Sean Murphy - Uruguay vs Portugal

Sean's POR-URU WORLD CUP BEST BET! OFF SWEEP!

Handicapper
Sean Murphy
League
SOCCER
Competition
Uruguay vs Portugal
Release Date
11/28/2022 07:08 AM
Event Date
11/28/2022 02:00 PM
Bet Type
Goal Line
Pick
Uruguay +0.5 (-110) (Caesars)
Outcome
Loss
Analysis
My selection is on Uruguay +0.5 goals over Portugal at 2 pm et on Monday. I can't help but feel Portugal will be hard-pressed to pick up a full six points in its first two matches of this tournament as it faces the prospect of a cagey affair against Uruguay on Monday. Portugal impressed in its opener and ultimately prevailed thanks in part to a somewhat questionable Cristiano Ronaldo penalty. If there was something negative to say about that overall performance, it was its form on the back line with Cancelo, Dias, Pereira and Guerreiro looking less than air-tight in defense. Keeper Diogo Costa rated out poorly in that 3-2 victory over Ghana as well. We won with the 'under' in Uruguay's tournament-opening 0-0 draw against South Korea. I do expect Uruguay to break the seal and find the back of the net for the first time in this tournament on Monday. However, this does project as a relatively low-scoring affair with the total set at 2.0. Depending on the earlier result between South Korea and Ghana, a draw should suit both Portugal and Uruguay just fine here. Noting that four of Uruguay's last five matches across all competitions have stayed 'under' 2.5 total goals, we'll confidently back it plus the half-goal here. Take Uruguay +0.5 goals (8*).

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