5. Davidson hosts VCU on ESPNU as a 3-point favorite with a total of 133. Rice is at Louisiana Tech on the CBS Sports Network in a rematch of their Friday game. UConn is at home against Marquette on Fox at 2:30 PM ET as a 7-point favorite with an over/under of 135. Oklahoma plays at home against Oklahoma State on ABC at 3 PM ET. The seventh-ranked Sooners are a 5-point favorite with a total of 139.West Virginia hosts Kansas State on ESPN2 at 4 PM ET with the tenth-ranked Mountaineers a 14.5-point favorite with an over/under of 139. Florida State travels to North Carolina on ESPN with the 11th-ranked Seminoles a 3-point road favorite with a total of 150.5. San Diego State hosts Boise State on the CBS Sports Network as a 6-point favorite with an over/under of 136.5. Oregon visits California on FS1 as a 9.5-point road favorite with a total of 133. Central Florida is at home against Temple on ESPNU as a 5.5-point favorite with an over/under of 136.5. Kentucky plays at home against Florida on CBS as a 2.5-point favorite as a 2.5-point favorite with the total set at 141.Creighton travels to Xavier on Fox at 5 PM ET. The 13th-ranked Bluejays are a 4.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 148.5. Duke is at home against Louisville on ESPN at 6 PM with the Blue Devils a 5.5-point favorite with the total at 142.5. TCU visits Iowa State on ESPNU in a pick ‘em matchup with an over/under of 140.5. Loyola-Chicago hosts Southern Illinois on ESPN2 with the 21st-ranked Ramblers playing the Salukis in a rematch of their Friday contest. Northern Iowa is at Illinois State on the CBS Sports Network in a rematch of their Friday encounter. Baylor plays at Kansas on ESPN at 8 PM ET. The Bears are ranked second in the nation, with the Jayhawks ranked 17th. Baylor is a 5-point road favorite with the total at 142. USC visits Utah on ESPN2 with the 19th-ranked Trojans a 5.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 137.5. North Carolina AT&T is at home against North Carolina Central on ESPNU as a 3.5-point favorite with the total of 138. Gonzaga hosts Loyola-Marymount on ESPN at 10 PM ET. The number one-ranked Bulldogs are a 25-point favorite with an over/under of 153. BYU plays at home against Saint Mary’s on ESPNU as an 8-point favorite with the total at 129.5. Colorado is at home against UCLA on ESPN2 as a 6-point favorite with an over/under of 136.5.Seven games are on the NBA docket. Dallas plays at Brooklyn on ABC at 8:30 PM ET. The Mavericks come off a 111-097 loss at Philadelphia as a 4.5-point underdog on Thursday. The Nets have won seven straight with their 129-92 victory against Orlando as an 8.5-point favorite on Thursday.The NHL has 14 games on the Saturday slate. Three games begin the schedule at 1 PM ET. The NHL card concludes at 10:30 PM ET with Saint Louis playing at San Jose State as a -160 money line road favorite with the total at 5.5. None of the NHL games are on national television. Matchweek 26 of the English Premier League begins on Saturday with four matches. Manchester City plays at home against West Ham United on the NBC Sports Network at 7:30 AM ET as a -1.75 goal line favorite with an over/under of 3. Brighton and Hove Albion visits West Brom Albion on the NBC Sports Network at 10 AM ET as a -0.5 goal line road favored with a total of 2.25. Leeds United hosts Aston Villa on NBC at 12:30 PM ET as a -0.25 goal line favorite with an over/under of 3. Wolverhampton plays at Newcastle United on the NBC Peacock app at 3 PM ET as a -0.25 goal line road favorite with the total set at 2.25.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NCAA Basketball, NHL and NBA Odds and Previews - 02/26/2021

by Big Al Staff

Friday, Feb 26, 2021

The Friday sports card features action in NCAA basketball, the NBA, and the NHL. The college basketball card tips off at noon ET with Canisius visiting Niagara as a 2-point road favorite with the total set at 137.5 (all odds from BetOnline).The nationally-televised college basketball card starts at 7 PM ET. Penn State hosts Purdue on FS1. The Nittany Lions, 8-12, snapped a four-game losing streak with an 86-83 victory at Nebraska as a 6.5-point favorite on Tuesday. The Boilermakers improved to 15-8 with a 75-58 win at Nebraska as a 7.5-point favorite on Saturday. Penn State is a 1-point favorite with an over/under of 140.Saint Louis plays at home against Richmond on ESPN2 at 7 PM ET. The Billikens fell to 11-5 on Tuesday with their 67-65 upset loss at VUC as a 3-point favorite. The Spiders raised their record to 13-5 on Tuesday with a 79-65 win against UMass as a 10-point favorite. Saint Louis is a 5-point favorite with a total of 144.5.Marshall is at home against North Texas on ESPNU at 7 PM ET. The Thundering Herd, 12-5, won their fifth in six games with a 96-85 win against Middle Tennessee as a 17-point favorite back on February 13th. The Mean Green, 12-6, have won seven of their last eight after winning at Southern Mississippi, 68-56, as a 9.5-point favorite on February 13th. Marshall is a 4-point favorite with an over/under of 142.5.Northern Iowa visits Illinois State on ESPNU at 9 PM ET. The Panthers fell to 7-15 with a 77-69 loss to Drake as a 4-point underdog on February 17th. The Redbirds improved to 7-15 with an 88-71 upset win at Bradley as a 2.5-point underdog last Thursday. Northern Iowa is a 3-point road favorite with the total at 142.Utah State hosts Nevada on FS1 at 9 PM ET. The Aggies dropped to 14-7 with an 81-77 loss at Boise State as a 2-point underdog last Friday. The Wolf Pack, 13-7, won their fourth in a row with a 73-62 upset win against Boise State as a 5-point underdog on February 7th. Utah State is a 7.5-point favorite with an over/under of 142.Georgia State plays at South Alabama on ESPN2 at 9 PM ET. The Panthers, 12-5, won their fourth in a row on Tuesday with their 85-71 win against Appalachian State as a 6.5-point favorite. The Jaguars, 16-8, won their eighth straight game with a 56-54 win at Appalachian State as a 3-point underdog on Saturday. Georgia State is a 2-point road favorite with a total of 143.5.UNLV is at home against Fresno State on the CBS Sports Network at 11 PM ET. The Rebels fell to 10-12 with a 67-64 upset loss at Fresno State as a 7-point favorite on Wednesday. The Bulldogs improved to 10-9 with the victory. UNLV is a 6-point favorite with an over/under of 130.5.UC-Santa Barbara travels to UC-Riverside on ESPN2 at 11 PM ET. The Gauchos improved to 15-3 with a 63-44 victory against UC-Bakersfield as an 8-point favorite on Saturday. The Highlanders fell to 10-6 with an 83-82 upset loss at Cal-San Diego as an 8-point favorite last Saturday. UC-Santa Barbara is a 3-point road favorite with the total at 131.5.Nine games are on the NBA docket. An ESPN doubleheader begins at 7:30 PM ET with Boston hosting Indiana. The Celtics have been upset in three straight games after losing at Atlanta, 127-112, as a 1-point favorite on Wednesday. The Pacers have lost two of three after their 111-109 upset loss to Golden State as a 2-point favorite. Boston is a 3-point favorite with an over/under of 219.5.The Los Angeles Lakers play at home against Portland in the nightcap on ESPN at 10 PM ET. The Lakers lost their fourth in a row on Wednesday in a 114-89 loss at Utah. The Trail Blazers have lost three in a row after a 111-106 loss at Denver as a 6-point underdog on Tuesday. Los Angeles is a 5.5-point favorite with the total at 222.Three games are on the NHL schedule. The card begins at 7 PM ET, with Boston visiting the New York Rangers. The slate concludes at 9 PM ET with Colorado visiting Arizona as a -169 money line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5.

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NCAA Basketball: Richmond/St. Louis Preview, Odds, Prediction - 02/26/2021

by Big Al Staff

Friday, Feb 26, 2021

A Friday ESPN2 college basketball doubleheader tips off at 7 PM ET with a battle between Atlantic 10 teams on the NCAA tournament bubble.Richmond won their fourth game in five contests on Tuesday in a 79-65 victory against UMass as a 10-point favorite. Blake Francis paved the way with 20 points, and the senior is the team’s leading scorer with a 16.6 points-per-game scoring average. Nathan Cayo added 18 points with seven rebounds. The senior forward is adding 12.2 points-per-game and is one of five players scoring at least 11.4 points-per-game. The Spiders returned the top-seven scorers from the team last year that finished 24-7. Chris Mooney benefitted from five seniors in his starting lineup before losing guard Nick Sherod to a season-ending knee injury in the fall. Richmond ranks 24th in the nation and tops in the Atlantic 10 in adjusted offensive efficiency. They make 55.3% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 25th nationally. They are also seven in the nation, with a turnover rate of 14.7%. The Spiders rank 96th nationally and ninth in the A-10 in adjusted defensive efficiency. Opponents make 55.6% of their 2-point shots, ranking 326th nationally. Richmond is 54th in the kenpom ratings with a 13-5 record. They have an impressive quality win against a Loyola-Chicago team ranked ninth in the nation by kenpom. They also have a victory against Kentucky in non-conference play. Their three losses to West Virginia, St. Bonaventure, and VCU are against teams ranked higher by kenpom. However, a pair of losses to Hofstra and LaSalle ranked 175th and 179th at kenpom dog their at-large NCAA tournament possibilities. Their 6-3 record in the Atlantic 10 puts them in a tie for third place. Saint Louis was upset at Dayton, 76-53, as a 6-point favorite last Friday. The Billikens followed that up on Tuesday by suffering a 67-65 upset loss at VCU as a 3-point favorite. Javonte Perkins had a chance to win the game but missed his 3-point attempt at time expired. The senior scored 16 points and added seven rebounds, and he leads the team with a 17.1 points-per-game scoring average. Jordan Goodwin had 16 points with 12 rebounds. The 6’3 stats-machine scores 14.7 points-per-game while contributing 10.5 rebounds-per-game and 3.6 assists-per-game. Hasahn French scored a season-high 21 points and grabbed eight rebounds. The senior forward scores 8.4 points-per-game and pulls down 7.1 rebounds-per-game. Travis Ford has back all five starters and nine of the ten rotational players from the team that finished 23-8 last season. He has one of the best rebounding teams in the nation. Saint Louis pulls down 35.8% of their missed shots, ranking 13th nationally. They hold their opponents to second-chance opportunities in only 22.6% of their possessions, ranking 16th nationally. The Billikens rank 60th and 51st nationally in adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency at kenpom.Saint Louis is 51st in the nation in the kenpom rankings with a 13-5 record. They are in eighth place in the rugged Atlantic 10, 4-4, where they rank fifth in both adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency. The Billikens have a high-profile victory against LSU along with wins against North Carolina State and St. Bonaventure. They have two losses to Dayton and setbacks to VCU and Minnesota. But it is a loss to LaSalle that sticks out like a sore thumb on their NCAA tournament resume.This showdown is the first meeting between these two teams this season. BookMaker lists Saint Louis as a 4.5-point favorite, with the total at 144.Computer Prediction:  Saint Louis 74 Richmond 67

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NCAA Basketball: Iowa/Michigan Preview, Odds, Prediction 02/25/2021

by Big Al Staff

Thursday, Feb 25, 2021

A Thursday ESPN college basketball doubleheader tips off at 7 PM ET with a battle between Big Ten teams ranked in the national top-ten.Iowa won their fourth straight game on Sunday against Penn State, 74-68, as a 10-point favorite. Luka Garza scored 23 points, and the senior All-American leads the nation with a 24.7 points-per-game scoring average. He adds 8.5 rebounds-per-game and 1.6 blocks-per-game while making 56.0% of his shots and 44.4% of his 3-pointers. Head coach Fran McCaffery returned all five starters while getting three additional players back from injury from the team that finished 20-11. The Hawkeyes, 17-6, are ranked 9th nationally by the AP. They have high-profile wins against Purdue, Rutgers, Wisconsin, and North Carolina. Their six losses are against Gonzaga, Minnesota, Indiana (twice), Illinois, and Ohio State. Iowa's 11-5 conference record puts them in fourth place in the Big Ten.The Hawkeyes are the number one team in the nation in adjusted offensive efficiency at kenpom. They make 40.3% of their 3-point shots, fourth-best nationally, while posting an effective field goal percentage of 55.6%, 19th in the country. They are also second in the nation, with a turnover rate of 13.6%. But Iowa is 75th in the nation in adjusted defensive efficiency at kenpom. They allow their opponents to make 34.7% of their 3-point shots, 228th nationally. The Hawkeyes’ opponents rebound 30.3% of their missed shots, 261st nationally.Michigan comes off another showdown with a top-ten team when they won at Ohio State on Sunday, 92-87, as a 2-point favorite. The Buckeyes were ranked fourth by the AP at the time. Hunter Dickinson scored 22 points with nine rebounds. The 7’1 freshman is scoring 15.0 points-per-game while contributing 7.8 rebounds-per-game, 1.6 blocks-per-game, and making 63.9% of his shots. Michigan took the court for the first time since January 22nd last Sunday at Wisconsin after a three-week pause after the athletic department shut down all activities. The Wolverines fell behind by 14 points before holding the Badgers to 7 of 28 shooting in the second half in a 67-59 victory as a small favorite.Senior Isaiah Livers' 14.4 points-per-game scoring average is second on the team. Sophomore Franz Wagner contributes another 12.4 points-per-game. Three other players score at least 8.5 points-per-game for head coach Juwan Howard.The Wolverines have won five in a row to improve their record to 16-1. They rank third in the nation in the Associated Press poll. Michigan leads the Big Ten with an 11-1 record. Their lone loss was at Minnesota. The Wolverines have high-profile wins against Purdue, Wisconsin (twice), and the Buckeyes on Sunday. Michigan ranks sixth in adjusted offensive efficiency according to the metrics at kenpom. The Wolverines are 15th with a 56.4% shooting percentage inside the arc, which helps elevate their effective field goal percentage to 56.9%, sixth nationally. They are making 38.7% of their 3-point shots, ranking 16th nationally. Michigan registers an assist in 57.9% rate of their made field goals, 51st nationally. Only 6.3% of their shot attempts are getting blocked, 19th nationally.The Wolverines are 12th in adjusted defensive efficiency at kenpom. They are fifth in opponent’s effective field goal percentage with a 44.2% mark. Michigan is also second nationally by limiting their opponents to just 41.4% shooting inside the arc. This team does not foul as they rank 19th nationally in foul-rate. They block 12.2% of their opponent’s shots, 35th nationally. They hold their opponents to just a 42.8% assist rate, 16th nationally.This showdown is the first meeting between these two teams this season. BookMaker lists Michigan as a 5-point favorite with the total set at 154.Computer Prediction:  Michigan 78 Iowa 75

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2021 Major League Baseball: American League Preview

by Ben Burns

Thursday, Feb 25, 2021

The American League has a 66-50 all-time edge over the National League, in terms of World Series titles. However, the "senior circuit" has now taken two in a row. Let's take an early look at some of the teams which will try and right the ship for the A.L. this season. While the American League East appears to be New York's to lose, the other two divisions are up for grabs. The White Sox and Twins are essentially co-favorites to win the Central while the Astros and A's are expected to receive a challenge from the Angels, in the West. Fans of the Rangers, Orioles and Royals: you're likely in for a long season. Don't completely give up yet though. Opening Day brings new hope to every clubhouse and there's almost always at least one team which defies preseason expectations. Though I'm not currently recommending any futures wagers, I do find it helpful to know what is expected from each team, after factoring in the usual flurry of offseason activity. I've listed the odds to win each division (courtesy of Pinnacle) below. Spring training games don't begin until Sunday but the players have already reported to camp. The actual season starts April 1st. Notes From The First Few Days Of Camp- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. reportedly lost 42 pounds this offseason. - Shohei Ohtani threw 97 mph in a live batting practice session. - Reigning AL MVP Jose Abreu has tested positive for COVID-19. AL EASTYankees -198Blue Jays +390Rays +449Red Sox +2209Orioles +4276AL Central White Sox -109Twins +123Indians +845Tigers +3244Royals +4035AL West Astros +116A's +166Angels +359Mariners +2374Rangers +3920

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