Amedeus Mastrangelo - Vasco da Gama vs Independiente Valle

AMEDEUS' COPA SUDAMERICANA KICKOFF KILLER!

Handicapper
Amedeus Mastrangelo
League
SOCCER
Competition
Vasco da Gama vs Independiente Valle
Release Date
07/15/2025 10:01 AM
Event Date
07/15/2025 08:30 PM
Bet Type
Goal Line
Pick
Independiente Valle -0.5 (-135) (Consensus Line)
Outcome
Win
Analysis
Independiente del Valle is coming into this match playing in good form in their recent matches. They have won 2 of their last 3 as well as 5 of their last 9 matches with no losses in that span. Their attack has been much better in their recent matches as well, scoring at least 2 goals in 2 of their last 3 matches. They have won 2 of their last 4 matches at home with no losses in that span, and they also won 2 of their 3 home matches in the Copa Libertadores group stage with no losses in that span. They are going up against a Vasco da Gama side that has not been in good form in their recent matches. They have lost 2 of their last 3 as well as 3 of their last 5 matches and they are coming off of a 2-0 loss at home against Botafogo in their 1st match back from the break. Their defense has not been good in these as they have allowed at least 2 goals in 2 of their last 3 as well as 3 of their last 5 matches, and their attack has not been great either as they have gone scoreless in 2 of their last 3 matches as well. When playing away from home, they have been awful as they have lost 4 of their last 5 as well as 7 of their last 9 matches with 1 win in that span, and they have been conceding a lot of goals in those as well. They were good enough to finish 2nd place in their Copa Sudamericana group and they do play in a very strong league in the Brasileirao, but they have been a bottom half team in the league for years and they are going up against an Independiente del Valle side that not only has the quality to beat them, but has also won this competition in the last few years. Independiente del Valle knows what they need to do in this competition to win so they are going to be focused on winning it, and they are going to take advantage of this 1st leg as they do have a very big elevation advantage. Independiente del Valle will win this match at home and take a lead into the 2nd leg. CONMEBOL Copa Sudamericana: Independiente del Valle ML, Rot. 224806

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