Matt Fargo - North Carolina vs Notre Dame

Fargo's CFB Saturday Triple Play 58% CBB Run

Handicapper
Matt Fargo
League
NCAAF
Competition
North Carolina vs Notre Dame
Release Date
10/27/2021 05:56 PM
Event Date
10/30/2021 07:30 PM
Bet Type
Point Spread
Pick
Notre Dame -3.5 (-105) (DraftKings)
Outcome
Win
Analysis
This is a play on the NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH as part of our CFB Nighttime Triple Play. Notre Dame is coming off a win over USC last week and while that could spell a letdown but the Irish are still in the mix with a 6-1 record as its lone loss came against No. 2 Cincinnati. The remaining schedule is very doable to win out so they will need some help at the top for some teams to fall. This is the second of three straight home games for Notre Dame and it will definitely be tested in its passing defense but it is the other matchup that will go a long way. The Notre Dame offense has not lived up to expectations and the North Carolina defense has been just as bad this season as it was last season. The Irish are 9-3 ATS against teams with a winning record. North Carolina is 4-3 on the season after escaping with a win over Miami two weeks ago. The Tar Heels lost a ton of talent on offense and it has been a slow process to get readjusted and this will be their toughest test. Just like last year, the Irish defense needs to take away the running ability of quarterback Sam Howell. This is just the second true road game for the Tar Heels with the first coming at Virginia Tech which resulted in a loss. The Tar Heels are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win. Here, we play against road underdogs outscoring opponents by seven or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. this situation is 47-17 ATS (73.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (210) Notre Dame Fighting Irish

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