OSKEIM'S HUGE NATIONAL LEAGUE VEGAS INSIDER
- Handicapper
- Oskeim Sports
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers
- Release Date
- 08/13/2025 05:47 AM
- Event Date
- 08/13/2025 02:10 PM
- Bet Type
- Moneyline
- Pick
-
Milwaukee Brewers -206
(BetOnline)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- Since 2003, large MLB home favorites that have the same or better record than their opponent over the last ten games are 2553-1025 SU (71.4%; +1.2% ROI) and 1663-1397 RL (+1.4% ROI) from Game 40 out, including 982-365 SU (72.9%; +2.2% ROI) and 745-601 RL (55.3%; +1% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average of +2.0 runs per game. Since 2005, MLB home favorites of -130 or greater in afternoon games with totals of less than eight runs are 1038-582 SU (64.1%; +2.3%) versus league opponents. Since 2003, divisional home favorites of greater than -130 coming off back-to-back wins are 758-428 SU (63.9%; +1% ROI) and 473-520 RL (+3.3% ROI) in Games 45 to 120, including 259-126 SU (67.3%; +4.5% ROI) and 196-189 RL (+6.2% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average margin of +1.6 runs per game. The Brewers are 19-1 SU (95%; +59.2% ROI) and 10-10 RL (+8.1% ROI) since June 28, 2021, as divisional favorites following a shutout win, winning by an average margin of +2.6 runs per game. Since 2006, MLB road underdogs of +130 or greater are 2939-5203 SU (36.1%; -4.0% ROI) and 4172-3551 RL (-2.7% ROI) versus .551 or greater opponents, including 927-1790 SU (34.1%; -7.3% ROI) and 1374-1339 RL (-6.0% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -1.4 runs per game.
Since 2002, MLB road underdogs of +175 or greater are 905-2198 SU (29.2%; -10.3% ROI) and 1263-1457 RL (-6.2% ROI) versus .551 or greater opponents, including 328-889 SU (27.0%; -15.6% ROI) and 534-683 RL (-9.8% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -2.0 runs per game. Finally, the Pirates are coming off four consecutive losses, which is notable in that .490 or worse road underdogs of +142 or greater coming off two or more consecutive losses are 1293-2611 SU (33.1%; -8.1% ROI) and 1726-1572 RL (-2.7% ROI), including 404-843 SU (32.4%; -7.3% ROI) and 630-617 RL (-2.7% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average margin of -1.5 runs per game. Take Milwaukee and invest with confidence.
