TOM'S NCAA 100% (8-0 ATS) TOURNAMENT BEST BET
- Handicapper
- Tom Stryker
- League
- NCAAB
- Competition
- Vanderbilt vs Arkansas
- Release Date
- 03/15/2026 06:16 AM
- Event Date
- 03/15/2026 01:00 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Arkansas +2.5 (-105)
(Consensus Line)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- #646 ARKANSAS (+) over Vanderbilt at 1 PM EST
Off back-to-back SEC Tournament wins over Mississippi and Oklahoma and failing to cover in each, Arkansas will pull off the upset over Vanderbilt in this championship tilt. The Commodores enter this matchup on a 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS run and head coach Mark Byington and his boys will be in trouble here.
Historically, the Razorbacks have played well in this series inking a proud 25-9 SU and 21-13 ATS record in the last 34 meetings including an elite 11-2 SU and 10-3 ATS provided the 'Dores hit the hardwood with steam off two or more straight up wins. Also, when priced as an underdog or a short favorite of -6 or less, the Pigs own an outstanding 43-33 SU and 43-28-3 ATS mark provided they own a team won/loss percentage of .501 or higher.
This is a poor wagering spot for Vanderbilt. When coming off a SU and ATS win and now facing a foe that carries a team won/loss percentage of .740 or higher, the Commodores own a woeful 57-84-1 ATS record including a rough 23-42-1 ATS mark provided they hold a team won/loss percentage of .740 or more as well. Additionally, in the SEC Tournament Championship Game, underdogs or favorites priced at -3.5 or less that are rolling with revenge hold a weak 5-19 SU and 8-15-1 ATS tally including a shocking 0-8 SU and ATS provided they hold a team won/loss percentage of .760 or better.
On a blistering 35-14 SU and 33-14-2 ATS run (24-9-2 ATS priced as an underdog to -7), the Razorbacks will punch their ticket to the Big Dance with a solid performance over the 'Dores. Take Arkansas. Thanks, and best of luck, Tom.
