TDG’s MLB TUESDAY NIGHT VEGAS O/U *JACKPOT*
- Handicapper
- Team Del Genio
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox
- Release Date
- 08/13/2024 06:56 PM
- Event Date
- 08/13/2024 07:10 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox Over 9.5 (-110)
(BetOnline)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- Our 20* MLB Tuesday Night Vegas O/U Jackpot is with the Texas/Boston over at 7:10 pm et.
The Boston Red Sox ended a four-game losing streak with a 5-4 victory against the Rangers in the first game of their three-game series. Don’t blame the Red Sox’s bats for their recent slide since they have scored four or more runs in nine of their last ten games. They had given up five or more runs in six straight games before last night’s game. Boston has played eight straight overs after winning their previous game. The over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games when playing at home at Fenway Park. The Red Sox posted a .283 batting average, a .343 on-base percentage, and a .496 slugging percentage in July. This month, they have a .267 batting average, a .343 on-base percentage, and a .455 slugging percentage so they are continuing to hit the ball well. These should continue to score plenty of runs against the Rangers’ Jose Urena tonight. The right-hander has a 3-7 record with a 3.74 era and a 1.32 whip in 84 1/3 innings. In his two starts this month, he has an 0-2 record with a 10.13 era and a 2.13 whip. Urena has benefited from a 75.6% strand rate which is the second-highest mark in his career. When considering that his career left-on-base rate is 70.0% and the MLB average this season is 71.9%, he is likely to see more runners who get on base then cross the plate. He also has a .271 batting average for the balls put into play which is much lower than his .288 career babip and the .289 MLB babip. On the road, he has a 4.97 era and a 1.63 whip with opposing hitters posting a .304 batting average.
Texas has lost two games in a row, and they have played eight of their last ten games over the number after losing their previous game. They have allowed four or more runs in six straight games. The over is 8-1-1 in the Rangers’ last ten games on the road. They face Kutter Crawford who may be suffering from fatigue. He has a 7-9 record with a 4.11 era and a 1.13 whip. His 131 1/3 innings that he has pitched is already two more innings that he pitched last season which was his career high in his three seasons. In his last four starts, Crawford has a 10.61 era and a 1.66 whip. He has served up 13 home runs in those four starts. Opposing hitters have a barrel rate of 10.6% which is in the lowest eighth percentile in MLB. He has a strand rate of 74.6% which is a few notches above his career 70.5% left-on-base rate. His babip is .246 which is far below his career .275 babip. Play the over.
Good luck - Team Del Genio.
