Yesterday’s Results for Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings

Fargo's NFL Monday Primetime (17-3-1 YTD)

Analysis: This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Monday Primetime. Facing the Minnesota defense is a challenge and Buffalo is next in line and many feel the offense will struggle but it’s hard to go against John Allen. He is 12-5 in 17 road starts against teams allowing 20 or fewer ppg so the Vikings advantage is not as big as it has been against other teams. They have faced only three good quarterbacks, Jordan Love who lit them up for 353 yards, Caleb Williams in a monsoon and Jared Goff last week who had 6.4 ypa, the second most the Vikings have allowed. One of the big arguments for Minnesota having the edge on the other side is it is facing the Bills defense which is No. 27 in Defensive EPA but the other way needs to be looked at. The Bills two best defensive performances came against the Chargers and Justin Herbert who looks lost in his new offense, and the Ravens who lost Lamar Jackson and Tyler Huntley while the four rough games came against C.J. Stroud, Drake Maye, Matthew Stafford and Kirk Cousins which are all in the top nine in EPA. Now they face Carson Wentz. Advantage Buffalo. Here, we play on teams after a win by 14 or more points going up against an opponent after scoring 17 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 68-21 (76.4 percent) since 2-17 with an average scoring differential of +8.7 ppg. 10* (477) Buffalo Bills