ROGERS #1 SEC TOTAL OF THE YEAR - 21-9 FB RUN
- Handicapper
- Will Rogers
- League
- NCAAF
- Competition
- Alabama vs LSU
- Release Date
- 11/08/2024 01:51 PM
- Event Date
- 11/09/2024 07:30 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
Alabama vs LSU Under 58.5 (-108)
(BetOnline)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- At 7:30pm ET, my SEC Total Of The Year is on Alabama/LSU under. These teams have played pretty high-scoring games against each other the past couple of seasons. This one, being billed as an "elimination game," will be more like 2021. Alabama won 20-14 that year. Alabama posted a shutout last game. It was a 13-0 game at halftime and finished 34-0. Missouri managed only 239 yards. Pretty good when you think about Missouri averaging more than 31 ppg before that. Playing their second straight on the road, the Tigers lost 23-23 last week. Prior to that, they'd played 4 straight unders. Their previous game, they allowed only 10 points. In going 4-0 at home, they've held all 4 visiting teams to 26 or fewer points and to an average of 18.5. The LSU offense rushed for only 24 yards on 23 carries last game and QB Garrett Nussmeier was intercepted 3x in the second half. Coach Kelly said of his QB: "Garrett can't be the guy who feels like he's got to do everything, and part of that has to come from Garrett. A little bit comes from Garrett, a little bit comes from play-calling, a little bit comes from the ability to commit to more balance in the running game. That means blocking better and I don't just mean the five linemen. It's an all-in thing. It's not just one guy giving Garrett more assistance. Everybody's got to be involved in that." More blocking and more running is going to translate to less scoring. Each of Alabama's last 2 games have finished with 41 or less. Play on the Under.
