- Analysis
- ASAwins WNBA play on Minnesota Lynx -120 vs NY Liberty, 2PM ET - The Lynx enter this matchup with a league-best 27-5 record, with a +11.3 points per game margin. Despite the absence of MVP candidate Napheesa Collier (out with an ankle injury), Minnesota has gone 2-0 against the Liberty this season, including an 83-71 victory on August 10, 2025. Their defense, the best in the WNBA, allows just 75.8 points per game and holds opponents to 42% shooting. This defensive prowess was evident in their recent head-to-head, where they limited New York to 71 points. Additionally, the Lynx boast a 16-2 home record with an average MOV of +13.9PPG. Minnesota’s offense remains potent, averaging 87.1 points per game (1st in the league), driven by balanced scoring from Kayla McBride (14.0 PPG), Courtney Williams (14.1 PPG, 6.1 APG), and the recent addition of DiJonai Carrington, who’s averaged 13.3 points off the bench. Their 47.1% field goal percentage and 23.9 assists per game rank among the leagues best. The Liberty, at 21-12, have struggled recently, going 4-6 in their last 10 games since losing Breanna Stewart (out until late August with a knee injury). Their 80.8 points allowed per game (7th in the league) pales in comparison to Minnesota’s defensive stats, and their 8-8 road record is average. In their last meeting, New York’s depleted roster couldn’t keep pace, and with Stewart and other injuries (Nyara Sabally, Kennedy Burke) persisting, their depth is tested. The Lynx’s recent 5-game winning streak, including two convincing wins over New York, combined with their elite home defense and the Liberty’s injury woes, has us on the Lynx.
