Sean's 21-16 ATS ACC ANNIHILATOR!
- Handicapper
- Sean Murphy
- League
- NCAAB
- Competition
- Virginia vs Boston College
- Release Date
- 02/28/2024 06:49 AM
- Event Date
- 02/28/2024 09:00 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Virginia +1.5 (-110)
(Consensus Line)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- My selection is on Virginia plus the points over Boston College at 9 pm et on Wednesday.
I see this as a 'get right' spot for the reeling Cavaliers as they look to snap their two-game losing streak and cover the spread for the first time in five games. Even in Saturday's double-digit loss to North Carolina, Virginia still held the Tar Heels to just 16 made field goals. In fact, the Cavaliers have allowed only two of their last 12 opponents to knock down more than 24 field goals. It's been the Virginia offense that has struggled lately but this is a favorable matchup in that regard. Boston College has been matador-like defensively in recent weeks, allowing its last seven foes to make good on 30, 28, 30, 30, 27, 28 and 27 field goals. Virginia did drop the most recent meeting in this series last February but it was four straight wins prior to that and the Cavaliers haven't lost consecutive matchups with the Eagles since 2011. Note that Virginia is 7-4 ATS in its last 11 games on the road with the line set between +3 and -3 including a 2-1 ATS mark in that situation this season. Meanwhile, Boston College is 8-10 ATS in its last 18 contests after giving up 80 points or more in its previous game including a 2-6 ATS record in that situation this season. Take Virginia (8*).