TOM'S 15-0 ATS NCAA PERFECT HARDWOOD WAGER
- Handicapper
- Tom Stryker
- League
- NCAAB
- Competition
- Illinois State vs Purdue
- Release Date
- 11/09/2026 03:07 PM
- Event Date
- 11/09/2026 08:40 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Purdue -15.5 (-105)
(DraftKings)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- #866 PURDUE (-) over Illinois St at 8:30 PM EST
Fired up off a pair of SU and ATS losses to Gonzaga and Valparaiso out of the gate, Purdue will go for the knockout when Illinois State pays a visit to Mackey Arena on Monday night. The Redbirds arrive off a 45-point home win over the Central State Marauders and this will be an extremely difficult encore for head coach Ryan Pedon and his players.
The Boilermakers are locked into one of their best wagering situations. In West Lafayette storming in angry off a straight up home loss, PU holds a phenomenal 21-1 SU and 17-3 ATS record in its last 22 tries. Provided head coach Matt Painter and his boys are not favored by -18 points or more, this angle improves to a strong 18-1 SU and 16-1 ATS. Also, in non-conference play running the court against a foe that owns a team won/loss percentage of .500 or better, the Boilers own a reliable 34-17 ATS mark.
Illinois State is locked into a negative wagering spot that demands respect. When running the floor with four or more days of rest and now facing an opponent that checks in without steam off two or more straight up losses, the Redbirds hold a timid 37-63-2 ATS record including a woeful 17-36-2 ATS if they are priced as an underdog or a short favorite of -4 or less. Also, in true road games busting in with confidence off a straight up win, ISU owns a terrible 11-41 SU and 18-34 ATS mark including a shocking 1-14 SU and 0-15 ATS if its opponent sports a team won/loss percentage less than .500.
After connecting on just 10-of-49 shots from behind the arc in their first two games, the Boilermakers will find their touch from downtown and torch the Redbirds. Take Purdue. Thanks, and best of luck, Tom.
