Wayne Root - Louisville vs Arkansas

CBB FIRST PINNACLE OF THE SEASON

Handicapper
Wayne Root
League
NCAAB
Competition
Louisville vs Arkansas
Release Date
12/03/2025 08:47 AM
Event Date
12/03/2025 07:15 PM
Bet Type
Point Spread
Pick
Arkansas +3 (-110) (BetOnline)
Outcome
Win
Analysis
Pinnacle on Arkansas Louisville is a very good basketball team, but Arkansas needs this game after competitive losses to Duke and Michigan State. As good as Louisville is, their strength of schedule is a weak one, ranking 345th in SOS on KenPom, while Arkansas is at 216. This is what teams are doing nowadays, playing a few really good squads and taking on low-ranked teams at home. Arkansas needs to put together a strong resume' and while they have plenty of chances in the SEC to do that, this would be a great non-conference win for Calipari's squad to add to it. Even though the pace should be fast, Arkansas has gone under in five of its last six games, while Louisville has gone under in three straight games. Louisville hasn't played since Nov. 26, while the Cards have been winning without the help of 6-10 center Kasean Pryor, who was limited last year to 12 points and 6.1 rebounds in seven games due to injury. He's played in just four games and is listed as questionable with a concussion. You can never count out a John Calipari team. They have two losses against elite programs. On Nov. 8, they fell to Michigan State 69-66 and on Nov. 27 lost to Duke from Chicago. Mark Thomas, a 6-5 freshman guard, leads the Razorbacks in scoring with 17.6 points with 3.9 assists, while Acuff Jr. adds 17.4 points and 4.4 assists, while shooting 45% from three-point range. Arkansas ranks 36th on KenPom, 47th in Adjusted Offense and 35th in Adjusted Defense.

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