Matt Fargo - San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks

Fargo's 10* NBA Thursday Enforcer (11-4 YTD)

Handicapper
Matt Fargo
League
NBA
Competition
San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks
Time
10/28/2021 08:40 PM
Bet Type
Point Spread
Pick
San Antonio Spurs +7 (-115) (DraftKings)
Outcome
Win
Analysis
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. After a season opening loss against Atlanta by 26 points, Dallas has won its last two games over Toronto and Houston and it has a half-game lead in the Southwest Division over Memphis. The Mavericks have struggled on offense as they are ranked No. 26 in scoring offense and have had issues shooting the ball as they are dead last in the NBA at 40.4 percent and from long range, they are hitting just 30.5 percent from behind the arc which is No. 28. While listed as questionable, power forward Kristaps Porzingis is expected to miss the game against the Spurs due to a back injury. The Mavericks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a losing straight up record. Despite a 1-3 record, the Spurs have been efficient with the ball as they have a 2.07 A/TO ratio which is second best in the NBA while their 47.6 percent shooting is tied for second in the league. The backcourt duo of Dejounte Murray and Derrick White is very underrated and Murray is coming off one of the best games for a Spurs players as he had 21 points, 15 assists and 12 rebounds as he became the first player in San Antonio history with 20 or more points, 10 or more rebounds and 15 or more assists in a game. The Spurs are 18-8-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a road underdog. Here, we play on teams after two or more consecutive losses in the first six games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost six or more of their last eight games. this situation is 44-17 ATS (72.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (557) San Antonio Spurs

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