Sean's **7 OF 11?** NFL MNF TOTAL DOMINATOR!
- Handicapper
- Sean Murphy
- League
- NFL
- Competition
- Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings
- Release Date
- 11/09/2026 07:45 AM
- Event Date
- 11/09/2026 08:15 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings Over 43.5 (-115)
(Consensus Line)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- My selection is on the 'over' between Buffalo and Minnesota at 8:15 pm et on Monday.
The presence of the Vikings defense looms large over this matchup and total. Minnesota has seen each of its last six games stay 'under' the total since opening the season with a high-scoring home win over the Packers. I think we'll finally see that streak come to an end as the Bills roll into town on Monday. Buffalo's defense is not great, and that's putting it mildly. They caught a break last week as Ravens QB Lamar Jackson got injured on their first play and then his backup Tyler Huntley went out shortly thereafter. They ended up allowing just 10 points and their 'over' streak ended at three games as a result. Buffalo's three previous road games this season have all been high-scoring, reaching 67, 71 and 63 total points. While Minnesota's defense is tough, opponents have found a flaw in Brian Flores' group in recent weeks. The Vikes have allowed 6.7, 3.2, 4.7 and 5.9 yards per rush over their last four contests. Buffalo can certainly run the football with standout RB James Cook and of course the dual-threat ability of QB Josh Allen. The Bills have been incredibly consistent offensively this season, scoring 24+ points in all seven games. For Minnesota's struggling offense, we have a 'catalyst for change' at work as QB Kyler Murray is out. Veteran Carson Wentz takes over the offense. I do think there are too many playmakers on this offense for it to be as bad as it's been to this point. Remember, Murray left early wtih an injury in the team's highest-scoring game of the season (39-22 win over the Packers in Week 1). Wentz threw three touchdown passes in that contest. I certainly don't think Murray's absence hurts the Vikes offense, yet this total has dropped considerably since opening last Sunday. Take the over (8*).
