ASA SEC Championship Slaughter! 1 ET! 80% RUN
- Handicapper
- ASA, Inc.
- League
- NCAAB
- Competition
- Vanderbilt vs Arkansas
- Release Date
- 03/15/2026 10:52 AM
- Event Date
- 03/15/2026 01:00 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Vanderbilt -1.5 (-110)
(Consensus Line)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- #645 ASA PLAY ON Vanderbilt -1.5 over Arkansas, Sunday at 1 PM ET - We were on Arkansas yesterday in what we thought was a perfect spot and they came up short with a win but no cover. They struggled to put away an Ole Miss team that was playing their 4th game in 4 days and was due for some regression. The Rebels got whipped on the boards, as we expected, but they had another stellar shooting day hitting 50% of their shots losing by 3 in OT. The Razors had 4 players log 40+ minutes yesterday including star freshman Acuff who put it 40 minutes the night before as well vs Oklahoma. He’s already banged up and going 40 minutes 3 straight days might not be in the cards. Arky has had the much easier path to this game topping Oklahoma and Ole Miss although both games were very tight and down to the wire. Vandy, on the other hand, had to face Tennessee and Florida and really controlled both games vs high level opponents. In their game yesterday vs the Gators, who were battling for a potential #1 seed in the Dance, the Commodores won by 17 and led for all but 2 minutes. They were up by 25 at one point on a Florida team that came into the game on a 12 game winning streak. While both of these teams will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days, Vandy should be the fresher team as they were able to spread their minutes out better than Arkansas and the Razorbacks went to OT yesterday. Offensively, these team were dead even in efficiency this season averaging 1.27 PPP. However on defense, the Commodores were top 30 in efficiency while Arkansas sits outside the top 50. Vanderbilt also has the better defensive numbers for eFG%, 2 point FG%, 3 point FG%, and defensive turnover rate. They also make 79% of their FT’s and they which could be huge in a tight game (they are 43 of 49 from the charity stripe in this tourney). The one thing Vandy can struggle with is the defensive glass but Arkansas is not a great offensive rebounding team (10th in the SEC) so that shouldn’t be a huge factor. Lastly, while this is obviously a big game for both teams, Vanderbilt may have a little extra something in this one after getting crushed 93-68 in their only meeting this year @ Arkansas. We’ll lay the short number here.
