AMEDEUS' MLB HOME RUN HAMMER!
- Handicapper
- Amedeus Mastrangelo
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians
- Release Date
- 08/14/2026 12:06 PM
- Event Date
- 08/14/2026 07:10 PM
- Bet Type
- Moneyline
- Pick
-
San Diego Padres +119
(DraftKings)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- The Padres are coming into this game with a 65-57 record this season and they have been heating up in their recent games. The Padres made a point to go for it at the deadline and the players have backed that decision up for them, winning their last 5 straight as well as 6 of their last 7 games. Their pitching has been great all year and in recent games, allowing 3 runs or less in each of their last 5 as well as 6 of their last 7 games, and their offense has been heating up as they have scored 7+ runs in 2 of their last 4 games now. They are going up against a Guardians team that is 59-63 this season and they have not been playing well in their recent games. They have lost 4 of their last 5 as well as 7 of their last 9 games and they have been slipping out of the Wild Card race quickly. Their offense has not been great all season, scoring 3 runs or less in 3 of their last 5 games as well, and their pitching has not been great either with 5+ runs allowed in 3 of their last 5 as well as 6 of their last 9 games. Michael King is starting for the Padres in this game and he is 7-8 with a 3.37 ERA this season. He has been pitching well recently as he has allowed 2 earned runs or less in 5 of his last 7 starts and just 1 earned run or less in 4 of his last 6 starts as well. He has been much better on the road recently as well, allowing 2 earned runs or less in 3 of his last 4 road starts. He also has 7 career appearances against the Guardians and he is 2-0 with a 0.40 ERA, going 1-0 with a 0.82 ERA in this ballpark. Gavin Williams is starting for the Guardians in this game and he is 11-6 with a 3.55 ERA this season. He has been great in his recent starts, but the team has been struggling in those starts. The Guardians have lost 4 of their last 5 games with Williams starting and their offense has been awful with 3 runs scored or less in 4 of those 5 games, scoring 1 run or less in 3 of those as well. He has actually struggled more at home recently as well, allowing 3+ runs in 4 of his last 6 starts there. He is also 0-1 with a 7.36 ERA in his only career start against the Padres. The Guardians have been struggling with their bullpen as well and the Padres have been heating up on offense with a great bullpen themselves. The Padres will win this game.
