BIG AL's 5* NBA GAME OF MONTH (1st in 2021)!
- Handicapper
- Al McMordie
- League
- NBA
- Competition
- Utah Jazz vs Minnesota Timberwolves
- Release Date
- 04/26/2021 07:07 AM
- Event Date
- 04/26/2021 08:10 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Utah Jazz -10 (-107)
(DraftKings)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Minnesota. These two teams met two nights ago in Salt Lake City, and the T-Wolves stunned the Jazz, 101-96, as a 12-point underdog. And even more stunning is the fact that the 17-44 Timberwolves also defeated the 44-16 Jazz in the season's first meeting -- also in Salt Lake -- as a 9.5-point underdog, 116-111. But with revenge from those two losses, we'll lay the points with Utah tonight, as double-revenge-minded road teams have cashed 90% over the last 31 seasons if they owned a win percentage at least 33% greater than their opponent. Even worse for the T-Wolves: in the regular season, teams playing back to back games against the same opponent are a horrible 23.8% ATS since 1995 if they won the first meeting on the road as an underdog of 7 (or more) points. As faithful followers know, I love playing against bad teams off wins. And Minnesota is a wallet-breaking 5-17-1 ATS off an upset win, including 0-12 ATS when priced as an underdog from +6 to +17 points. Take Utah to blow out Minnesota. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.