Articles

2022 Indiana Hoosiers Preview

by Matt Fargo

Wednesday, Jul 20, 2022

Indiana Hoosiers2021-22 Season Record 2-10 (0-9 Big Ten) - 2-10-0 ATS - 7-5-0 O/UReturning StartersOffense - 5Defense - 7OverviewIndiana is not known as a football powerhouse so when the Hoosiers came into last season ranked No. 17 in the AP Preseason Poll, the first time ranked since 1969 when they were pegged at No. 14, something special may be happening. 2020 was a weird year because of COVID so take it for what it is worth but beating Michigan, Michigan St. and Wisconsin and losing to Ohio St. by just a touchdown is impressive for any team, let along a program like Indiana. Expectations were sky high heading into 2021 with that massive Big Ten season and 17 starters back yet the Hoosiers got nothing going and had their worst season since 2011 when they went 1-11. Head coach Tom Allen put together a very respectable 24-21 record in his first four seasons, the best four-year run since the early 90s, and just like that a 2-10 mark has put the Hoosiers back to familiar territory. OffenseIndiana was coming off a pair of seasons where it averaged 32.6 ppg and 30.1 ppg and with eight starters back, the Hoosiers were ready to take off. Instead, they averaged 17.2 ppg and 290.0 ypg, No. 123 and No. 124 in the country respectively and now more questions than answers await. Part of the issue was they could not stay healthy, namely at quarterback where Michael Penix, Jr. played only five games and there was no semblance of a running game. There is a three-man competition led by Connor Bazelak to try and get the offense moving again but it will not come easy. The top two receivers are gone and transfers will try and take on two of the three top spots and as for the running game, it is a similar story with the top two backs elsewhere. The offensive line was awful and this is where the turnaround has to start and it will be a challenge with a mix of new and old. DefenseThe defense was better but it would have taken a miracle effort to make up for the lack of offense and that obviously did not happen. While they allowed only seven more ypg from 2020, they gave up nearly two touchdowns more per contest and the Big Ten ate them alive. Like the offense, transfers will be a big part of the unit and there are pieces in place to get better. The strength is in the secondary with three starters back but they need to improve on the five interceptions gained last season, No. 120 in the nation. The rushing defense was not horrible but it has to do a better job at the point of contact as there were too many missed tackles. The defensive line will have at least three transfers to try and solve the issues as well as getting to the quarterback where it was No. 114 with just 17 sacks. The linebacking corps lost its best player but there is depth in the middle. 2022 Season OutlookAllen was getting all sorts of praise after his first four seasons but it does not take long for the critics to speak out and while his job is not in jeopardy, something good has to go their way to avoid another extended freefall. While the conference was better last season, losing nine games by an average of 24.7 ppg is inexcusable and it does not get much easier this season. Indiana opens the season at home against Illinois which is a big game for both teams to get out to a strong start and then it hosts Idaho and Western Kentucky in a revenge game for the Hilltoppers, the lone FBS win for Indiana last season. The Big Ten slate is manageable early but closes with four brutal matchups. The O/U win total is set at 4 which looks spot on as there are four games that stand out as wins on paper so it will take a couple strong efforts on the road to climb over that mark and compete for a bowl. 

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Betting Odds of First NFL Head Coach to be Fired in 2022

by Oskeim Sports

Wednesday, Jul 20, 2022

NFL teams are just starting to report to training, but it’s never too early to speculate on which head coach will be let go first. It’s not every year that an NFL head coach fails to make it through a season, but Urban Meyer did just that last year when he got the axe after a disastrous start in Jacksonville. The Jags and seven other franchises – Bears, Dolphins, Giants, Raiders, Texans, Saints, and Vikings – will have new coaches this season.One would think that the first-year guys are safe, but in today’s ‘win now or else’ era anything is possible. If you are looking for job stability, don’t become an NFL head coach. It’s pretty much a given that at least one of 32 will be fired in 2022. Which one will be first?MATT RHULE – CAROLINA (+300)Rhule’s first two teams in Carolina have yet to win more than five games – 5-11 in 2020 and 5-12 last season. If star RB Christian McCaffrey could stay healthy, Rhule might not even be in this discussion. The Panthers went out and acquired QB Baker Mayfield to compete with Sam Darnold for the starting job. That should help the offense.McCaffrey needs to stay healthy though. His absence killed the Panthers’ offense. Last year, Carolina averaged 17.9 points a game which was 29th in the NFL. Carolina’s defense is one of the better units in the NFL. If Rhule is going to stick around, the offense has to improve.MIKE MCCARTHY – DALLAS (+500)Cowboys’ owner Jerry Jones hasn’t enjoyed the taste of a Super Bowl in quite a while. He was hopeful that former Green Bay head coach Mike McCarthy could get Dallas back to the big game. After struggling through a 6-10 first season, McCarthy’s team went 12-5 and won the NFC East.The problem is the Cowboys lost to San Francisco in the NFC wild-card game. McCarthy, who went 125-77-2 with the Packers and won Super Bowl XLV, might need to go deeper in the postseason this year. Dallas lost some key contributors like WR Amari Cooper. If McCarthy can’t get it done in 2022, Jones is likely to make a change.PETE CARROLL – SEATTLE (+600)It’s hard to believe, but Carroll makes the list as the Seahawks appear to be fading. There is no doubt Carroll has been one of the all-time great NFL head coaches. His records of 119-73-1 in Seattle and 152-104-1 overall speak for themselves.But, what has Carroll done lately? The Seahawks went 7-10 last season and failed to make the postseason for just the second time in a decade. Then, Seattle traded away its best player, QB Russell Wilson. Seattle was a mediocre offense with Wilson averaging 23.2 points a game last season. It’s doubtful Drew Lock or Geno Smith can do much better.In his NFL career thus far, Carroll has never had consecutive seasons in which his teams missed the playoffs. How Seattle has success without Wilson at quarterback is hard to fathom. A second straight losing season might be the writing on the wall for Carroll and his career.FRANK REICH – INDIANAPOLIS (+700)Reich has gone 37-28 as the Colts head man, but his teams have only made the playoffs twice and they have never won a division title. Last year, Reich brought in his former Philadelphia quarterback, Carson Wentz. It was a disaster.The Colts ended up 9-8 and out of the playoffs again. Wentz was shipped to Washington and now Reich will work with former Atlanta star Matt Ryan. Reich did sign a contract extension that runs through the 2026 season, but he is going to need to produce in 2022 or he could be out the door.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: WNBA and Euro 2022 Previews and Odds - 07/20/2022

by Big Al Staff

Wednesday, Jul 20, 2022

The Wednesday sports card features WNBA and Women’s EURO 2022 action.One game is on the docket in the Women’s National Basketball Association. The Chicago Sky host the Seattle Storm at noon ET. The Storm is on a three-game winning streak after their 89-81 victory at Dallas as a 4.5-point favorite on Saturday. Emma Meeseman stepped up to score 23 points while adding eight rebounds and seven assists in the win. She is third on the team with a 12.7 points per game scoring average. Kahleah Copper added 23 points and 14 rebounds. She leads Chicago with a 14.6 points per game scoring average. Candace Parker is second on the team with a 13.4 points per game scoring average, and she leads the Sky by averaging 8.8 rebounds per game. Chicago has won five of its last seven games to stay in first place in the East Division with a 19-6 record. They are 2.5 games ahead of the second-place Connecticut Sun.The Storm won for the third time in their last four games with their 81-65 victory against Indiana as a 15.5-point favorite on Sunday. Breanna Stewart scored 25 points and added eight rebounds in the win. She leads Seattle with a 21.0 points per game scoring average and 7.2 rebounds per game. Sue Bird added six assists. She leads the Storm with 6.0 assists per game. Seattle has won five of its last seven games to improve to 17-8, which is good for second place in the West Division. They are 0.5 games behind the Las Vegas Aces for first place in the division. Seattle won the first meeting between these two teams at home on May 18th, 74-71, as a 1-point favorite. Chicago is a 3-point favorite with the total set at 161.5 (all odds from DraftKings). NBA-TV has the broadcast. The knockout stage of the Women’s EURO 2022 tournament begins with the first quarterfinal match between host nation England against Spain. The Three Lionesses completed a perfect 3-0 group stage with a 5-0 victory against Northern Ireland on Friday to take first place in Group A. England opened the competition with a nervy 1-0 victory against Austria before following that up with an 8-0 victory against Norway. They have scored 14 goals in this tournament without conceding a goal. Beth Mead leads the team with five goals. The Three Lionesses are dealing with a COVID outbreak which kept manager Sarina Wiegman away from the sidelines in the match against Northern Ireland. Backup keeper Hannah Hampton and defender Lotte Wubben-Moy have also missed time from positive tests. Wiegman has yet to be cleared from quarantine as of Tuesday night. Spain enters this event at less than full strength after injuries to Alexia Putellas and Jennifer Hermosa in the training for the competition. They opened the tournament with a 4-1 win against Finland before getting outclassed in a 2-0 loss to Germany. The women Spaniards claimed second place in Group B and a spot in the knockout stage after a late goal from Morta Cardona gave them a 1-0 win against Denmark. They have scored five goals in this tournament while conceding three times. Four of their five goals have come from headers. This match takes place at the Brighton and Hove Community Stadium in Brighton at 3 PM ET. England is a -0.5 goal line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. ESPN2 has the broadcast. 

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2022 Illinois Fighting Illini Preview

by Matt Fargo

Tuesday, Jul 19, 2022

Illinois Fighting Illini2021-22 Season Record 5-7 (4-5 Big Ten) - 7-4-1 ATS - 3-8-1 O/UReturning StartersOffense - 7Defense - 6OverviewRough times continue in Champaign as it was another losing season in 2021, the 10th straight for the Illini although two of those were .500 seasons that ended in a bowl loss. Illinois has not finished in the final rankings since 2007 when it finished No. 20 in the AP Poll which was also the last season it had more than seven wins. The Lovie Smith experiment failed and Illinois brought in a successful former Big Ten coach in Bret Bielema and his first season was far from horrible at 5-7 but he inherited a roster that had 17 starters and was loaded with seniors but despite a decent number coming back in 2022, it is not close to the same scenario. Bielema fell into a great situation following the great Barry Alvarez at Wisconsin but this is a totally different culture, one that really should be better where it is located. Another non-bowl season is likely but this could be the right guy. OffenseFour of the seven losses came by one possession and that was because of an offense that could not score and Illinois went through a stretch where it scored 17 or fewer points in six of eight games after putting up 30 points in each of its first two games. The Illini were No. 117 in scoring offense and No. 111 in total offense but it will be better if the quarterback play can show some consistency. Artur Sitkowski opened the season as the starter and completed only 50 percent of his passes for 704 yards with six touchdowns and two interceptions before getting hurt and he will be challenged by Syracuse transfer Tommy DeVito who is capable. Whoever gets the starting nod will have the leading receiver back in Isaiah Williams as well as leading rusher in Chase Brown who ran for 1.005 yards. The offensive line will be a work in progress but Bielema is known for maximum production.  DefenseThe defense was extremely potent as it allowed only 21.9 ppg which was No. 31 overall and Illinois allowed over 100 fewer ypg that it did in 2021 and a solid core is back. The defensive line caused havoc with pressure on the quarterback which helped out the passing defense that was No. 44 in the country but the rushing defense needs to shore up after giving up 151.4 ypg. The Illini had 30 sacks which was No. 49 in the nation which was the most for the program in a decade and there is a ton of depth as 14 players registered at least one sack with a lot of those returning. However, the two top linebackers are gone and while they are deep at the position, there is not a ton of long-term playing time. The secondary held their own but their leading interceptor is gone and safety Sydney Brown will lead the unit after registering a team high 81 tackles last season. 2022 Season OutlookThe problem for Illinois last season was a 1-4 start with three of those losses coming by a combined 14 points. The Illini recovered well with four wins in seven games down the stretch including wins over Penn St. and Minnesota as double-digit underdogs and that is a huge thing that can carry a young team into the next season. Bielema has the staff in place for success and his recruiting should get better in a place that is surrounded by star talent out of high school. A good start to the season should take place with home games against Wyoming, Virginia and Chattanooga as well as its conference opener at Indiana which can be won. The Big Ten schedule features four home games against teams with projected wins of 7.5, not easy. The O/U win total is 4.5 and while the early games are winnable, the latter 2/3 of them are a beast and it will take major upsets to get to the over. 

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2022 Houston Cougars Preview

by Matt Fargo

Tuesday, Jul 19, 2022

Houston Cougars2021-22 Season Record 12-2 (8-0 AAC) - 8-6-0 ATS - 8-6-0 O/UReturning StartersOffense - 7Defense - 6OverviewHouston dropped its opener against Texas Tech and then it ran off 11 straight wins before getting clobbered by Cincinnati in the AAC Championship. It was a very successful season at 12-2 after a couple down years to rebuild and the Cougars remain an elite force in the AAC heading into this season. Tom Herman went 22-4 in two seasons before leaving for Texas and while Major Applewhite had two winning seasons, Dana Holgorsen was hired in 2019 and he proved his worth in 2021 and looks to continue the success before heading to the Big XII next season. 13 starters return with balance on both sides of the ball and the Cougars are ranked No. 34 in the nation in returning production so they are poised once again to roll through the AAC and set up a date for another championship game with Cincinnati as they do not play in the regular season for a second straight year. OffenseThe Cougars offense was very good as they averaged 416.0 ypg and 37.3 ppg, No. 30 and No. 14 in the country respectively. The bookend losses against Texas Tech and Cincinnati saw them score just 21 and 20 points and managed a mere 17 points in its bowl game win but was explosive everywhere else. Seven starters are back including quarterback Clayton Tune who threw for 3,544 yards with 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions and he is now back for his fifth season and can be even better. He has his favorite target back in Nathaniel Dell who had 1,179 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns with plenty of pieces behind him. The offensive line gets three starters back and a massive transfer from Texas but the offense did take a huge hit as running back Alton McCaskill tore his ACL in the offseason and his 883 yards and 16 touchdowns will have to be replaced. DefenseIt was a huge turnaround for the defense that had nine starters back for a second straight season and it improved by 169 total yards and 14 points over the last two seasons. They finished No. 6 in total defense and led the nation in third down defense and while only six starters are back in 2022, the cupboard is full on all levels. Leading tackler Donovan Mutin is back in his leading linebacker role and there is plenty of depth around him. The defensive line is loaded with talent and it starts with ends Derek Parish and D'Anthony Jones who combined for 11 sacks and 67 tackles and will once again be an integral part of the stout rushing defense. The passing defense finished No. 14 in efficiency and Houston is led by safety Gervarrius Owens who made the All AAC First Team and while both starting corners are gone, there is depth here just like everywhere else. 2022 Season OutlookA repeat of last season would be difficult for a lot of teams, especially losing a decent amount of starting players and a pair of massive playmakers but Houston is in good shape to be just as good in its final season in the AAC. Granted it is a weak conference so getting through that has not been an issue for most of its nine years but last season was special and with a weaker Cincinnati team, this could be the year which would make a great sendoff. The schedule does not open easy as the Cougars are on the road at a sneaky good UTSA team and then at Texas Tech. The nonconference slate closes with home games against cupcakes Kansas and Rice. The AAC schedule is what it is but four tough road games await. The O/U win total is set at 9 which is aggressive but missing Cincinnati and UCF is important and it will take a big road performance for them to surpass the nine wins. 

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2022 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Preview

by Matt Fargo

Tuesday, Jul 19, 2022

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors2021-22 Season Record 6-7 (3-5 MWC West) - 5-7-1 ATS - 6-7-0 O/UReturning StartersOffense - 4Defense - 2OverviewAfter a solid three-year run with a cumulative 23-15 record from 2018-2020, last season was average as Hawaii went 6-7 and missed out on a bowl game after three in a row. However, it was more than just the record as head coach Todd Graham lasted only two seasons as he was let go following misconduct in the program that included player abuse. A slew of players left the team because of him and now former Rainbow Timmy Chang takes over in one of the biggest rebuilds in the country. The Warriors have the second lowest returning production in the nation as they return only six starters along with many others missing from a very good roster that had potential to be good going forward. The one positive is another 13-game schedule that is far from difficult including seven home games and a quick start should take place which could add confidence heading into MWC time. OffenseThis was a middle of the road offense last season and with only four returning starters, work needs to be done. The strength will be the offensive line as three starters are back in a new scheme under offensive coordinator Ian Shoemaker and the line will be asked to hold the unit together until the chemistry falls into place. The quarterback situation is unsettled heading into fall camp as the battle will come down to Brayden Schager, who had saw limited action last season and incoming transfer Cammon Cooper from Washington St. who worked in a similar high potent offense. Someone will have to emerge at wide receiver as the three top pass catchers are gone with Zion Bowens and his 257 receiving yards likely being the leading candidate. Dedrick Parson returns as the leading back after rushing for 618 yards and eight touchdowns while also securing 279 receiving yards. DefenseThe defense was awful, especially defending the pass and immediate changes are on the way. Everyone from the secondary is gone that allowed 289.7 ypg which was No. 126 in the country but they did have 14 interceptions yet none of that matters now as Hawaii is hoping some transfers can plug the holes. Linebacker Penei Pavihi saw action in 12 of 13 games and is one veteran who can take over as the leader of the defense but needs help around him, especially in pass coverage. The defensive line is the one area that Hawaii does have experience coming back as Blessman Ta'ala and John Tuitupou are both seniors and will anchor the inside. The defensive ends are a different story however as the depth chart shows no one as a starter and the roster is small and inexperienced. The hope is the offense can score enough to take pressure off the defense. 2022 Season OutlookThe passing offense was decent under Graham but we will see a different look going back to the days when Chang led the offense from 2000-2004 and is still the leading passer in program history. It might take some time for the unit to hit its stride but the Warriors will take chances and it will be at least entertaining. While there are seven home games, there is not a big edge as Hawaii is playing in a 9,000 seat facility until the new Aloha Stadium is complete. Vanderbilt, Duquesne and New Mexico St. are three of the first five foes with Michigan and Western Kentucky sandwiched in so a 3-2 start is likely. The MWC slate is doable at home with Utah St. the only big challenge but the road portion is tough. The O/U win total is 4.5 and Hawaii does have an opportunity to go over that as long as it avoids the upsets and can steal a road win at either Colorado St. or San Jose St.

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2022 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Preview

by Matt Fargo

Tuesday, Jul 19, 2022

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets2021-22 Season Record 3-9 (2-6 ACC Coastal) - 4-8-0 ATS - 6-6-0 O/UReturning StartersOffense - 5Defense - 3OverviewApparently, eight seasons of .500 or better in 11 years for Paul Johnson as the head coach of the Yellow Jackets was not good enough as he was canned after the 2018 season and the Georgia Tech brass has to be kicking themselves. Geoff Collins was hired after two successful campaigns at Temple and nothing has gone right. He has gone 9-25 in three years and after ending last season with six straight losses including getting shutout against Notre Dame and Georgia in the final two games by a combined 100-0, the fact he still has a job is a little shocking. He did what a lot of coaches do and that is clean house with his coaching staff to shift some of the blame but that is not going to cure what is going on here. This is certainly the last stand and it could end early as the first part of the schedule is vicious as a 1-4 start is the odds on favorite and an interim coach will likely take over. OffenseThe running game used to be the bread and butter of this offense but that has fallen off dramatically. While it has not been horrible, averaging 4.7 ypc over the last two seasons, a shift to a pro style offense has taken away more opportunities and the quarterback play has been underwhelming. The Yellow Jackets finished No. 95 in in passing offense behind Jeff Sims who threw for only 1,468 yards with 12 touchdowns and seven interceptions. The problem was the inability to convert on third down as they succeeded on only 35.4 percent of their tries which was No. 101 in the nation. He has the ability but he needs to execute better and a lot of that will come down to the offensive line as they will be replacing three starters with incoming transfers. The top two rushers are gone and the receivers are good enough to make big plays but have yet to show it so it all has to come together quick. DefenseThe defense has been consistent the last two seasons, consistently poor, averaging three fewer yards and points per game last season than in 2020 but the season averages of 456.1 ypg and 33.5 ppg were No. 117 and No. 112 respectively. Only three starters return and that could be a good thing for a defense that was so bad as a full rebuild could produce improvements. The two top players are gone via the draft and the Yellow Jackets also lost two key players to transfer and the biggest challenge will be in the secondary. They were the worst team in the country in passing efficiency defense as they allowed a whopping completion percentage of 65.3 percent, 28 touchdowns and had only three interceptions. The best returning player is linebacker Charlie Thomas and after that, it is a bunch of young players and incoming transfers that will be a work in progress from the start. 2022 Season OutlookCollins came into a decent situation and the last two seasons, he had 19 and 18 starters return but the results were no where near expectations. The pressure is on with basically a new roster and he will have to work some magic to sniff .500 if he can make it through the season. Opening the year with Clemson as a 19-point underdog is not ideal and after a home game against FCS Western Carolina, the Yellow Jackets host Mississippi before heading to UCF and Pittsburgh, hence the likely 1-4 start. Getting Duke at home will be only time they will be favored the rest of the way and the road slate in the ACC is difficult with the other home games coming against Virginia and Miami. The O/U win total is 3.5 and the under seems like the logical choice but there is not a whole lot of room to cash that as an upset or two will doom that yet that is impossible to predict at this point. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB and WNBA Previews and Odds - 07/19/2022

by Big Al Staff

Tuesday, Jul 19, 2022

The Tuesday sports card features the MLB and WNBA action.The Major League Baseball All-Star Game starts at 7:30 PM ET. The Midsummer Classic takes place at Dodger Stadium, the home of the Los Angeles Dodgers. The American League beat the National League for the eighth time in a row with their 5-2 victory last year. Dusty Baker is the manager of the American League squad. The Houston Astros manager has named Tampa Bay’s Shane McClanahan as his starting pitcher. The left-hander has a 10-3 record with a 1.71 ERA and a 0.80 WHIP. Baker will then have Toronto's Alek Manoah, New York's Nestor Cortes, Los Angeles' Shohei Ohtani, Oakland's Paul Blackburn, Texas' Martin Perez, and Houston's Framber Valdez as starting pitchers at his disposal. The AL team has New York's Clay Holmes, Cleveland's Emmanuel Clase, Baltimore's Jorge Lopez, and Detroit's Gregory Soto as potential closers. Justin Verlander, Gerrit Cole, Jose Altuve, and Mike Trout were all initially named to the AL squad but are unavailable and replaced by other players. Brian Snitker is the manager of the National League team. The Atlanta Braves manager has tapped Los Angeles' Clayton Kershaw as his starting pitcher. Snitker has Miami's Sandy Alcantara, San Diego's Joe Musgrove, Los Angeles' Tony Gonsolin and Tyler Anderson, Cincinnati's Luis Castillo, and St. Louis' Miles Mikolas as starting pitchers who can relieve Kershaw. The NL team has New York's Edwin Diaz, St. Louis' Ryan Helsley, Pittsburgh's David Bednar, Arizona's Joe Mantiply, and Milwaukee's Devin Williams as relievers at his disposal. Corbin Burnes, Max Fried, Carlos Rodon, and Josh Hader were initially named to the NL team but are unavailable and replaced by other players. The National League is a -115 money line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. Fox broadcasts the game.Four games take place in the WNBA. The Connecticut Sun hosts the New York Liberty at 11:30 AM ET. The Sun lost for the fifth time in their last six games with their 91-83 loss at home to Las Vegas as a 3.5-point underdog on Sunday. They are in second place in the Eastern Conference with a 16-9 record. The Liberty had their three-game winning streak end on Thursday in a 108-74 loss at home to Las Vegas as a 6-point underdog. They are in fifth place in the Eastern Conference with a 9-15 record. Connecticut is an 8.5-point favorite with the total set at 164.5 (all odds from DraftKings).The The Las Vegas Aces play at home against the Atlanta Dream at 10 PM ET. The Aces won for the second straight time with their win at Connecticut on Sunday. They are in first place in the Western Conference with an 18-7 record. The Dream ended their three-game losing streak with an 85-75 upset win at Phoenix as a 5.5-point underdog on Sunday. They are in fourth place in the Eastern Conference with an 11-14 record. Las Vegas is an 11.5-point favorite with an over/under of 172.The Los Angeles Sparks are at home against the Indiana Fever on the CBS Sports Network at 10:30 PM ET. The Sparks are on a three-game losing streak after their 80-68 loss to Chicago as a 5.5-point underdog on Thursday. They are in fourth place in the Western Conference with a 10-14 record. The Fever have lost two in a row after an 81-65 loss at Seattle as a 15.5-point underdog on Sunday. They are last place in the six-team Eastern Conference with a 5-22 record. Los Angeles is an 8.5-point favorite with a total of 163.5.

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MLB Home Run Derby Sleeper Pick

by Sean Murphy

Monday, Jul 18, 2022

The MLB Home Run Derby goes tonight at Dodger Stadium and if you follow my articles regularly, you probably know which slugger I'll be backing.Back in March I recommended a bet on Julio Rodriguez to win the American League Rookie of the Year Award. He's well on his way to earning that trophy thanks to a stellar first half with the Seattle Mariners. Rodriguez heads into the All-Star break hitting .275 with 16 home runs and 52 RBI, not to mention 21 stolen bases. Of course, home runs are the name of the game on Monday and I'm confident Rodriguez can put on a good show in Southern California. You should be able to find J-Rod priced around +800 to win the whole derby, however, there are a number of other betting options as well. He's priced north of +800 at most books to hit the longest home run and also matched up against Corey Seager of the Texas Rangers in the opening round. Unfortunately, his matchup price is getting a little out of hand at -170 or worse but I do expect him to outslug the former Dodger. There's also the option to bet on 'any American League player' to win the derby (currently priced around +250), which also gives you the aforementioned Seager (who knows this park well as a former Dodger) and Jose Ramirez. I do think Rodriguez has by far the best shot of those three at hoisting the trophy so I much prefer backing him at the significantly higher price. Another interesting bet is Ronald Acuna Jr. to outslug two-time champion Pete Alonso in the opening round. You can currently back Acuna at around +170 to take that matchup. Acuna has been somewhat slow to round into form this season due in part to injuries but he's precisely the type of player that thrives in the spotlight, much like Rodriguez, and I believe Alonso has settled into 'overvalued' territory this time around. Enjoy the festivities and check back as I plan to have a premium play available for the All-Star Game tomorrow night. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB Home Run Derby and Euro 2022 Previews and Odds - 07/18/2022

by Big Al Staff

Monday, Jul 18, 2022

The Monday sports card features the MLB Home Run Derby and Women’s EURO 2022 action.Major League Baseball’s Home Run Derby takes place on ESPN at 8 PM ET at Dodger Stadium. Eight competitors will take part in a quarterfinals bracket to determine the champion. The top seed is Kyle Schwarber of the Philadelphia Phillies. His odds are +300 to win the event (Home Run Derby odds from Caesars). He battles the eighth seed Albert Pujols. The Cardinals’ future Hall of Fame has +2000 odds to win. Pete Alonso of the New York Mets is the second seed. The two-time Derby champion has +200 odds to defend his title from last year. He faces Ronald Acuna as the seventh seed in the first round. The Atlanta Braves slugger has +750 odds to win the event. Corey Seager is the third seed. The Texas Rangers’ infielder is listed at +1000 to win the Derby. He duels against Juan Rodriguez, who slots in as the sixth seed. The Seattle Mariners’ rookie phenom has +1000 odds to win the event. The fourth seed is Juan Soto. The Washington Nationals’ slugger has +600 odds to win the Derby. He goes against Jose Ramirez of the Cleveland Guardians. The fifth seed in this event has +1600 odds to win. The winner of the Schwarber/Pujols quarterfinal faces the winner of the Soto/Ramirez quarterfinal. The other semifinal features the Alonso/Acuna winner against the Seager/Rodriguez survivor.The group stage of the Women’s Euro 2022 concludes with two matches in Group D at 3 PM ET. Iceland plays France at New York Stadium in Rotherham. France has already clinched first place in Group D by obtaining six points with two victories. The French women opened the competition with a 5-1 victory against Italy on July 10th. They followed that up with a 2-1 win against Belgium on July 14th. They have scored seven goals and conceded only twice. The Icelandic women need a result with two points from two draws in the group. They opened their tournament with a 1-1 draw against Belgium on July 10th before settling for a 1-1 draw with Italy on July 14th. They have scored two goals and conceded two goals. Iceland advances to the knockout stage with a victory. France is a -1.5 goal line favorite with the total set at 2.5 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). Italy plays Belgium on ESPN at Manchester City Academy Stadium in Manchester. The Italian women only have one point in group play from their 1-1 draw with Iceland. They have scored two times and given up six goals. The Belgium women has only one point from their draw with Iceland. They have scored two goals and allowed three goals. An outright winner in this match will advance to the knockout stage unless Iceland upsets France. Belgium advances to the knockout stage with a draw by winning the goal differential tie-breaker against Italy only if Iceland loses to France. Only two teams from each group qualifies for the quarterfinals that start on Wednesday. Italy is a -0.5 goal line favorite with an over/under of 2.5.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB Previews and Odds - 07/17/2022

by Big Al Staff

Sunday, Jul 17, 2022

The Sunday sports card features MLB action.Major League Baseball has 14 games on its schedule. The Toronto Blue Jays host the Kansas City Royals on Peacock at 12:05 PM ET. The Blue Jas won the third game of this four-game series on Saturday with their 6-5 victory in 10 innings. Toronto improved to49-43 with the win. The Royals fell to 36-55 with the setback. Jose Berrios takes the mound for the Blue Jays to pitch against Kris Bubic of the Royals. Toronto is a -315 money line favorite, with the total set at 9.5. Two MLB games throw out the first pitch at 1:35 PM ET. Atlanta plays at Washington with the Braves giving the ball to Spencer Strider against a starting pitcher yet to be named for the Nationals. New York hosts Boston with Gerrit Cole pitching for the Yankees against Chris Sale for the Red Sox. The Yankees are a -195 money line favorite with an over/under of 8. Three MLB games start at 1:40 PM ET. Detroit plays at Cleveland with the Tigers pitching Tyler Alexander against the Guardians’ Shane Bieber. Philadelphia travels to Miami with Aaron Nola pitching for the Phillies against Trevor Rogers of the Marlins. The Phillies are a -155 money line road favorite with a total of 7. Tampa Bay hosts Baltimore, with the Rays pitching Corey Kluber against the Orioles’ Jordan Lyles. The Rays are a -155 money line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. Two MLB games begin at 2:10 PM ET. Chicago plays at Minnesota with Dylan Cease pitching for the White Sox against a starting pitcher yet to be determined for the Twins. Oakland visits Houston with the A’s turning to Adam Oller dueling against the Astros’ Jake Odorizzi. The Cincinnati Reds travel to St. Louis to play the Cardinals at 2:15 PM ET. Graham Ashcraft pitches for the Reds against Stephen Matz of the Cardinals. The New York Mets are at Chicago to play the Cubs at 2:20 PM ET. The Mets turn to David Peterson in their starting rotation to pitch against the Cubs’ Adrian Sampson. New York is a -150 money line road favorite. The Seattle Mariners visits Texas to play the Rangers at 2:35 PM ET. Chris Flexen pitches for the Mariners against Glenn Otto of the Rangers. Seattle is a -135 money line road favorite with a total of 9. Colorado is at home against Pittsburgh at 3:10 PM ET. The Rockies pitch Austin Gomber to face a starting pitcher yet to be named for the Pirates. The San Francisco Giants host the Milwaukee Brewers at 4:05 PM ET. Logan Webb takes the ball for the Giants against Aaron Ashby for the Brewers. San Francisco is a -125 money line favorite with an over/under of 8. The San Diego Padres are at home against the Arizona Diamondbacks at 4:10 PM ET. The Padres pitch Mike Clevinger against the Diamondbacks’ Merrill Kelly. San Diego is a -155 money line favorite with a total of 7.5.

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2022 Georgia Southern Eagles Preview

by Matt Fargo

Saturday, Jul 16, 2022

Georgia Southern Eagles2021-22 Season Record 3-9 (2-6 SBC East) - 6-6-0 ATS - 5-7-0 O/UReturning StartersOffense - 8Defense - 6OverviewGeorgia Southern made noise in its first season as an FBS team as it went 9-3 including an 8-0 record in the Sun Belt under head coach Willie Fritz and he followed that up with a 9-4 record in 2015 and then he bolted to Tulane. Tyson Summers did not last two seasons before getting the hook and Chad Lunsford then put together three winning seasons before getting the early pink slip last season. This shows the coaching carousel for the Eagles as they have not had a chance to gain any continuity so now it is up to Clay Helton to make his mark. Despite 17 starters back in 2021, Georgia Southern fell flat with a 3-9 record and had just its second losing season in the conference but it looks to be in prime shape for another winning run with a very experienced team that is ranked No. 6 in returning production. It will be back to basics to get its powerful rushing attack running downhill again. OffenseGeorgia Southern averaged at least 222 yards rushing in its first seven seasons of existence but put up only 194.9 ypg and we will see a more balanced attack that will actually help the running game. Eight starters are back and they get a boost at quarterback with Kyle Vantrease transferring in from Buffalo after throwing for 1,861 yards in split time. He can have immediate success in this spread attack as he has been around the block for five seasons and will have a plethora of receivers to throw to that are experienced and fast. Their leading rusher is gone but backups Gerald Green and Jalen White ran for a combined 806 yards and nine touchdowns so there is not a significant drop off plus Vantrease can run. Georgia Southern has always relied on a powerful offensive line and while that fell off last season, it is in good shape with four returning starters that will get more of a push. DefenseDefense has been a strength throughout the years but last season was a disaster as the Eagles allowed 441.7 ypg which was No. 109 in the country as teams were able to throw all over the place. The one strength was they limited opponents to 152.4 ypg on the ground which is not great but it is a starting point and the defensive line brings back a ton of experience to get a greater push. Georgia Southern finished with 26 sacks which was No. 69 in the nation and coupled with a linebacking corps that gained a lot of playing time, the front seven can cause some havoc. The Eagles lost a pair of linebackers to the transfer portal but there is plenty in place to make that up. The secondary will be tested after last season but they will be a lot better with three starters back, led by safety Anthony Wilson who was the team leader in tackles, and corner Derrick Canteen who is back to full health. 2022 Season OutlookHelton inherits a good situation so there should be a quick turnaround and while getting a big name coach at a small school is ideal, the longer the success, the quicker a bigger job comes along. But it is about the present and the staff and roster are in place for the Eagles to make a run at the SBC Championship and getting back to a bowl game after missing out on the postseason for the first time since 2017. The Eagles open with Morgan St. before a couple testers at Nebraska and UAB before closing the nonconference season at home against Ball St. The conference slate is a bear with six of eight games against teams that had winning records last season although two of those are newcomers James Madison and Marshall. The O/U win total is 4.5 and we can see this one going over with five winnable home games and a couple really good chances on the road.  

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