Amedeus Mastrangelo - Trabzonspor vs Fatih Karagumruk

AMEDEUS' TURKIYE KUPASI SAUCY SET-PIECE!

Handicapper
Amedeus Mastrangelo
League
SOCCER
Competition
Trabzonspor vs Fatih Karagumruk
Release Date
05/08/2024 11:10 AM
Event Date
05/08/2024 01:30 PM
Bet Type
Over / Under
Pick
Trabzonspor vs Fatih Karagumruk Over +2.5 (-138) (Bet365)
Outcome
Win
Analysis
Fatih Karagumruk is coming into this match with a trend to the over in their recent matches. They have gone over 2.5 goals in their last 5 straight matches and their attack has been much better in these. They have scored at least 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches and they have scored 6 goals in their last 2 matches alone. Their defense has not been great in those as they have allowed at least 1 goal in each of their last 5 matches, allowing at least 2 goals in 2 of their last 3 as well as 3 of their last 5 matches, and they have been averaging 2 goals allowed per match in their last 3 matches as well. When playing at home, they have gone over 2.5 goals in their last 2 straight matches there, scoring 5 goals in those while allowing 3 goals. They are going up against a Trabzonspor side that has also been trending to the over in their recent matches. They have gone over 2.5 goals in their last 4 straight as well as 8 of their last 9 matches. Their attack has been great in these matches as they have scored at least 2 goals in 3 of their last 4 as well as 6 of their last 8 matches, averaging over 2 goals scored per match in that span as they scored at least 1 goal in all 8 of those as well. Their defense has struggled as well though as they have allowed at least 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches. When playing away from home, they have gone over 2.5 goals in their last 4 straight and Trabzonspor just allowed 3 goals in their last away match against Samsunspor who is not one of the stronger teams in the league. Trabzonspor has a 3-2 lead on aggregate here that they will be trying to defend in this match, but Fatih Karagumruk has been in much better form at home and has been scoring a lot of goals recently so they are going to pushing their attack here as they need to score a goal to tie it up on aggregate, and they will have the confidence having scored 2 goals away from home in the 1st leg. They are also dealing with the relegation battle but their next league match is against Galatasaray which they are unlikely to get any points from so they are going to be more focused on doing well in this competition as they still finish the season with 2 matches against much weaker teams in the league. Between these two sides, there will be enough goals in this match to push it over 2.5 goals. Turkiye Kupasi: Fatih Karagumruk/Trabzonspor over 2.5 goals

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