AMEDEUS' COPA SUDAMERICANA TOTAL OF THE MONTH
- Handicapper
- Amedeus Mastrangelo
- League
- SOCCER
- Competition
- Alianza Lima vs Gremio
- Release Date
- 07/23/2025 11:11 AM
- Event Date
- 07/23/2025 08:30 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
Alianza Lima vs Gremio Under 2.5 (-120)
(Consensus Line)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- Alianza Lima is coming into this match playing in very good form in their recent matches and they have also been trending to the under. They have won 4 of their last 6 matches with 1 loss in that span and they have gone under 2.5 goals in their last 3 straight as well as 6 of their last 7 matches. Their defense has been very good in these matches as they have kept 2 clean sheets in their last 3 as well as 5 clean sheets in their last 7 matches, but their attack has also struggled as they have gone scoreless in 2 of their last 3 matches as well. When playing away from home, they have gone under 2.5 goals in their last 4 straight as well as 8 of their last 9 matches, and they have not scored a goal in their last 2 away matches but they have also kept 3 clean sheets in their last 4. They are going up against a Gremio side that has not been in great form recently and they have been trending to the under in their matches. They have lost 2 of their last 3 matches with no wins in that span and they have gone under 2.5 goals in their last 2 straight as well as 8 of their last 9 matches. When playing at home, they have gone under 2.5 goals in their last 11 straight matches and their defense has been much better there as they have only allowed 1 goal in their last 5 matches there. Gremio is currently down 2-0 on aggregate from the 1st leg so they are going to be pushing to win as they need to win by at least 2 goals, but their attack has not been very strong recently and they are going to struggle to break down this good Alianza Lima defense that is going to be leaning more on their defense away from home with the 2-0 lead. Alianza Lima will not be trying to push for goals either since they have the 2-0 lead and this Gremio defense has been much tougher to crack at home. This is going to be a low scoring and more defensive match that stays under 2.5 goals.
CONMEBOL Copa Sudamericana: Gremio/Alianza Lima under 2.5 goals, Rot. 224846
