28-13 START! CBB AFTERNOON SLAM DUNK!
- Handicapper
- Sean Murphy
- League
- NCAAB
- Competition
- Delaware State vs Longwood
- Release Date
- 12/13/2025 08:01 AM
- Event Date
- 12/13/2025 03:00 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Delaware State +14.5 (-115)
(BetMGM)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- My selection is on Delaware State plus the points over Longwood at 3 pm et on Saturday.
While Longwood owns the superior overall record in this matchup this season, Delaware State has faced the more difficult schedule by most metrics. I also think the two teams are heading in opposite directions in some sense with Delaware State having just snapped its four-game slide with an 'upset' win over Delaware, marking its second straight ATS victory. The Hornets have done a good job of limiting their opponents scoring opportunities, allowing fewer than 60 field goal attempts in all but one of their 11 contests (that came in a game where they were +35 point underdogs against Miami). We've seen them get their own opportunities lately, hoisting up 72, 63, 63 and 58 field goal attempts over their last four contests and finally the shots started falling in that victory over Delaware last time out. They've knocked down 24 or more field goals in just six of 11 games this season but five of those results came in their last seven contests. Longwood figures to have a difficult time winning by margin, noting that it has proven vulnerable defensively this season, allowing six of its last nine opponents to connect on 27 or more field goals. On the flip side, the Lancers have made good on 24 or fewer field goals in five of their last seven games. It's been a struggle just producing shot-volume whether by design or otherwise, hoisting up 55 or fewer field goal attempts in five of their last six contests. This game has the potential to be closer than expected. Take Delaware State (8*).
