CBK Triple Dog Delight - Tuesday
- Handicapper
- Jim Feist
- League
- NCAAB
- Competition
- Arkansas vs Oklahoma
- Release Date
- 01/27/2026 11:45 AM
- Event Date
- 01/27/2026 07:00 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Oklahoma +2.5 (-105)
(DraftKings)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- Oklahoma is well situated to cover tonight vs Arkansas because the line is basically saying “this is a one-possession game”. You see most books listing Arkansas around -2.5 with totals in the 166.5–167 range, which means you’d have to believe in sustained stretches of Arkansas dominance and Oklahoma impotence.
Let’s start with the matchup edge. If you’re picking this game live, I want you thinking about how Oklahoma scores vs. what Arkansas gives up. Arkansas has had ALL season defending inside the arc, and their struggles erupted into full-on crises in both of their recent road losses where opponents exploded for 90+ points and finished at elite levels on 2s. Oklahoma’s entire offense is predicated on attacking that: they shoot a great mid-range jumper (55% on 2s) and they’re dynamic enough from three to keep the defense honest. If Oklahoma is hitting shots at the rim and in the paint, there’s no “out-talenting” Arkansas.
The situational edge is real too. Arkansas has been “two different teams” on the road this season, playing well above average offense in one sense (top 20 offense by efficiency, great shooting, low turnover pct.) and criminally awful in another (can’t stop anybody). When you’re taking points with the home team, you WANT volatility because it creates high-leverage sequences where anything can happen. You don’t need Oklahoma to “limit” Arkansas, you just need the Sooners to TRADE punches and win a couple clutch sequences late. Oklahoma + points at home combined with a matchup that sets them up to efficiently score inside = a recipe to cleanly cover.
Jim's Play: 620. Oklahoma
