Amedeus Mastrangelo - Toulouse vs Lens

AMEDEUS' LIGUE 1 PERFECT PITCH!

Handicapper
Amedeus Mastrangelo
League
SOCCER
Competition
Toulouse vs Lens
Release Date
04/17/2026 10:47 AM
Event Date
04/17/2026 02:45 PM
Bet Type
Over / Under
Pick
Toulouse vs Lens Over 2.75 (-118) (BetOnline)
Outcome
Win
Analysis
Lens is coming into this match with a trend to the over in their recent matches. They have gone over 2.5 goals in their last 5 straight as well as 9 of their last 10 matches and their attack has been great in these. They have scored at least 2 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, but their defense has also been struggling in these as they have allowed at least 2 goals in 2 of their last 3 as well as 3 of their last 5 matches. When playing at home, they have gone over 2.5 goals in their last 4 straight matches there with their attack on fire in these. They have scored at least 2 goals in each of their last 4 home matches and have outscored opponents 8-1 in their last 2 matches there. They also had their match last week postponed and they are currently sitting in 2nd place with a shot at the title, so they are going to be ready for this match and will be pushing for another 3 points at home. They are going up against a Toulouse side that has also been trending heavily to the over in their recent matches. They have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 as well as 4 of their last 6 matches. Their defense has been awful in these as they have allowed at least 2 goals in 3 of their last 4 as well as 4 of their last 6 matches, allowing at least 3 goals in their last 2 straight as well as 3 of their last 4 matches as well. Their attack has not been bad though as they have found the net in 3 of their last 4 matches and have scored 5 goals total in that span. When playing away from home, they have gone over 2.5 goals in their last 3 straight as well as 4 of their last 5 matches. Toulouse has been conceding a lot of goals recently with their defense not playing well and they are going to struggle to keep this potent Lens attack out of their net, but Lens has not been keeping many clean sheets either and Toulouse is not the type of team to lay down and die when they fall behind. Between these two sides, there will be enough goals in this match to push it over 2.75 goals. France Ligue 1: Lens/Toulouse over 2.75 goals, Rot. 203269

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