NBA DENVER-PHOENIX TNT O/U SPECIAL- 21-8 O/Us
- Handicapper
- Hollywood Sports
- League
- NBA
- Competition
- Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns
- Release Date
- 06/07/2021 04:42 PM
- Event Date
- 06/07/2021 10:15 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Under 221.5 (-109)
(DraftKings)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- At 10:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (583) and the Phoenix Suns (584) in Game One of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Denver (51-27) has won four of their last five games after defeating the Trail Blazers in six games last round with their 126-115 win in Portland as a 5.5-point underdog on Thursday. Phoenix (55-23) has won three in a row after their 113-100 upset win in Los Angeles against the Lakers as a 2-point underdog on Thursday to close that series out in six games.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Nuggets made 51.2% of their shots to close out their series with the Blazers which was the highest field goal percentage in their last four games. Denver also allowed Portland to make 50.6% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last six games. The Nuggets have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after an upset victory — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after an upset win by 10 or more points. Denver has also played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. They stay on the road where they have played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage against teams who are winning at least 60% of their games at home. The Under is also 6-0-2 in the Nuggets’ last 8 games in the Western Conference Semifinals. Phoenix made 50.7% of their shots in Game Six against the Lakers which was the best shooting effort in their last seven games. They also saw Los Angeles make 41.8% of their shots which was actually the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last three games. The Suns have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a win on the road against a Pacific Division rival — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after an upset victory against a divisional foe. Phoenix has played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. They return home where they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total when favored. The Under is also 4-0-1 in their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.
FINAL TAKE: Phoenix will be looking to avenge a 120-112 loss at Denver on January 23rd — and they have played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total when avenging a loss on their home court. 10* NBA Denver-Phoenix TNT O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (583) and the Phoenix Suns (584). Best of luck for us — Frank.
