Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs: Super Bowl Prediction, Preview, Picks & Odds - 2/12/2023

by Chuck Sommers

Super Bowl LVII

6:30 p.m. ET
Venue: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
Where to watch: FOX

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings: Eagles -1.5; Eagles -125, Chiefs +105; O/U 51
FanDuel: Eagles -1.5; Eagles -122, Chiefs +104; O/U 50.5
BetMGM: Eagles -1.5; Eagles -125, Chiefs +105; O/U 50.5
Caesars: Eagles -1.5; Eagles -125, Chiefs +105; O/U 51

Season record
Eagles: 16-3
Chiefs: 16-3

The Super Bowl is here, and thus ends another year of our football picks. Thanks to everyone for tuning in this year to our NFL and college football picks from our champion handicappers. You know you want to finish strong with this epic Super Bowl. And if you have any doubt of what they can bring to the table, look no further than Vegas Writer going 11-1-0 in the last 12 over the last 30 days in the NFL. AAA Sports has also been killing it at 9-3-0 over the last 30 days. Do you want to go big for this last chance of the year. Make sure you're following to find out who our champion handicappers think will win Super Bowl LVII and we'll see you next football season!

Eagles - Chiefs preview, analysis and prediction

Last week
Eagles: won 31-7 vs. 49ers in NFC Championship
Chiefs: won 23-20 vs. Bengals in AFC Championship

Patrick Mahomes. Jalen Hurts. The Kelce Brothers. Andy Reid. No one cares about Nick Sirriani. A great offense going against a great defense. This is what you want in the Super Bowl. This is what you want in the game that matters most. The Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles will meet in Glendale this Sunday for what should be a classic matchup of the irresistible force and the immovable object.
Ultimately, this is the matchup that was going to best describe who the best team in the league is. And not just because it decides a silver trophy with a football on it. I’ve called the Eagles frauds all year long. Looking at the overall landscape of their season, there hasn’t been a time where the Eagles have looked like true Super Bowl contenders.
And even in their playoff run, I haven’t believed in the Eagles. They went from defeating the fraud that is Daniel Jones and the New York Giants by 31 points, to the San Francisco 49ers losing two quarterbacks — including Brock Purdy — and winning the NFC Championship by 24. The 49ers defense did as much as it could before it ultimately ran out of gas. They held the high-powered Philadelphia offense to 269 total yards of offense.
''When you guys go into our indoor (practice facility), there's always that picture in the back part of it of the 2017 NFC championship game, and it's just the electricity of the stadium,'' said head coach Nick Sirianni, who was hired two years ago to replace the Eagles' Super Bowl-winning coach, Doug Pederson. ''We're looking forward to getting another picture up there of this special moment that we had.''
Despite the way things have been handled in the last little bit, the Eagles’ defense has been great all year. The corners are stifling against any receiving corps, the front seven can get to the quarterback at any time. How the Chiefs handle Hasson Reddick and Fletcher Cox will be a great matchup to watch.
But the key for this whole situation is going to be the quarterbacks and two MVP candidates. Which one of the two will be able to outduel the other in the battle of the first Black quarterbacks to ever meet in the Super Bowl?
On one hand, you have Hurts, who has the ability to control a game with both his arms and legs. He has a strong arm enough to play the deep game and the speed to extend the plays. On the other hand, you have the best quarterback of this generation and arguably the best player of this generation in Mahomes, who on one leg was able to outduel Joe Burrow in the AFC Championship Game and reach the third Super Bowl of his five-year run.
Mahomes threw for 326 yards and two touchdowns, again on one ankle, and led a game-winning drive aided by a late personal foul call to give the Chiefs an improbable 23-20 win over the Cincinnati Bengals last week.
“I think about it a lot,” Mahomes said. “The quarterbacks that came before me — Shack Harris, Doug Williams — that laid the foundation for me to be in this position. It goes across all sports. If you think about Jackie Robinson and the people who broke the color barrier in baseball, I wouldn’t be standing here today if it wasn’t for them.
“To be lucky enough to be in this position — and play against another great guy like Jalen — it will be a special moment. I’m glad we’re here today, but how can we keep moving forward? How can we motivate kids who are younger, who want to follow their dreams to be a quarterback?”
The line hasn’t moved once since the game was made official. The Eagles are still laying 1.5 as the slight favorites because of how “dominant” they’ve been all year. But one team has Super Bowl experience, the other primarily doesn’t. And if you think Andy Reid doesn’t want this game, too, you have no idea what to expect.
When the Chiefs lost to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the COVID Super Bowl, that was the moment of Mahomes finally saying, “this is harder than I thought.” It is hard to win. But it’s also hard to lose twice. Those doubting Mahomes aren’t in position to do so, and he’ll show once again on Sunday why he is the best in the world. Chiefs 34, Eagles 27

Betting trends

Chiefs are 1-5 ATS when playing on two weeks or more of rest the past 3 seasons.

Chiefs are 0-7 ATS after an ATS win this season.

Chiefs are 109-99 ATS as an underdog since 1992.

Eagles are 7-2 ATS off an under this season.

Eagles are 1-5 ATS after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games this season.

Don't miss our champion handicappers' free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Philadelphia Eagles - Kansas City Chiefs Super Bowl prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily NFL projections and previews.

Chuck Sommers

About the Author:

Chuck Sommers has camped outside of sportsbooks since he can remember, learning the tricks and nuances of the trade. He still has nightmares of betting $5,000 on the Raiders in the Tuck Rule game but has since turned that to 25 years of veteran handicapping greatness. You can find him mostly in the shadows at the Red Rock or Aliante casinos wondering if the over is cashing on any given Sunday.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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