Yesterday’s Results for Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks

JAZZ NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF MONTH (OFF 3-0!)

Pick: Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Under 241.5 (-110) (Consensus Line)

Analysis: These non-conference opponents have been involved in several high-scoring games of late, but I believe the conditions are now correct for a much more defensive battle than what this sky-high O/U line would lead us to believe. Miami is 14-7 overall, but just 4-5 on the road, while Dallas is 7-15 overall, including only 4-9 at home. The Mavs are off back-to-back road wins, including a 131-121 victory at Denver on Monday night as 11-point underdogs. After that massive upset, a letdown feels imminent here for Cooper Flagg and the home side. Dallas kicked off its recent four-game road trip with a 106-102 loss at Miami, and I'm expecting a similar final combined score and competitive battle now here in Dallas. The Heat closed out their four-game homestand by going 3-1 SU and 1-3 ATS. They're off the 140-123 win over the Clippers, but with a game at division-rival Orlando on Friday, the potential for the visitors to also get caught "looking ahead" is extremely high here. To hit 240 points in the NBA, teams have to be hitting their shots an extremely high rate, while also pushing the ball relentlessly, and I just don't see that kind of pace happening here in Dallas tonight between the Heat and the Mavericks. I'm on the under ***NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE MONTH