Fargo's World Series Game of the Month (7-3)
- Handicapper
- Matt Fargo
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros
- Time
- 10/27/2021 08:09 PM
- Bet Type
- Moneyline
- Pick
-
Atlanta Braves +105
(DraftKings)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our World Series Game of the Month. Atlanta grabbed Game One of the World Series last night and they look to take a commanding 2-0 lead behind an offense that has been solid from top to bottom with only catcher Travis d'Arnaud struggling. The Braves have not let down against quality opposition as they are 15-3 in their last 18 games against teams with a winning record. The Houston bats have been hot and cold and the latter is an issue with two of the big hitters going ice cold. Jose Altuve is 3-for-29 since the start of the ALCS, and Alex Bregman is 3-for-19 in his last five games. The Astros have now lost five straight World Series home games. After the injury to Charlie Morton last night and the Astros turning to their bullpen for significant innings, the Braves are going to need innings from Max Fried, who had a 1.47 ERA from Aug. 3 through his Game One outing against the Dodgers and while he struggled in Game Five, we should see a bounce back here. After going four straight games without issuing a walk, he had two last Thursday and he also allowed two home runs after allowing just one in his previous five games. He has pitched just as good on the road as he has at home so this should not be an intimidation. Jose Urquidy gets the ball for the Astros and he had a good season but his last game was a disaster. His lone playoff start this year was in Game Three against the Red Sox as he allowed six runs on five hits in 1.2 innings in Boston. Here, we play on teams when the money line is +125 to -125 having won 15 or more of their last 20 games going up against an opponent after having won three of their last four games. This situation is 49-30 (62 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (953) Atlanta Braves
