Game Time: 2:00 pm ET, Friday, March 18, 2022
Venue: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
Where to Watch: TBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Yale +16, Purdue -16; Over/Under: 143 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Yale +15.5, Purdue -15.5; Over/Under: 142.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Yale +15.5, Purdue -15.5; Over/Under: 142.5 points
Season Record
Yale Bulldogs: 19-11 (2nd place, Ivy League)
Purdue Boilermakers: 27-7 (3rd place, Big Ten)
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Yale Bulldogs vs Purdue Boilermakers Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Yale Bulldogs: 4-1 last 5
Purdue Boilermakers: 3-2 last 5
Yale Bulldogs Analysis
Yale is coming into this game with a 19-11 record overall and they are 3-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one on a 3 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Cornell Big Red while their 3 wins since then have come against the Brown Bears, the Penn Quakers, and the Princeton Tigers in their last game. Azar Swain led the team in points in that game with 23 while Bez Mbeng was next on the team with 13 points. Matt Knowling led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Mbeng led the team in rebounds with 11. They are 44.4% from the field, 33% from 3-point range, and 73.9% from the free throw line with their shooting this season. Their offense is averaging 72.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.8 PPG against them. Yale has an ATS record of 14-15 this season and their O/U record is 13-16.
Purdue Boilermakers Analysis
Purdue is coming into this game with a 27-7 record overall and they are 6-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 3 game winning streak that they were on. Their 3 wins in that span were against the Indiana Hoosiers, the Penn State Nittany Lions, and the Michigan State Spartans while their loss came against the Iowa Hawkeyes in their last game. Jaden Ivey led the team in points in that game with 20 while Trevion Williams off the bench was next on the team with 13 points. Ivey led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Zach Edey led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 42.4% from the field, 25% from 3-point range, and 64.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 79.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.8 PPG against them. Purdue has an ATS record of 13-20-1 this season and their O/U record is 18-16.
Yale vs Purdue Prediction
Yale is coming into this game as a 16 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Yale had a very good season finishing in 2nd in their conference behind Princeton but they got the best of them in their finals and won by 2 points to send themselves to this game over Princeton. They have won their last 3 straight games and even though they have not been winning by double digits in their games, they have still been playing well with a lot of control over the game in their wins. They are going up against a Purdue side that has not been playing well recently and just lost their last game to Iowa in the finals of the Big Ten tourney. Purdue has only won 3 of their last 4 games and they have not even been playing strong opponents in that span but are still only getting by with single digits wins and in some cases, by just a few points. They even lost 2 games straight before winning their last 3 and they really played poorly in their game against Iowa. They have had problems in their games recently with taking leads and they have been playing from behind in a lot of their recent games. Purdue is not going to make a deep run this season with how they have been playing recently. They will likely win this game and get to the next round but they are not going to win it by much and they will likely allow Yale to hang around or even take a lead in this game as they have done that with their recent opponents. Yale will keep this game closer and cover the spread here.
Yale Purdue Prediction: Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, March 18, 2022 (2:00 pm ET start time) is Purdue 78 Yale 69.
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NCAAB Betting Trends
Yale Bulldogs: 23-10 ATS in all neutral court games. 56-25 ATS after a win by 6 points or less. 22-17 OVER after 1 or more consecutive wins.
Purdue Boilermakers: 12-20 ATS as a favorite. 19-28 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread. 74-43 OVER in all tournament games.
Key Injuries
Yale Bulldogs: None.
Purdue Boilermakers: B. Waddell (F) out for season - Knee injury.
Notable Quotes
“Man, this is what I came back for. Like I said, I had incredibly high expectations for this group and myself, but this is the ultimate goal. To see so many young guys on the team happy after so much work and sacrifice this year. And they trusted me. They trusted me to carry this thing home and that’s what I tried to do.” - Azar Swain after winning the Ivy League tourney.
"I did a horrible job today just leading and trying to get us back in the game. I felt like I made some bad reads and some turnovers and I feel like I lost this game." - Jaden Ivey after losing against Iowa in the Big Ten final.
Starting Lineups
Yale Bulldogs
J. Gabbidon
I. Kelly
M. Knowling
B. Mbeng
A. Swain
Purdue Boilermakers
Z. Edey
C. Furst
J. Ivey
Sasha Stefanovic
I. Thompson
Statistical Leaders
Yale Bulldogs
PPG: A. Swain (18.9)
APG: B. Mbeng (1.8)
Reb/G: E. Jarvis (4.7)
Purdue Boilermakers
PPG: J. Ivey (17.2)
APG: S. Stefanovic (3.4)
Reb/G: Z. Edey (7.6)
Coaches:
Yale Bulldogs: James Jones (23rd season)
Purdue Boilermakers: Matt Painter (17th season)