- Analysis
- The Spurs and Thunder meet on Saturday, December 13, 2025 in a matchup that sets up cleanly for a game that can push over the total, thanks to pace, offensive efficiency, and matchup dynamics that favor scoring on both ends. Oklahoma City continues to operate as one of the league’s most fluid, high-tempo offenses, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Chet Holmgren driving a system built on spacing, quick decisions, and relentless rim pressure. OKC’s ability to create early offense-whether off rebounds, turnovers, or simple pace pushes-forces opponents into faster possessions, and San Antonio has shown all season that they’re willing to run when the game environment demands it.
For the Spurs, Victor Wembanyama remains the centerpiece, and his offensive growth has opened up the floor for San Antonio’s guards and wings. The Spurs have been far more effective in transition and semi-transition than in half-court sets, and OKC’s style naturally pulls them into that type of game. With Devin Vassell and Stephon Castle providing perimeter scoring and Wembanyama drawing constant defensive attention, San Antonio has enough firepower to keep pace and contribute meaningfully to the total. Defensively, the Spurs still struggle with ball containment and rotations-issues that OKC’s guard play is built to exploit-which further supports a high-scoring script.
The Thunder’s offensive consistency, combined with San Antonio’s willingness to play faster and their defensive vulnerabilities, creates a matchup where both teams should find efficient scoring opportunities. OKC’s ability to generate threes and paint touches at volume, paired with the Spurs’ improving offensive rhythm, points toward a game with extended runs, quick possessions, and minimal scoring droughts.
Jim's Play: 507. Spurs/Thunder OVER
