MLB Total DOMINATION *7-3 Last 10 Plays!*
- Handicapper
- Kyle Hunter
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Release Date
- 04/17/2026 02:40 AM
- Event Date
- 04/17/2026 06:40 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Over 9.5 (+100)
(BetMGM)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- *3 Star Play Over* Taijuan Walker ranks in the bottom ten percent of all pitchers in the majors in expected batting average. He also ranks in the bottom ten percent in whiff percentage. The Braves have scored 6 runs or more in six of their last eight games. Atlanta's lineup is deep, and they should give Walker a lot of trouble here.
Martin Perez has good numbers this year, but his batting average on balls in play allowed is a ridiculously low .190. That should regress to the mean. Perez is way past his prime and this Phillies lineup has crushed him in the past. Bohm and Turner have led the charge against him. The team overall has a .356 wOBA against Perez.
I would expect a bunch of baserunners on the base paths in this one.
Take the over.
