Yale Bulldogs vs Saint Mary's Gaels Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 12/28/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Tuesday, Dec 28, 2021
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Tuesday, December 28, 2021
Venue:  McKeon Pavilion, Moraga, CA
Where to Watch:  WCC Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Yale +12.5, Saint Mary’s -12.5; Over/Under:  129 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Yale +12.5, Saint Mary’s -12.5; Over/Under:  129 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Yale +12.5, Saint Mary’s -12.5; Over/Under:  130.5 points
 

Season Record

Yale Bulldogs:  6-7 (5th place, Ivy League)
Saint Mary's Gaels:  11-3 (3rd place, WCC)
 
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Yale Bulldogs vs Saint Mary's Gaels Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Yale Bulldogs:  2-3 last 5
Saint Mary's Gaels:  3-2 last 5
 
 
 

Yale Bulldogs Analysis

Yale is coming into this game with a 6-7 record overall and they are 1-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak after another loss in their last game. Their last win was against the Albany Great Danes while their 3 losses in that span were against the Auburn Tigers, the Iona Gaels, and the Monmouth Hawks in their last game. Azar Swain led the team in points in that game with 17 while Jalen Gabbidon was next on the team with 14 points. Eze Dike also scored 10 points in that one as well. Swain and Yussif Basa-Ama off the bench both led the team in assists in that game with 2 each while Basa-Ama led the team in rebounds with 5. They are 41.8% from the field, 32.7% from 3-point range, and 72.9% from the free throw line with their shooting this season. Their offense is averaging 72.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.8 PPG against them. Yale has an ATS record of 4-8 this season and their O/U record is 6-6.
 
 

Saint Mary's Gaels Analysis

Saint Mary's is coming into this game with an 11-3 record overall and they are 8-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and they are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. Their last loss was against the San Diego State Aztecs while their 3 wins in that span came against the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos, the Cal State Stanislaus Warriors, and the Missouri State Bears in their last game. Matthias Tass led the team in points in that game with 27 while Tommy Kuhse was next on the team off the bench with 16 points. Logan Johnson also scored 13 points in that one as well. Johnson and Kuhse both led the team in assists in that game with 5 each while Kuhse also led the team in rebounds with 7. They are 46.4% from the field, 33.7% from 3-point range, and 70.4% from the free throw line with their shots this season. Their offense is averaging 67.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 58 PPG against them. Saint Mary's has an ATS record of 8-5 this season and their O/U record is 4-9.
 

 

Yale vs Saint Mary's Prediction

Saint Mary's is coming into this game as a 12.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Saint Mary's has been having a great season with an 11-3 record overall and they are also an undefeated 8-0 in their home games. Yale has not been having a great season with a losing record and they have not been playing well on the road either with a 1-3 record in those games. Saint Mary's can score a lot of points in their games but they have also been playing great defense this season and that will be the difference in this game. Yale will not be able to score a lot on Saint Mary's and will likely fall more and more behind as the game progresses. The best bet to place in this game is on Saint Mary's to cover the spread here.
 
Yale Saint Mary's Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, December 28, 2021 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Saint Mary’s 84 Yale 62.
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NCAAB Betting Trends

 
Yale Bulldogs: 4-8 ATS in all games. 4-8 ATS after a non-conference game. 4-8 ATS in non-conference games. 1-5 ATS after playing a game as favorite.
Saint Mary's Gaels: 4-9 O/U in all games. 10-24 O/U as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points. 105-151 O/U after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds. 88-133 O/U after 3 straight games forcing opponents to commit 14 or less turnovers.
 

Key Injuries

 
Yale Bulldogs:  None.
Saint Mary's Gaels:  None.
 

Notable Quotes

 
“Certainly I’ve noticed the spike around the country with omicron and how it’s affecting college basketball. You notice a great percentage of games that have been canceled or forfeit because of it … It’s just the state of where we are in our country right now trying to fight this disease.” - James Jones after his team’s game against Howard was canceled.
 
 
“That’s why you come to this, the best college basketball tournament in the country, to play against really good teams. We got to and tonight we didn't come out on top, but I thought we played a good game against a well-coached team and group of guys” - Randy Bennett on playing a tournament at the beginning of the new regular season.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Yale Bulldogs
M. Cotton 
Eze Dike 
J. Gabbidon 
I. Kelly 
A. Swain
 
Saint Mary's Gaels
K. Bowen 
A. Ducas 
L. Johnson 
T. Kuhse 
M. Tass
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Yale Bulldogs
PPG: A. Swain (19.3)
APG: A. Swain (2.2)
Reb/G: J. Gabbidon (4.6)
 
Saint Mary's Gaels
PPG: M. Tass (12.7)
APG: T. Kuhse (3.4)
Reb/G: K. Bowen (6.5)
 
Coaches:
Yale Bulldogs: James Jones (23rd season)
Saint Mary's Gaels: Randy Bennett (21st season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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