ASA CBB *GAME OF THE WEEK* 100% PERFECT RUN!
- Handicapper
- ASA, Inc.
- League
- NCAAB
- Competition
- St. Thomas vs Montana State
- Release Date
- 12/03/2025 12:59 PM
- Event Date
- 12/03/2025 09:00 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Montana State -3 (-110)
(Consensus Line)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- #730 ASA PLAY ON Montana State -3 over St Thomas, Wednesday at 9 PM ET - This is the Tommies 4th trip to the West Coast already this season in a 4 week span. They went to St Mary’s (California) then home, @ Washington State then back home, off to Portland for 3 games in 3 days then home, now off to Montana. Their 3 losses on the season all came on the West Coast. St Thomas is 6-3 on the season but they’ve faced the 266th strength of schedule and 2 of their 3 losses have come vs teams ranked 160th or lower. Montana State is 3-5 on the season but they are much better than their record. There is a reason the team with the much worse record is a full 3+ point favorite in this game. The Bobcats have faced one of the toughest schedules in the country (21st SOS) and 4 of their 5 losses have come vs teams currently ranked in the top 80 per KenPom and all on the road. For comparison, St Thomas has played only ONE game vs a team ranked in the top 150 and they lost that game by 26 points vs St Mary’s. The Bobcats have played only 2 home games this season and haven’t been at home since November 9th. The Bobcats most recent game on Saturday they faced the best team in the Mountain West, Utah State, on the road and took them to OT before losing by 3. That was an impressive loss, if there is such a thing, vs a Utah State team that is now 7-0 and 5 of their wins came by double digits. Despite their 3-5 record they have exceeded expectations in the market with a 5-1 ATS record. They are a good shooting team that ranks in the top 75 nationally in FG%, 3 point FG%, and scoring putting up 80 PPG. Montana State is in a must win spot here as their next 3 games are on the road. They catch St Thomas in a tough spot and we like the Bobcats to cover at home.
