Nelly’s Early Release MNF Winner 5-2 MNF
- Handicapper
- Nelly's Sports
- League
- NFL
- Competition
- Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings
- Release Date
- 11/07/2026 10:57 AM
- Event Date
- 11/09/2026 08:15 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Buffalo Bills -3 (-110)
(BetOnline)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- The Vikings and Bills share a history of being 0-4 in Super Bowls, in addition to other notable playoff failures in recent decades. The past two meetings between these franchises have also provided wild results. Buffalo won as a 16.5-point underdog in 2018, while Minnesota’s 2022 upset featured great turnover fortune, including a stunning fumble recovery for a lead-changing score in the final minute. Both teams are 6-1 this season, but with some question marks as Buffalo’s defense has struggled while Minnesota’s offense has struggled. The Bills have allowed 29 or more points five different times this season, but Buffalo is the #1 scoring offense in the league with 27 touchdowns, the most in the NFL, and Josh Allen is a serious MVP candidate. The Bills also arrive in good form after a 36-10 rout of Baltimore. Minnesota’s defense has been elite, allowing a league-best 13.3 points per game and just nine touchdowns, but it can only carry so much. The Vikings are 3-0 at home, yet they have been held to 23 or fewer points in six straight games, and they just lost 19-15 at Detroit. Kyler Murray is battling a hamstring injury, a setback for an offense that has struggled to find a rhythm, though Carson Wentz has arguably been a better option for the Vikings but lacks the potential to keep pace with Allen’s production. Buffalo has the offense more likely to break through against a great defense, and that’s the edge in a tight game.
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