Matt Fargo - New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles

Fargo's RL Afternoon Dominator (+$28,240 Run)

Handicapper
Matt Fargo
League
MLB
Competition
New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles
Release Date
07/10/2025 01:22 AM
Event Date
07/10/2025 12:05 PM
Bet Type
Run Line
Pick
New York Mets -1.5 (+120) (BetMGM)
Outcome
Loss
Analysis
This is a play on the NEW YORK METS (Game One) for our RL Afternoon Dominator. The Mets have gotten out of their slump and the offense has carried the 5-1 run by averaging 6.1 rpg. David Peterson had two rough starts against the Pirates and Phillies but bounced back with a great starts last time out against Milwaukee as he allowed only one run in 6.2 innings. He has been much better at home but could not have a better matchup on the road against an Orioles team that cannot hit lefties. Baltimore is dead last in baseball in slugging percentage at .323 while sitting No. 28 with just 17 home runs and No. 25 in strikeout percentage. The Orioles are nothing special at home at four games under .500 and are overpriced in this matchup. Charlie Morton has been pitching a lot better after a horrendous start to the season which was so bad that he got sent to the bullpen in May and has come back strong but has not faced many good offenses since coming back to the rotation. He catches a Mets offense that was abysmal during its recent skid but has caught fire again and Morton has not been much better at home. His home runs are down but the Mets 121 home runs are No. 6 in baseball. 10* (965) New York Mets -1.5 Runs (Game One)

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