Free Picks
MLB - Moneyline - Mon, Apr 28 @ 04:05 PM
OSKEIM'S FREE MLB BLOWOUT WINNER
New York Mets (Griffin Canning) vs Washington Nationals (Trevor Williams)
New York Mets -156 (BetOnline)
Since 2006, .580 or greater favorites of -125 or greater coming off an upset loss as favorites of -125 or more are 1065-554 SU (65.8%; +3.2% ROI) and 739-784 RL (+1% ROI) versus the same opponent, including 440-210 SU (67.7%; +5% ROI) and 333-317 RL (+3% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average of ...
Since 2006, .580 or greater favorites of -125 or greater coming off an upset loss as favorites of -125 or more are 1065-554 SU (65.8%; +3.2% ROI) and 739-784 RL (+1% ROI) versus the same opponent, including 440-210 SU (67.7%; +5% ROI) and 333-317 RL (+3% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average of +1.6 runs per game. Since 2006, MLB road favorites of -140 to -190 in the first two months of the season are 735-452 SU (61.9%; +2% ROI) versus league opponents, including 345-192 SU (64.2%; +5.1% ROI) and 283-253 RL (+6.5% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average margin of +1.7 runs per game. Since 2008, MLB road favorites of greater than -135 with totals of ten runs or less are 989-563 SU (63.7%; +3.1% ROI) and 789-761 RL (+2% ROI) with starting pitchers who lost their previous matchup start, winning by an average of +1.5 runs per game. Finally, since 2007, .601 or greater favorites of -140 or greater coming off an upset loss as favorites are 442-224 SU (66.4%; +3.8% ROI) in game 2 (or beyond) of a series, including 210-90 SU (70%; +9.5% ROI) and 153-147 RL (+2.6% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average of +1.7 runs per game. Take New York as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Monday, April 28.
MLB - Moneyline - Mon, Apr 28 @ 06:10 PM
Jim Feist's FREE MLB Play - Monday, April 28
Minnesota Twins (Bailey Ober) vs Cleveland Guardians (Gavin Williams)
Cleveland Guardians -123 (BetOnline)
The Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians start their four-game series at Progressive Field in Cleveland on Monday, April 28, 2025 at 6:10 p.m. ET. The Minnesota Twins who stand at 12–16 and fourth place in the AL Central have won three consecutive games after defeating the Los Angeles Angels i...
The Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians start their four-game series at Progressive Field in Cleveland on Monday, April 28, 2025 at 6:10 p.m. ET. The Minnesota Twins who stand at 12–16 and fourth place in the AL Central have won three consecutive games after defeating the Los Angeles Angels in a weekend sweep. The Guardians currently stand at 15–12 and rank second in their division while working to recover from losing two out of three games against the Boston Red Sox. The Minnesota Twins will start right-handed pitcher Bailey Ober on the mound. Ober achieved a 2–1 win-loss record and posted a 5.04 ERA with a 1.44 WHIP throughout 25 innings this season. During his most recent game start he permitted just one run across six innings versus the Chicago White Sox. Ober has demonstrated strong pitching performances against Cleveland with two wins and two losses while maintaining a 2.20 ERA and 46 strikeouts across eight games totaling 45 innings. The Cleveland team will respond by sending right-hander Gavin Williams who has a 2–1 season record with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP through 26 innings pitched. Williams pitched six and one-third innings versus the New York Yankees during his latest appearance while allowing two runs and seven hits. He owns a 2–1 record against the Twins with a 2.12 ERA and 14 strikeouts across four games in 17 innings. Byron Buxton leads the Twins offensively with a .237 batting average while hitting six home runs and driving in 15 runs. Trevor Larnach produced a .234 batting average while delivering four home runs and 14 RBIs. Steven Kwan leads the Guardians with a .346 batting average and 15 RBIs and four home runs while Kyle Manzardo tops the team in home runs with seven and RBIs with 18. Injuries are affecting both teams. Willi Castro (oblique), Royce Lewis (hamstring), and Matt Wallner (hamstring) are unable to play for the Twins who lack their second baseman, third baseman, and outfielder respectively. Wrist injury has sidelined center fielder Lane Thomas for the Guardians who also lack pitchers Shane Bieber and Trevor Stephan because of elbow problems. The Guardians look to get back to what they have done best thus far while Minnesota still struggles to get above the .500 mark. I like the host in this one at a cheap price with Williams on the mound. Jim's Free Play: Cleveland Guardians
MLB - Over / Under - Mon, Apr 28 @ 06:10 PM
BURNS' FREE PICK:
Minnesota Twins (Bailey Ober) vs Cleveland Guardians (Gavin Williams)
Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Under 8 (-110) (BetOnline)
(#909) Minnesota Twins @ (#910) Cleveland Guardians // UNDER //. Bailey Ober (2-1, 5.04 ERA) vs. Gavin Williams (2-1, 4.15 ERA) . While neither of these two pitchers have stellar numbers to begin this season, both guys are showing signs of improvement over recent games. Bailey Ober allowed on...
(#909) Minnesota Twins @ (#910) Cleveland Guardians // UNDER //. Bailey Ober (2-1, 5.04 ERA) vs. Gavin Williams (2-1, 4.15 ERA) . While neither of these two pitchers have stellar numbers to begin this season, both guys are showing signs of improvement over recent games. Bailey Ober allowed only a run in six innings of work on Tuesday last week. That was good for him to get an easy win under his belt. Yes, this matchup is definitely more difficult on paper. However, Ober has shown that he can pitch well in recent years and I expect him to do just that today. Gavin Williams is also coming off a very solid outing going six and a third and allowing only two runs against the Yankees. This will be an easier matchup for him. Expect runs to be hard to come by in today's game. Score Prediction: 3-2 Guardians.
MLB - Over / Under - Mon, Apr 28 @ 06:35 PM
10* NBA MONDAY! +$148,580 RUN!
New York Yankees (Will Warren) vs Baltimore Orioles (Tomoyuki Sugano)
New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Over 9.5 (-120) (BetMGM)
My free play is the Yankees-Orioles game over the total. The wind is expected to be blowing out to left a bit but I don't think it matters that much. That's because the Yankees have hit 45 home runs, the second most in MLB and face Sugano, who gives up a lot of long balls. Baltimore is a disappoi...
My free play is the Yankees-Orioles game over the total. The wind is expected to be blowing out to left a bit but I don't think it matters that much. That's because the Yankees have hit 45 home runs, the second most in MLB and face Sugano, who gives up a lot of long balls. Baltimore is a disappointing 10-17 on the season but are actually one of the best teams in the entire league when it comes to important hitting metrics at home against righties in 2025. I believe both teams will contribute to a high scoring game. My free play is New York-Baltimore over the total. Thanks and best of luck! Jack Banks.
MLB - Moneyline - Mon, Apr 28 @ 06:40 PM
Wayne Root FREE MLB WINNER
St. Louis Cardinals (Andre Pallante) vs Cincinnati Reds (Nick Martinez)
St. Louis Cardinals +100 (BetMGM)
Take St Louis The Cardinals have seen the ball well of late and are continuing to hover around the top 10 in terms of strikeout rate. RHP Andre Pallante is slated to start for the St. Louis Cardinals. This season, Pallante has appeared in seven games, making five starts, and has posted a 3-2 rec...
Take St Louis The Cardinals have seen the ball well of late and are continuing to hover around the top 10 in terms of strikeout rate. RHP Andre Pallante is slated to start for the St. Louis Cardinals. This season, Pallante has appeared in seven games, making five starts, and has posted a 3-2 record with a 4.05 ERA across 32.0 innings pitched. He has recorded 24 strikeouts while issuing 11 walks, with opponents hitting .259 against him. Pallante hasn't been striking players out at a high rate, and he's allowing a home run per game, but he's played well against the Reds in the past as he's allowed just three runs over his last three starts against Cincinnati. Pallante has tossed well against the Reds in the past while Martinez is still searching for his first win of the season. With the Reds inability to stand pat at the plate, they could continue to see some headwinds here. Conversely, the Cardinals remain one of the more disciplined teams in baseball. St. Louis ML
NHL - Moneyline - Mon, Apr 28 @ 07:00 PM
Big Al's FREE Florida/Tampa Bay Winner!
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers
Florida Panthers -140 (Consensus Line)
At 7:05 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Florida Panthers over the Tampa Bay Lightning. In this first round series of the two NHL teams from the Sunshine State, the visitors have won each of the first three games. Florida dominated the first two games in Tampa while the Lightning came ...
At 7:05 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Florida Panthers over the Tampa Bay Lightning. In this first round series of the two NHL teams from the Sunshine State, the visitors have won each of the first three games. Florida dominated the first two games in Tampa while the Lightning came back on Saturday and completely embarrassed the Panthers here at Amerant Bank Arena, 5-1, despite being out-shot by a 34-22 margin. After two huge efforts in the first two games, 36-year-old goalie Sergei Bobrovsky struggled mightily in Game 3 but the Panthers will likely stick with him tonight and he should get a rousing reception from the crowd as Florida tries to take a 3-1 series lead before heading back to Tampa. The Bolts struggled on the road during the regular season going 18-23 away from Tampa and the Panthers were 27-12-2 here at home. The Bolts were just 8-17 in 25 regular season games when playing their second consecutive road game while the Panthers were 8-2 in 10 home games revenging a same season loss. Take Florida. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
MLB - Moneyline - Mon, Apr 28 @ 08:05 PM
AAA Sports Free MLB Winner
Athletics (JP Sears) vs Texas Rangers (Patrick Corbin)
Athletics -106 (BetOnline)
Our selection is on the Athletics to defeat the Texas Rangers on Monday at 8:05pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: The Athletics will start JP Sears -- terrific looking over his L2 stars. Two runs allowed in 11 innings. The A's are 8-4 over their L12 games...
Our selection is on the Athletics to defeat the Texas Rangers on Monday at 8:05pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: The Athletics will start JP Sears -- terrific looking over his L2 stars. Two runs allowed in 11 innings. The A's are 8-4 over their L12 games played on the road. They are a much better team this year than they have been over the last few seasons. Texas will start Patrick Corbin -- has been good this season but has not been good the last few years. The Rangers are just 1-4 over their L5 games. We're on the A's. AAA Sports
MLB - Moneyline - Mon, Apr 28 @ 08:10 PM
Sean Murphy's TIGERS-ASTROS WINNER!
Detroit Tigers (Jack Flaherty) vs Houston Astros (Ronel Blanco)
Houston Astros -103 (BetOnline)
Monday MLB Free play. My selection is on Houston over Detroit at 8:10 pm et on Monday. We'll fade a Tigers squad riding high after a three-game sweep of the Orioles in a tough situational spot as they hit the road to face a focused Astros team on Monday night. Jack Flaherty gets the ball for De...
Monday MLB Free play. My selection is on Houston over Detroit at 8:10 pm et on Monday. We'll fade a Tigers squad riding high after a three-game sweep of the Orioles in a tough situational spot as they hit the road to face a focused Astros team on Monday night. Jack Flaherty gets the ball for Detroit, but despite strong underlying numbers this season, he’s been stuck with a 1-4 team record in his starts. We'll sell high on Flaherty here, especially coming off a nine-strikeout performance where he still failed to earn a victory. Behind him is a taxed Tigers bullpen that worked heavy innings over the weekend (three games in two days) — a significant concern against an inconsistent but still dangerous Houston offense. Detroit’s relief corps ranks a middling 14th in xFIP this season. On the other side, Ronel Blanco starts for Houston, and he’s in good form after a dominant outing against Toronto, allowing just two hits and one earned run over 6 2/3 innings. Blanco has been sharp at keeping opposing hitters off-balance, with current Tigers batters going just 1-for-17 against him historically. Houston’s bullpen is well-rested entering this game and ranks among the top-three in xFIP across the majors, a major edge late in the game. With the Astros set up better both in terms of starter and in the bullpen, and catching the Tigers in a natural letdown spot, Houston is the play on Monday night. Take Houston. Projected score: Astros 4, Tigers 2. Sean Murphy is coming off a 6-3 weekend and riding a long-term 372-302 (+$35,700 for $1,000 bettors) overall run! He has BIG PLANS for the end of April with NBA and NHL playoff action on tap to start the week on Monday night including his 10* NBA Western Conference Game of the Week; hop on board with a weekly or monthly package and don't miss a single winner from Murph!Free newsletter
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