TDG’s NCAA-B AMERICAN CONF TOTAL OF THE YEAR
- Handicapper
- Team Del Genio
- League
- NCAAB
- Competition
- Wichita State vs South Florida
- Release Date
- 03/15/2026 12:46 PM
- Event Date
- 03/15/2026 03:15 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
Wichita State vs South Florida Under 150.5 (-110)
(BetOnline)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- Our 25* NCAA-B American Conference Total of the Year is on Wichita St/South Florida under at 3:15 pm et.
South Florida extended their winning streak to ten games with an 86-84 victory against Charlotte in the semifinals of the American Conference tournament yesterday. The Bulls held the 49ers to a 33.9% field goal percentage and a 24.1% mark from 3-point land in a defensive effort that continues their improved play in frustrating their opponents. For the year, South Florida is allowing 76.2 points per game on 41.5% shooting and a 34.2% mark from 3-point range. Yet in the last month, the Bulls' defense has tightened as they are giving up 68.3 points per game on 39.5% shooting and a 30.5% mark from 3-point land. They have played ten of their previous fifteen games under the number after beating a conference opponent. They have played six of their previous nine games under the total after winning three or more games in a row. South Florida has played thirteen of their previous twenty-one games under the number after playing a game where they scored 85 or more points. The Bulls play at one of the fastest paces in the country, yet they have played eleven of their previous thirteen games under the number when the oddsmakers installed the over/under from 140 to 149.5. They have played twenty-six of their previous forty games under the total when the oddsmakers installed them as the favorite. South Florida has played six of their previous seven games played in March under the total.
Wichita State reached the finals of the American Conference tournament with an 81-68 upset victory against Tulsa as a 1.5-point underdog yesterday. The Shockers have played five of their previous seven games under the total after pulling off an upset victory. They have played thirteen of their previous twenty-one games under the number after winning their previous game, and they have played eight of their previous thirteen games under the total after beating a conference opponent in their previous game. Wichita State is another team that is playing better defense late in the season. For the year, they are giving up 70.4 points per game on 42.2% shooting. In the last month, their opponents’ field goal percentage has dropped to 41.3%. The Shockers have played eighteen of their previous twenty-seven games under the number when the oddsmakers installed the over/under from 140 to 149.5, and they have played ten of those fifteen games under the total this year. Wichita State is averaging 78.3 points per game on 44.5% shooting, yet in their four games played on a neutral court, those numbers decline to 71.5 points per game on 42.4% shooting. The Shockers have played seven of their previous nine games under the total on a neutral court, and they have played three of those four games under the number this year. The Bulls' fast pace helps them average 66.5 shots per game, yet Wichita State has played five of their previous seven games under the total against opponents who average 62 or more shots per game. This is the third game between these two teams after they split their two games in the regular season. The Shockers have done well in slowing South Florida down. They won the first game in Tampa, 86-85. The final score finished over the 157.5 point total installed by the oddsmakers only because the game went into overtime. At the end of the regulation, the score was 78-78. The Bulls won the rematch, 66-58, despite the oddsmakers installing the over/under at 160.5. With the oddsmakers initially installing the over/under for this third meeting at 150.5, it may look easy for many bettors to expect a higher scoring game given those past over/under numbers. Yet let’s listen to what the oddsmakers seem to be telling us. Play the under.
Good luck - Team Del Genio.
