Amedeus Mastrangelo - Necaxa vs UNAM Pumas

AMEDEUS' LIGA MX LATE NIGHT SPECIAL!

Handicapper
Amedeus Mastrangelo
League
SOCCER
Competition
Necaxa vs UNAM Pumas
Release Date
08/10/2025 08:43 AM
Event Date
08/10/2025 08:00 PM
Bet Type
Over / Under
Pick
Necaxa vs UNAM Pumas Over 2.5 (-105) (BetOnline)
Outcome
Loss
Analysis
Pumas UNAM is coming into this match with a heavy trend to the over in their recent matches. They have gone over 2.5 goals in their last 2 straight as well as 4 of their last 6 matches, and they have been in much better form recently as well. Their attack has been very good recently as they have scored at least 2 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, finding the net in each of those as well as scoring 9 goals total in those 5 matches, but their defense has also been awful as they have allowed at least 2 goals in each of their last 2 as well as 4 of their last 6 matches. They did not get a great start to the new season, but the Leagues Cup has given them some confidence in their play and they will be pushing to play better in this home match. They also lost their only home match to start this new season 3-2 to Pachuca. They are going up against a Necaxa side that has also been trending to the over in their recent matches. They have gone over 2.5 goals in their last 3 straight as well as 7 of their last 8 matches. Their attack has been good in these matches as they have scored at least 2 goals in 2 of their last 3 as well as 5 of their last 8 matches, but their defense has not been good as they have allowed at least 2 goals in each of their last 2 as well as 5 of their last 8 matches. They were playing well to open up the new season, losing to Toluca 3-1 away from home but beating Queretaro 3-1 at home and then drawing Club America there 1-1 as well. Their attack continued to play well in the Leagues Cup, but their defense really got exposed and this is a Pumas attack that has found their rhythm from that tournament. Pumas UNAM is going to be pushing for the win here at home and they will find the net on this awful Necaxa defense, but Pumas has not been keeping clean sheets themselves and Necaxa still has a very potent attack as well. Between these two sides, there will be enough goals in this match to push it over 2.5 goals. Mexico Liga MX: Pumas UNAM/Necaxa over 2.5 goals, Rot. 209257

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