Scott's MLB Situational Slaughter HOT 83% RUN
- Handicapper
- Scott Rickenbach
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers
- Time
- 04/29/2021 08:05 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Over 8.5 (-113)
(DraftKings)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- Situational Slaughter - Rickenbach MLB Rotation #965 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox @ 8:05 ET - Even though they only scored 1 run yesterday, the Red Sox will feel good about themselves after getting the upset win over Jacob deGrom and the Mets. That will lead to some extra confidence at the plate here and I feel Kyle Gibson is over-rated right now. His early season performance has been great but this is still the same Gibson who had a 4.84 ERA in 2019 and went 2-6 with a 5.35 ERA last season in 2020. In other words, there is going to be a regression to the mean very soon for Gibson and I expect it to begin right here. The Rangers right-hander has great numbers this season and did a good job of inducting ground ball contact in his most recent start. However, he also benefitted from a couple of guys caught stealing and he got out of a big bases-loaded jam at the end of his start. A good number of hard hit balls in that start and Boston enters this game having won 16 of 22 games so they will come with bats ready to go right away. The Red Sox will need all the runs they can get because Texas will likely pound Martin Perez. The Boston southpaw struggled as spring training went on and that same pattern has carried right into the regular season. Perez has given up 11 hits plus walked 4 while allowing 6 earned runs in just 7 and 1/3 innings his last two starts combined. Yes that is a WHIP over 2.00 and when you are allowing 2 base runners per inning it is only a matter of time until you get into big trouble. Rangers off tight 4-3 loss last night bounce back at the plate tonight. 10* OVER the total in Texas
