TOM'S 22-4 NFL MONDAY NIGHT ELITE INVESTMENT
- Handicapper
- Tom Stryker
- League
- NFL
- Competition
- Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings
- Release Date
- 11/09/2026 02:25 PM
- Event Date
- 11/09/2026 08:15 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Minnesota Vikings +3.5 (-115)
(Consensus Line)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- #478 MINNESOTA (+) over Buffalo at 8:15 PM EST
Off last week's four-point road loss at Detroit, Minnesota will return home and pick up a huge upset win over one of the AFC's best in Buffalo. The Bills enter this Monday Night battle off three consecutive straight up wins over the Rams, Raiders, and Ravens, and this will prove to be a challenging spot for first-year head coach Joe Brady and his boys.
Technically, this is a lucrative spot for the Purple. When coming off two or more pointspread losses and now facing a foe that arrives with confidence off a straight up win, Minnesota owns a tremendous 29-14 SU and 29-12-2 ATS record in its last 43 games. In this setting running in the comforts of home, the Vikings improve to a solid 22-5 SU and 21-6 ATS including an outstanding 19-4 SU and ATS provided they bust in off a straight up loss as well. Equally impressive, when fighting a foe that enter with momentum off a blowout win of 10 points or more, head coach Kevin O'Connell and his crew have been an excellent source of revenue posting a proud 104-70-5 ATS mark including a strong 53-25-2 ATS provided they take the field off a straight up loss. With those two parameters live and the Vikes facing a non-division foe, this angle jets to a sound 31-11-1 ATS including 22-4 ATS if they were on the road last.
Buffalo is locked into one of its worst wagering sets. As road chalk holding a team won/loss percentage of .650 or better, the Bills have struggled financially inking a stiff 26-41-1 ATS record including a weak 16-30 ATS provided they take the field off a pointspread victory. In addition, as a non-division guest competing on Monday Night Football, Buffy owns a rough 2-9-1 SU and 2-8-2 ATS mark including a disturbing 0-7-1 SU and ATS provided they are priced as a favorite or a short underdog of +3 or less. Finally, as a favorite busting in off a blowout win of 20 points or more, Coach Brady and his players hold a timid 23-39 ATS tally including a pitiful 11-30 ATS provided they hold a pointspread won/loss percentage of .625 or higher.
With Kyler Murray out with a strained hamstring, backup Carson Wentz will work his magic behind center and help key this minor upset. Take Minnesota. Thanks, and best of luck, Tom.
