MLB Early Inner Circle Insider - Thursday
- Handicapper
- Jim Feist
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles
- Release Date
- 07/10/2025 10:03 AM
- Event Date
- 07/10/2025 12:05 PM
- Bet Type
- Moneyline
- Pick
-
Baltimore Orioles +117
(BetOnline)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- The Mets and Orioles return to Baltimore following yesterday’s rainout to play a doubleheader. This is a classic starting pitching matchup with New York’s David Peterson (6–4, 3.18 ERA) going up against Baltimore’s Charlie Morton (5–7, 5.47 ERA).
Peterson has been a reliable starter for the Mets all season. He’s produced quality starts in 10 of his 17 outings while averaging six innings per start. He also has the defense behind him on the mound as the Mets rank fourth in MLB ERA at 3.36. Morton, on the other hand, has a high strikeout rate (84 punch-outs in 77 innings) but that hasn’t translated into good results as evidenced by his ERA. The southpaw has been up and down recently with a few good starts followed by some bad starts. Morton also doesn’t fare particularly well against the Mets as he owns a career ERA of 5.87.
In terms of offense, the Mets edge the Orioles. The New York team is batting .246 on the season with a .420 slugging percentage while the Baltimore squad is at .239 average and .400 slugging . This also included an extra-inning rally on Tuesday when the Mets snapped a two-game skid in Baltimore so they’re going to be confident coming into this game.
Orioles do have home field here today and with a close matchup I will take the dog in this one.
Jim's Play: 966. Orioles (Game 1)